Georgia's Start as a State
In April 1776, Georgia's 3rd Provinicial Congress adopted the "Rules and Regulations" [Link]
for the government of Georgia pending advice and direction from the Continental Congress.
These "Rules and Regulations" took effect on May 1, 1776. These served as a framework until
February 1777 when Georgia's 1st State constitution was adopted.
Georgia is the only colony of the original 13 that did not officially declare independence.
Some overlap occurs between the State of Georgia and the Colony of Georgia [Link] after 1776.
In late 1778, the British invaded Georgia, restoring large areas within Georgia to colonial rule,
making this the only colony that was regained by the British once they had been expelled. The
British evacuated on July 11, 1782, thus ending colonial rule in Georgia.
State of Georgia - The Peach State
"Wisdom, Justice and Moderation"
There is certainly reason to think that Democrats will do better than they usually do in a runoff election, but it's not enough to do as well as they did in the general. Keeping expectations low (as a Democrat) is definitely the safe bet.
There is certainly reason to think that Democrats will do better than they usually do in a runoff election, but it's not enough to do as well as they did in the general. Keeping expectations low (as a Democrat) is definitely the safe bet.
I remember refusing to believe Florida early voting numbers in November, which showed Trump was going to win. They ended up being extremely predictive. Seeing current early voting numbers, I think that democrats are certainly in stronger position than Republicans. We will see how election day turnout works itself out.
I've also been interested by polls which show Loeffler doing a bit better than Perdue. I think most assume, based on November, that if there was a D/R split it would be Perdue and Warnock. Now, I'm not so sure that is true.
I remember refusing to believe Florida early voting numbers in November, which showed Trump was going to win. They ended up being extremely predictive. Seeing current early voting numbers, I think that democrats are certainly in stronger position than Republicans. We will see how election day turnout works itself out.
I've also been interested by polls which show Loeffler doing a bit better than Perdue. I think most assume, based on November, that if there was a D/R split it would be Perdue and Warnock. Now, I'm not so sure that is true.
If this is anything but a Republican sweep, it will be seen as a Biden / Democratic victory and democracy Republicans will seize the Republican loss to drive the point (or further argue) that Trump is a loser.
Trump of course will claim there was voter fraud win or lose. And a lot of Republicans will believe him.
Josh Hawley will, as usual, play all sides.
If this is anything but a Republican sweep, it will be seen as a Biden / Democratic victory and democracy Republicans will seize the Republican loss to drive the point (or further argue) that Trump is a loser.
Trump of course will claim there was voter fraud win or lose. And a lot of Republicans will believe him.
If this is anything but a Republican sweep, it will be seen as a Biden / Democratic victory and democracy Republicans will seize the Republican loss to drive the point (or further argue) that Trump is a loser.
Trump of course will claim there was voter fraud win or lose. And a lot of Republicans will believe him.
Josh Hawley will, as usual, play all sides.
I'm actually genuinely curious at this point. Would a victory for both Republicans help Trump (ie he kept the senate for 3 cycles) or hurt him (a GOP sweep shows that there is no fraud in Georgia)?
BrentinCO: If this is anything but a Republican sweep, it will be seen as a Biden / Democratic victory and democracy Republicans will seize the Republican loss to drive the point (or further argue) that Trump is a loser.
Trump of course will claim there was voter fraud win or lose. And a lot of Republicans will believe him.
Josh Hawley will, as usual, play all sides.
I'm actually genuinely curious at this point. Would a victory for both Republicans help Trump (ie he kept the senate for 3 cycles) or hurt him (a GOP sweep shows that there is no fraud in Georgia)?
If Republicans lose, I think the Trump Republicans will try to pin this on Kemp/Raffensperger for failing to stand with the President and depressing Republican voters. The establishment Republicans will hang this around Trump and Lin Wood's neck by sowing distrust about voting.
I'll be watching the northern Atlanta suburbs tonight. Perdue ran about five points better than Trump in some north Fulton cities, and that could be the difference.
If Republicans lose, I think the Trump Republicans will try to pin this on Kemp/Raffensperger for failing to stand with the President and depressing Republican voters. The establishment Republicans will hang this around Trump and Lin Wood's neck by sowing distrust about voting.
I'll be watching the northern Atlanta suburbs tonight. Perdue ran about five points better than Trump in some north Fulton cities, and that could be the difference.
I'm actually genuinely curious at this point. Would a victory for both Republicans help Trump (ie he kept the senate for 3 cycles) or hurt him (a GOP sweep shows that there is no fraud in Georgia)?
Well, the people alleging voter fraud seem to be ignoring the downballot GOP successes then, so I think the cognitive dissonance there will continue.
Kyle: I'm actually genuinely curious at this point. Would a victory for both Republicans help Trump (ie he kept the senate for 3 cycles) or hurt him (a GOP sweep shows that there is no fraud in Georgia)?
Well, the people alleging voter fraud seem to be ignoring the downballot GOP successes then, so I think the cognitive dissonance there will continue.
Perdue is in much better shape than Loeffler. I truly believe Loeffler is the worst republican serving in the Senate, and its clear suburban moderates aren't fans either, the issue for Warnock is his struggle to appeal to them as well.
Perdue is in much better shape than Loeffler. I truly believe Loeffler is the worst republican serving in the Senate, and its clear suburban moderates aren't fans either, the issue for Warnock is his struggle to appeal to them as well.
Ossoff struggles to appeal to black voters, and they are key, I assume we all know this. Ossoff and Warnock need to drive up turnout among southern black farmers and in Atlanta, as well as make the "security moms" comfortable with voting for them.
Ossoff struggles to appeal to black voters, and they are key, I assume we all know this. Ossoff and Warnock need to drive up turnout among southern black farmers and in Atlanta, as well as make the "security moms" comfortable with voting for them.
Well half an hour after the polls have closed, with a third of a million votes counted, the NYT needles show a slight Democratic shift.
At this minute the NYT needle looks better for Warnock as opposed to Ossoff.
Chronicler: Well half an hour after the polls have closed, with a third of a million votes counted, the NYT needles show a slight Democratic shift.
At this minute the NYT needle looks better for Warnock as opposed to Ossoff.
At this minute the NYT needle looks better for Warnock as opposed to Ossoff.
I noticed that, too.
One other thing: in the counties with over 95% reporting (which is three Republican counties right now), the Democrats have narrowed the Republican lead by hundreds of votes in each. The Democrats have roughly the same vote as two months ago and the difference comes from a dropoff in the Republican vote.
WSNJ: At this minute the NYT needle looks better for Warnock as opposed to Ossoff.
I noticed that, too.
One other thing: in the counties with over 95% reporting (which is three Republican counties right now), the Democrats have narrowed the Republican lead by hundreds of votes in each. The Democrats have roughly the same vote as two months ago and the difference comes from a dropoff in the Republican vote.
Okay I compared the returns in 10 counties now reporting 95% or more of their votes. Since Warnock is doing better than Ossoff and also Ossoff's race is easier to compare, I am only comparing the Perdue-Ossoff race. So far in these 10 counties, Ossoff has closed the gap in nine, shaving a total of 6,881 off Perdue's margin two months ago. Thus far Perdue has only increased his margin in Webster County.
Okay I compared the returns in 10 counties now reporting 95% or more of their votes. Since Warnock is doing better than Ossoff and also Ossoff's race is easier to compare, I am only comparing the Perdue-Ossoff race. So far in these 10 counties, Ossoff has closed the gap in nine, shaving a total of 6,881 off Perdue's margin two months ago. Thus far Perdue has only increased his margin in Webster County.
Ten more counties are over 95%: eight Republican counties and two Democratic ones (Jefferson and Washington). In these counties, Perdue leads overall by 14,015 but two months ago he was ahead by 17,359. That means that Ossoff has closed the gap by 3,344 in these counties.
Ten more counties are over 95%: eight Republican counties and two Democratic ones (Jefferson and Washington). In these counties, Perdue leads overall by 14,015 but two months ago he was ahead by 17,359. That means that Ossoff has closed the gap by 3,344 in these counties.
From my perspective, no real loss for the Republican caucus if Loeffler goes down as expected. Never a big fan of hers and really don't know if she really believed in what she campaigned on. I was wholly un impressed with her.
If Perdue loses it will have a much more meaningful impact for Republicans - even beyond just losing the chamber to Democrats. Perdue is a smart, hard-working Senator. He is a conservative thought leader, master negotiator and I think could have played a key part in healing the caucus / party division after Trump leaves.
From my perspective, no real loss for the Republican caucus if Loeffler goes down as expected. Never a big fan of hers and really don't know if she really believed in what she campaigned on. I was wholly un impressed with her.
If Perdue loses it will have a much more meaningful impact for Republicans - even beyond just losing the chamber to Democrats. Perdue is a smart, hard-working Senator. He is a conservative thought leader, master negotiator and I think could have played a key part in healing the caucus / party division after Trump leaves.
Warnock will also have to run again in 2022. And with Stacey Abrams the likely D Gubernatorial Candidate. Not a bad running mate if you looking to get out your vote.
Warnock will also have to run again in 2022. And with Stacey Abrams the likely D Gubernatorial Candidate. Not a bad running mate if you looking to get out your vote.