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"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
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The Economist Forecast
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| Parent | Parent Race |
| Contributor | RP |
| Post Date | , 12:am |
| Description | Our model is updated every day and combines state and national polls with economic indicators to predict a range of outcomes. The midpoint is the estimate of the electoral-college vote for each party on election day.
Our model combines the national prediction with polls and political-economic factors at the state level. We take into account that states that are similar are likely to move with each other; if Donald Trump wins Minnesota, he will probably win Wisconsin too. |
| Article | Read Article |
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