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An Absurdly Early Look at the 2012 House Races in Iowa
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Contributor | Karma Policeman |
Last Edited | Karma Policeman Dec 27, 2008 02:28pm |
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Category | Blog Entry |
News Date | Saturday, December 27, 2008 08:00:00 PM UTC0:0 |
Description | (From the diaries - promoted by DavidNYC)
The U.S. Census Bureau confirmed this week that Iowa will lose a Congressional district following the 2010 census unless we experience unprecedented (for Iowa) population growth in the next two years:
During the past eight years, Iowa has gained as many people - about 76,000 - as states like South Carolina and Virginia gained between 2007 and 2008 alone.
To retain the congressional seat, the state would have to gain nearly twice that number by 2010, according to projections by Election Data Services, a Washington, D.C.-based consulting firm that analyzes the impact of demographics on politics.
So, Iowa will be left with four Congressional districts. No one knows what the new map will look like, but it's likely that the 2012 race in the new third district will determine whether Iowa Democrats (who now hold a 3-2 edge in U.S. House seats) gain a 3-1 advantage or have to settle for a 2-2 split. |
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