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  Israel Legislative Election
EVENT DETAILS
ParentParent   
TypeGeneral Election
TitleIsrael Legislative Election
Start Date/TimeSeptember 17, 2019 12:00am
End Date/TimeSeptember 17, 2019 12:00pm
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia - July 25, 2019 08:23pm
Description

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 17, 2019 08:40am Analysis New! Israel’s election, and how Benjamin Netanyahu might lose, explained  Article RP 
Jul 25, 2019 06:40am Announcement Meretz, former PM Barak, Labor defector Shaffir announce joint Knesset run  Article IndyGeorgia 
Jul 18, 2019 08:55pm News Labor’s Peretz joins forces with Orly Levy-Abekasis, shuns Meretz  Article IndyGeorgia 

DISCUSSION
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1
Previous Messages]
 
I:9626Bojicat ( 105.8120 points)
Tue, September 17, 2019 09:20:47 PM UTC0:00
If exit polls are correct (and they've been consistently rotten), Blue and white should corral a seat or two past Likud. The Arab Joint List should see third place.

The horse trading after is the thing:

Avigdor Liberman's party is projected to take 10+ seats. That makes him the 'kingmaker' here. The number of politicos rushing to kiss each one of his hairy toes will be something he'll find intensely pleasurable.

This from the KAN exit poll:

Likud: 32
Blue and White: 32
Joint List: 12
Yisrael Beytenu: 10
Shas: 9
United Torah Judaism: 8
Yamina: 7
Democratic Camp: 5
Labor-Gesher: 5
Otzma Yehudit: 0

Right-wing bloc without Liberman: 56
Center-left, Arab parties and Liberman: 64

I don't believe Netanyahu will sacrifice his religious allies to accommodate Liberman.

Gantz, on the other hand, would bow then scrape both sides of his face three times to get Lieberman's support, then wheel him into the Beit HaNassi under glass on an emerald-encrusted rolling shelf tray if he could.

 
D:1RP ( 4480.1450 points)
Tue, September 17, 2019 09:48:39 PM UTC0:00
The Channel 13 exit poll has Likud at 31 and Blue and White at 33. Right 54, left 58.

The Channel 12 exit poll has Likud at 33 and Blue and White at 34. Right 57, left 55.

Bojicat posed the Channel 11 exit poll.

 
D:1RP ( 4480.1450 points)
Tue, September 17, 2019 10:13:15 PM UTC0:00
The Yamina party announced on Tuesday evening its intention to split into two factions in the Knesset: the Jewish Home-National Union headed by Rabbi Rafi Peretz, and the New Right led by Ayelet Shaked and Naftali Bennett. - [Link]

 
D:1RP ( 4480.1450 points)
Tue, September 17, 2019 10:14:28 PM UTC0:00

 
D:1RP ( 4480.1450 points)
Wed, September 18, 2019 12:23:31 AM UTC0:00

 
D:1RP ( 4480.1450 points)
Wed, September 18, 2019 12:38:11 AM UTC0:00

 
D:1RP ( 4480.1450 points)
Wed, September 18, 2019 12:39:04 AM UTC0:00

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 1944.3372 points)
Wed, September 18, 2019 01:15:37 AM UTC0:00
Turnout of 69.4%, up from 68.5% in April. Accordingly to Jerusalem Post correspondent Gil Hoffman, turnout among Arabs was 61% (up from 49% in April).

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 105.8120 points)
Wed, September 18, 2019 04:43:50 AM UTC0:00
A double-edged sword now dangles over Gantz. Lieberman will NOT be part of a coalition with the Joint List. Gantz cannot hope to form a government without the Joint List. What to do?

Either Lieberman and Netanyahu make a face-saving deal or Gantz and Netanyahu join together in a grand coalition. I see no other possibility. Negotiations will take months then...... another election?

Why I loathe parliamentary systems.

 
D:1RP ( 4480.1450 points)
Wed, September 18, 2019 02:25:39 PM UTC0:00
Bojicat: I see no other possibility.

There's talk that Likud replaces Netanyahu and then forms a grand coalition. It's unlikely that they give Netanyahu immunity for the charges against him with these results, so replacing him is possibly going to happen anyway. He won't go without a fight though.

Importance? 8.0000 Average