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  [Artur] Davis’ bid won’t hurt Democrats
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ContributorMonsieur 
Last EditedMonsieur  May 11, 2009 10:05pm
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CategoryOpinion
News DateTuesday, May 12, 2009 04:00:00 AM UTC0:0
DescriptionThe Alabama Democratic Party has two strong gubernatorial candidates in Congressman Artur Davis and Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks, and two others possibly on the way in Chief Justice Sue Bell Cobb and State Senator Roger Bedford.

This slate of incredibly qualified candidates and the growing line still forming on the Republican side provides rich material for those following the 2010 gubernatorial campaign in its earliest stages. Yet, the majority of the discussion and speculation surrounds the potential impact should Congressman Davis emerge as the Democratic nominee, for those candidates down ballot on the Democratic side.

Currently, the conventional wisdom seems to be that because President Barack Obama was at the top of the ticket, the results of the 2008 presidential race in Alabama project the outcome of the 2010 general election if another black man, specifically Congressman Davis, leads the ticket. This conclusion, based solely on a black candidate being at the top of the ticket, is simply wrong.

n Tennessee, our neighbor to the north, where the politics are just as conservative and demographics slightly less diverse, President Obama was defeated by 15 percentage points when McCain beat him 57 percent to 42 percent in 2008. But, just two years earlier, another black candidate, Congressman Harold Ford Jr., had a very different experience when he ran for the U.S. Senate. In that statewide election Ford narrowly lost to the former Mayor of Chattanooga Bob Corker by only 3 percentage points when Corker bested him 51 percent to 48 percent.
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