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[FL] Gallagher's Poll
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Race
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| Contributor | ArmyDem |
| Last Edited | ArmyDem Apr 20, 2006 10:55pm |
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| Category | Poll |
| News Date | Friday, April 21, 2006 04:00:00 AM UTC0:0 |
| Description | The Tom Gallagher gubernatorial campaign is touting to key supporters an internal poll astonishing in size. In a memo from consultant David Johnson, the campaign says it surveyed - get this - 3,000 likely Republican voters. That might sound hard to swallow, but new campaign reports shows the 3/14 expense (still sounds low to us) - $94,975 to Virginia-based Grassroots Targeting, LLC. Brett Doster said it's part of the micro-targeting the campaign is using, borrowing from the GW Bush playbook. Johnson's memo:
"As we thought, drilling down deep into the likely Republican primary voters by oversampling in large numbers in the media markets has showed the race wide open at this point, with over one-third of primary voters undecided and only 18% of the voters in a 'definite' category. By performing a 3,000 person statewide survey of proven and likely Republican primary voters, Crist leads Tom by only 2 points at 33-31. The margin of error for a sample of this size is +/- 1.79%."
Interesting media market numbers:
Tampa Bay: Crist 43% Gallagher 21%
Orlando: Gallagher 30% Crist 27%
Miami/FTL: Gallagher 35% Crist 24%
Jacksonville: Crist 30% Gallagher 28%
Mobile/Pensacola: Gallagher 31% Crist 23%
Ft. Myers/Naples: Gallagher 28% Crist 27% |
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