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McCain's path to victory
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Race
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Contributor | RP |
Last Edited | RP Apr 09, 2008 05:39pm |
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Category | Commentary |
News Date | Wednesday, April 9, 2008 06:10:00 PM UTC0:0 |
Description | It is April of 2008, a time when the Republican brand is at an all-time low.
And yet somehow, some way, John McCain is hanging in there. He is proving to be perhaps the only electable Republican in the country, short of Colin Powell or the ineligible Arnold Schwarzenegger.
Currently polls show McCain either narrowly ahead or even with both Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. It is impressive considering how poorly the GOP, and specifically the president, are viewed by the public.
But it is a faux lead. If the de facto Democratic nominee is clear within the next 4-6 weeks, that person will see a poll bounce. And according to GOP pollster Steve Lombardo, it could be one heck of a bounce, like post-convention. He anticipates the Democratic candidate will move up 10 points once the primary race is over.
That will be a jolting set of numbers for the McCain camp to absorb. They ought to be prepping the media now, because if they wait for the inevitable overreaction of the pundit class, the bounce will take on more importance.
He will either be the steady hand in uncertain times vs. Obama, or he'll be the breath of fresh air and openness in a campaign against Clinton.
As someone said to NBC's David Gregory, McCain will take up the space left by the defeated Democrat. |
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