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  Democratic prospects for Hill takeover dim
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ContributorTony82 
Last EditedTony82  Sep 23, 2004 03:36pm
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CategoryAnalysis
MediaNewspaper - Christian Science Monitor
News DateThursday, September 23, 2004 06:00:00 AM UTC0:0
DescriptionIn a sharp change from just two months ago, Republicans are gaining a commanding position in the race for control of the US House and Senate.
While Democrats still say that a takeover on Capitol Hill, at least in the Senate, is within reach, they're saying it with less conviction.

But another factor looms large: the Democrats' expected lift from a strong presidential showing has yet to materialize. A surge at the top of the ticket can transform the campaign landscape down to the county or town. It can rouse the base and prod the uncommitted to commit the simple act of voting.

With the Kerry campaign running only even with President Bush or falling back, that momentum is missing.

"Two months ago, there was a sense that Kerry was going to run so well that that could be enough to give Democratic challengers a victory in tough districts. Now, I don't see that," says Amy Walter, an analyst at the Cook Political Report.
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