|
|
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
|
Bradley Who? Here Comes the Obama Effect
|
|---|
| Parent(s) |
Race
|
| Contributor | WesternDem |
| Last Edited | WesternDem Oct 08, 2008 03:22pm |
| Logged |
0
|
| Category | Blog Entry |
| News Date | Wednesday, October 8, 2008 09:20:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | Everyone knows about the dreaded Bradley Effect: the phenomenon that leaves white voters loath to tell pollsters they won't vote for a black candidate. There's been a lot of fretting about this recently -- fretting, I find, that correlates with age: the older you are, the more likely you are to believe the Bradley Effect will turn up in this election. Here are some reasons Democrats needn't be overly worried, in ascending order of importance:
1. The event that gave the BE its name -- the 1982 California gubernatorial election, when Tom Bradley, the black mayor of Los Angeles, polled well and then lost resoundingly -- took place 26 years ago...
2. There are 60 million Americans of voting age who hadn't yet reached the age of eight in 1982. ...
3. Tennessee, 2006:...
4. One recent, ill-conceived analysis suggests that 6% of people polled will not admit that they will not vote for a black man. Ask yourself: even if this were accurate, how many of them would be likely to vote for a liberal Democrat anyway?...
5. Finally, and most importantly, isn't there another shoe to drop on this issue -- namely, the number of people who will vote for Obama because he's black?...
|
| Share |
|
|
2¢
|
|
| Article | Read Full Article |
|
| Date |
Category |
Headline |
Article |
Contributor |
|
|
