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Will Ex-New Orleans Mayor Candidate Murray Run For US Congress
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Race
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| Contributor | Jason |
| Last Edited | Jason Feb 08, 2010 06:55pm |
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| Category | Speculative |
| Author | Christopher Tidmore |
| News Date | Wednesday, February 3, 2010 12:00:00 AM UTC0:0 |
| Description | With the New Orleans Mayor's race potentially drawing to an early close--that is, if Mitch Landrieu can pull off a primary win on Saturday, eyes are turning to the next potential political bloodbath in the fall--the re-election campaign of 2nd District Republican Congressman Joseph Cao.
On paper, Cao should be a goner in a district that voted for Barack Obama by 75% and where, despite missteps on Health Care and other issues, the President remains overwhelmingly popular. In such a strong-Democratic, overwhelmingly Black majority district, any Republican, even one who supported the President on Health Care, should go down to defeat.
That is, if that Republican faces one only Democratic candidate in November--not two or more running as "Independent Democrats". With multiple opponents in an Autumn general election, Cao could prevail--even if he were only to win, in theory, 35% of the vote. It is a "first past the post" system that is used in most of the rest of the nation and the English-speaking world, and only requires a candidate to win a plurality. There is no runoff.
In a breaking story, The Louisiana Weekly and Bayoubuzz have learned that a former Mayoral candidate has been seriously lobbied to be one of those Independent Democrats. State Senator Ed Murray might have dropped out of the Mayor's race, concluding that Mitch Landrieu could not be beaten, but until that point, he remained the African-American frontrunner, and enjoyed more white GOP support than most African-American Democrats have ever garner. As a candidate for Congress, the combination might be unstoppable. Certainly, Murray divides the Democratic vote, giving Cao a chance. |
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