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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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Okay, We Lost Ohio. The Question Is, Why?
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| Parent(s) |
Race
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| Contributor | None Entered |
| Last Edited | None Entered Dec 06, 2004 06:07am |
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| Category | Analysis |
| Media | Newspaper - Washington Post |
| News Date | Sunday, December 5, 2004 06:00:00 AM UTC0:0 |
| Description | When it came to getting out the Democratic vote in Ohio during the presidential election, we hit our target numbers. My organization, America Coming Together, along with our 32 America Votes partner organizations, the Democratic National Committee and the Kerry-Edwards campaign not only exceeded our turnout goals for the Buckeye State, but far exceeded anything the Democrats have done in the past.
And we still lost. President Bush won the election by fewer than 130,000 votes out of 5.6 million cast in Ohio, according to the state's latest figures. We added 554,000 votes to our totals, but the Republicans countered with 508,000, enough to keep the state in their column.
Since then my colleagues and I have gone back to answer a nagging question: Who were all those Bush voters? Though much has been made of the Republican grass-roots effort in Ohio and elsewhere, we did not see the sort of Republican organization that seems necessary to produce that many new votes. Where did they come from?
We've done a post-election poll of 1,400 rural and exurban voters in Ohio counties that Bush won by an average of 17 percentage points. Their answers, and a closer look at other poll data, explode a few widely held theories about what happened. |
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