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Obama has wider net, leakier boat
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Race
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Contributor | Brandonius Maximus |
Last Edited | Brandonius Maximus Mar 14, 2008 07:06pm |
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Category | Analysis |
News Date | Saturday, March 15, 2008 01:05:00 AM UTC0:0 |
Description | WASHINGTON - In the marathon Democratic presidential race, nothing that happens between now and the finish line is likely to make it much easier for the party to choose between Sens. Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton.
Both of their campaigns agree that even if Michigan and Florida hold do-over primaries, Obama is likely to maintain his lead in pledged delegates, albeit a relatively narrow one. With revotes in Michigan and Florida, Clinton might overcome Obama's advantage in the total popular vote, but even if she passes him, the margin is likely to be infinitesimal.
Nor are the mirror-image electoral coalitions that each candidate has assembled likely to change much. Each candidate, in fact, has attracted such a distinct and durable base of support that the party could probably save time and money by replacing the remaining 10 contests with computer simulations based on each state's demographics. |
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