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Obama predicts black voter increase, Southern wins
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Candidate
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| Contributor | DFWDem |
| Last Edited | DFWDem Jul 16, 2008 03:17pm |
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| Category | General |
| Media | Website - Yahoo News |
| News Date | Wednesday, July 16, 2008 09:00:00 PM UTC0:0 |
| Description | RALEIGH, N.C. - If Barack Obama's historic campaign to become the first black president boosts black turnout as drastically as he predicts, he could crack decades of Republican dominance across the South.
That's a big "if."
Still, an Associated Press analysis of U.S. Census and voting data from the past four presidential elections shows a potentially dramatic impact should Obama fulfill his pledge to elevate black participation by 30 percent.
That would add nearly 1.8 million votes in 11 Southern states, the analysis shows, enough to tip the balance in several that have been Republican strongholds.
Besides the likely increase in black turnout, the Illinois senator also expects a surge of young voters to help him compete in states that have been reliably red since the once solidly Democratic South flipped to the Republicans in 1964.
"I can tell you that North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia and Alabama will be in play," asserts North Carolina Democratic Rep. G.K. Butterfield, an Obama adviser. "We're looking strongly at Tennessee and Mississippi." |
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