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Does All-Star game predict midterm gains?
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| Contributor | excelsior |
| Last Edited | excelsior Jul 14, 2010 01:15am |
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| Category | Analysis |
| Author | Daniel Strauss |
| News Date | Wednesday, July 14, 2010 07:00:00 AM UTC0:0 |
| Description |
It turns out that one of the best ways to figure out the fate of the Democratic House and Senate majorities is to follow the box score of Tuesday night’s Major League Baseball All-Star game.
According to an analysis by University of Minnesota professor Eric J. Ostermeier, who writes the Smart Politics blog, a National League victory in the Mid-Season Classic has preceded every election with double-digit GOP House gains since 1950.
The pattern is similar in the Senate. Since 1948, every time the Republicans have gained at least five Senate seats the National League has won. The flipside, however, is also true in the upper chamber: American League victories have preceded Democratic gains of five or more Senate seats since 1948.
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