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It's Moul or Never [NE-01]
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Race
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| Contributor | COSDem |
| Last Edited | COSDem Jul 21, 2006 12:08am |
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| Category | News |
| News Date | Friday, July 21, 2006 05:00:00 AM UTC0:0 |
| Description | With a first-term GOP incumbent facing a well-known Democratic challenger, Nebraska's solidly Republican 1st district offers Democrats a chance to prove their theory that Americans' desire for change will carry the minority party to a House takeover this fall.
Former Lt. Gov. Maxine Moul (D) contends Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R) is vulnerable, arguing his eastern Nebraska 1st district is susceptible to national political trends that remain perilous for Republicans - unlike the state's other two Congressional seats - and that the freshman Member has failed to forge lasting personal connections to his constituents.
"Voters are looking for a change, and Fortenberry is a freshman," Moul campaign spokesman Joe Lestingi said. "We've done our own polling and found that the concerns you see nationwide are no different here."
Republicans politely laughed off Moul's assertions and her poll, pointing not just to the political atmosphere of the district generally but also to Fortenberry's performance since winning an open-seat race in 2004.
Fortenberry prevailed in a ferocious three-way primary to secure his party's nomination that preceded his general election win against a highly touted Democrat.
Although internal polling conducted for Moul by Margie Omero of Momentum Analysis found Fortenberry leading the challenger 48 percent to 25 percent, with 27 percent undecided, Moul's campaign was heartened because the Congressman's support failed to reach 50 percent, while his favorability ranking topped out at 50 percent, with 19 percent of likely voters viewing him "strongly" favorable.
The poll of 400 likely voters, conducted May 31-June 4 and with a 4.9 percent. |
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