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Rasmussen, Mason-Dixon on two different planets
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Race
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| Contributor | Qbanito |
| Last Edited | Qbanito Sep 24, 2010 06:28pm |
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| Category | Blog Entry |
| News Date | Saturday, September 25, 2010 12:00:00 AM UTC0:0 |
| Description | Alex Sink is up by 7 in the governor's race. No, wait, Rick Scott is up by 6. The former is the Mason-Dixon poll from yesterday. The latter is the Rasmussen poll from today. What gives?
Not only are the top lines nearly opposite -- Rasmussen has Scott leading Sink 50-44, while Mason-Dixon has Sink up 47-40 -- but the internal findings are just as divergent.
Take Rasmussen's finding that Scott holds a monster 21-point edge among no-party voters. In Mason-Dixon, Sink holds a 16-point edge among the same voters. Consider the favorable/unfavorable margin. In Rasmussen, Scott enjoys a 53-39 split, and Sink's almost even at 45-46. Mason-Dixon has Scott underwater in this area, to the tune of 30-47, while Sink is at 44-23.
Rasmussen has taken heat in the past from liberals for being biased toward Republicans. Polling guru Nate Silver explains that Rasmussen has a different model than other polls, predicting a much more conservative turnout on Election Day. Whatever the case, for those of us who drink coffee and care about polls (though we're certainly not polling experts), today's Rasmussen survey could be described as a "coffee-spitter."
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