Wall Street Journal Biden Leads Trump Carrying FL and NC while America Holds Off Declaring Victor as Count Continues in PA and MI New York Post America to Trump "You're Fired!" (<-You know that's gonna be a headline somewhere if Trump loses) Fox News Big Tech Blocks Trump Tweets, Biden Leads Count OAN New Revelations from Hunter Biden's Laptop as Democrats Steal Election Kazakhstan Today Local Girl Marries "America's Mayor" TMZ Kanye West institutionalized after election night outburst

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1323760159794016257?s=20

the general sense i'm getting from results I saw in MO is that only one state legislative district out of the 180 on the ballot is in line to flip. There's some strong "if you won in 2018, you won in 2020" energy for the results. Which of course means a bunch of pollsters are about to take a hit once everything is figured out.

The whole polling industry is in a mess. Things went about as expected in CO, including that our polling was relatively accurate for major races. Suburbs continued to trend blue, with one very tight DA race which could elect the first Dem as DA ever. Dems picked up a couple of seats in House and Senate. I'm looking forward to getting down to the county level outside of the Denver metro area. Looks like some very interesting trends developing. We live in a 50/50 country, we'll just need to get used to that and the passion that goes along with it on both sides.

Pyrrhic victory for Biden if Michigan and Wisconsin go as expected. Senate was a disaster. Without a majority, Biden will be unable to do anything. As a result, public dissatisfaction will grow and the GOP is on pace for another blowout victory in the 2022 midterms. It's the same thing over and over again.

Yeah, it looks like a surprisingly status quo election, which is weird for 202. Democrats/Biden are also going to be blamed for the horrible economy that's going to happen next year. And McConnell won't let any judicial seats be filled by Biden.

Trump has obviously found a way to mobilize a lot of otherwise lower turnout voters who love his horribleness. The GOP isn't going to give that up even if Trump himself goes away.

So what will be the headline Wednesday morning? I'm guessing "Biden Sweeps Sun Belt", as we anticlimactically wait for the upper Midwest to finish counting after the winner of the election is known. I think I better keep my day job...

I think there's a very real chance Trump runs again in 2024 given how close it is. The nomination is his with very little effort.

I think there's a very real chance Trump runs again in 2024 given how close it is. The nomination is his with very little effort. Regardless of whether he runs, he will continue to dominate the Republican Party in the mean time.

really looking forward to the 2022 scenario where some Ds decide to sit on their hands because Biden didn't give away ponies while working with a split Congress. You know, the "pack the Supreme Court, even if we haven't won the Senate yet, or else we'll do stuff" sort of crowd that spent their October being very productive. I suspect one big polling problem is that their weighting just isn't right. You got people like Ann Selzer who actually came somewhat closer than a bunch of pollsters that herded or pumped sunshine.

I suspect one big polling problem is that their weighting just isn't right. You got people like Ann Selzer who actually came somewhat closer than a bunch of pollsters that herded or pumped sunshine. Part of it might also be the effect of one side doing Get Out The Vote and the other not doing so.

I suspect some of the reason why Trump didn't try making hay of the BLM marches occurring shortly before an increase in cases is because he really wanted to do campaign events too. But it is sorta hard to talk about doing GOTV when the turnout for this one is going to be sky high (in terms of registered voters). It's not exactly like we had 1996 where a bunch of voters stayed home and made it closer than expected.

The whole polling industry is in a mess. Absolutely. The difference between the final polling averages and the actual results is more striking this time. The Republicans had discredited the polling before the race, and if anything their internal polling was closer to the result than what Nate Silver etal. predicted. Also the pollsters have gone into hiding the past two days. They just recently explained that they had corrected their models for this year, but now they are off more than earlier. They aren't appearing on television or talk shows around here anyway.

Pretty remarkable. I actually checked that last night.