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  Obama Popularity Declining in Virginia
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ContributorScott³ 
Last EditedScott³  Jul 09, 2009 09:01pm
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CategoryPoll
AuthorPublic Policy Polling
News DateThursday, July 9, 2009 02:00:00 AM UTC0:0
Description"A new Public Policy Polling survey looking at how likely voters for this fall’s election view Barack Obama finds his approval rating at just 48%, with 46% disapproving.

A poll looking at his numbers among an even year general electorate would likely be more favorable because of the greater number of African Americans and young voters that would be represented but PPP is gauging approval ratings in the context of the Gubernatorial race.

Obama’s reviews are highly polarized with 95% of Democrats but only 9% of Republicans giving him good marks. His overall numbers are weak due to poor numbers among independents- 52% of them say they disapprove of Obama’s performance with only 38% giving him favorable ones.

“There are a couple ways to look at this,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “You could argue in light of these numbers that it wouldn’t be that helpful for Creigh Deeds to have Barack Obama come and campaign for him. At the same time a primary purpose of Obama appearing would be to generate interest in the election among his base voters who turned out last year but wouldn’t generally vote in an off year election and thus aren’t getting polled.”

One person whose support is unambiguously helpful is Mark Warner. With an approval rating of 57%, he’s the fourth most popular of 34 Senators PPP has polled on in the last year. Tim Kaine’s numbers remain relatively strong as well at 49/38 and Jim Webb is at 46/42.

PPP surveyed 617 likely general election voters from June 30th to July 2nd. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.0%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify."
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