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Why the odds are with Minnick
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| Parent(s) |
Race
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| Contributor | Ralphie |
| Last Edited | Ralphie Aug 04, 2010 11:39pm |
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| Category | Blog Entry |
| Author | Randy Stapilus |
| News Date | Thursday, August 5, 2010 05:00:00 AM UTC0:0 |
| Description | Walt Minnick, Idaho’s 1st district Democratic representative, must be living right. Four months ago, this space had no serious doubts that he was unlikely to win re-election. Today (and really for the last month or two), he looks to have a clear path to re-election.
That’s not a change of mind. It’s a change of circumstance. And today, as the the Associated General Contractors of Idaho deliver their endorsement for Minnick, seems as reasonable a time as any to talk about that.
Some things from four months ago have not changed, or changed a lot. Minnick’s status as an incumbent has undoubtedly helped; Idaho voters don’t lightly toss out major-office incumbents, even Democrats – ousting no major-office Democrat since 1994, while re-electing several of them in the years since. And Minnick and his campaign people have been aware since election day 2008 that the re-election campaign had to start right then, and they’ve been at it aggressively ever since. Their campaign has made hardly any slips. Also, Minnick may not be Mr. Charisma, but he makes a positive impression, and a lot of people around the district like him. That includes a lot of Republicans. |
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