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  Late surge to Howard
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Contributorparticleman 
Last Editedparticleman  Nov 23, 2007 08:28pm
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CategoryPoll
MediaNewspaper - Australian, The
News DateSaturday, November 24, 2007 02:00:00 AM UTC0:0
DescriptionKEVIN Rudd and Labor are the frontrunners in the 2007 election race but a late voter surge to John Howard and the Coalition has turned the poll into a tight contest.

As both leaders blitzed the key battleground of Queensland yesterday, the election became a real contest in the last 72 hours of a gruelling six-week campaign.

The final Newspoll survey of the election shows the Coalition virtually equal to the ALP on primary votes, 43 per cent to 44per cent, which is the Government's best performance in more than a year.

The Newspoll survey, taken exclusively for The Weekend Australian on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, shows a two-party-preferred vote of 52 per cent for Labor and 48 per cent for the Coalition.

The figures suggest a 5 per cent swing to the Labor Party since the last election in 2004, which, if there were a uniform national swing, would deliver 16 seats to Labor -- the exact number it needs for victory.

Indicative swings for each state in the survey suggest Labor could win up to 24 seats.

Mr Rudd leads Mr Howard as preferred prime minister by 47 per cent to 44 per cent, although the gap has closed and the Prime Minister's satisfaction rating has jumped from 47 per cent to 51 per cent.

Strong increases in support for the Coalition in Western Australia, Queensland, NSW and Victoria suggest the election will effectively be decided by how many seats Labor can win from the Liberals in Queensland, and if the Coalition can win any Labor seats in Western Australia.
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