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| D:411 | Picimpalious ( 1229.68 points)
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| April 24, 2013 07:52pm |
This will be your financial ruin.
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| D:411 | Picimpalious ( 1229.68 points)
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| March 26, 2013 01:06am |
Mitch McConnell birthday cunnilingus.
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May the Union continue forever.
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I think it's more likely that Bostic wins the primary then easily wins the general.
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| D:411 | Picimpalious ( 1229.68 points)
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| March 25, 2013 05:15pm |
Next Senator to come out in favor of gay marriage: John McCain.
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and it'll be Kaine or Warner.
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and of course, there is a chance Yesh Atid wins the next election and makes me look like a dumbass. I really hope that doesn't happen though.
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Where will these people go when Yesh Atid inevitably denigrates?
Yair Lapid: His ego won't allow him to join another party. He'll probably be leading Yesh Atid even if he's the only member.
Shai Piron: An Orthodox rabbi who formerly held very conservative views. He's been trying to convince people he's legitimately liberal now and he may be telling the truth. Given that he doesn't fit anywhere else and that he's so high on the list, I think he would stick with Lapid. The Jewish Home and Likud aren't totally out of the question though.
Yael German: Former member of Meretz. Former mayor of Herzliya, where all the bureaucrats live. She'll likely go back to her old party.
Meir Cohen: Former member of Yisrael Beytenu. Former mayor of Dimona, depressing southern industrial town where the nuclear reactor is based. He'd probably return to his old party and/or Likud.
Yaakov Peri: Former head of Shin Bet (the internal security service). He was in the documentary The Gatekeepers. I haven't seen it but based on that I'm guessing he's a moderate wonky peacenik. I would guess he'd join whatever fadish centrist party replaces Yesh Atid.
Ofer Shelah: Former journalist. The most left-wing member of Yesh Atid. He refused and offer to become Deputy Defense Minister and has been critical of The Jewish Home. He'd join Labor.
Aliza Lavie: An Orthodox woman. She's the only member of Yesh Atid on record as opposing civil marriage. She'll join Likud.
Yoel Razvozov: A former judo champion. Don't know anything about his actual politics. Probably stay with Lapid or join another bull**** centrist party. Maybe Yisrael Beytenu because he's Russian?
Adi Koll: Very concerned about the poor but also fond of bull**** centrist rhetoric. Will probably stay in the centre or maybe maybe join Labor.
Karin Elharar: Her gimmick is that she's in a wheelchair. Based on that, I'll guess she's left-wing.
Mickey Levy: Former head of the Jerusalem police. Appointed Lapid's deputy in the Finance Minister so he must be up his ass. Probably stay in the centre. Second most likely option is he would join Likud.
Shimon Solomon: Black guy. Guessing he's left-wing.
Ruth Calderon: Secular Torah scholar. Got pilloried by the right after suggesting it might be worth changing the national anthem to something less Jew-y. Would probably join Labor.
Pnina Tamano-Shata: Black lady. Guessing she's left-wing.
Rina Frenkel: Don't know anything about her politics except she's a Russian immigrant. Maybe Beytenu?
Yifat Kariv: Profession listed as "activist" so probably left-wing.
Dov Lipman: American born ultra-Orthodox rabbi. He's very close to Lapid but only agreed to take the 17th spot on his Knesset list, which didn't seem at all realistic before the election. That makes me think he doesn't really want to be here. He'll either stay with Yesh Atid or not seek re-election.
Boaz Toporovsky: Former head of the National Union of Israeli Students. Another former head of that organization is leftist Labor MK Itzik Shmuli. Based on that, maybe he's left-wing? He was also an aid to centrist Labor MK Isaac Herzog. Based on that maybe he's centrist? He also tried to create a "Kurdish Freedom Flotilla" in response to the Gaza flotilla. Based on that, maybe he's a right-wing blowhard? He'll probably stay with the bull**** centre.
Ronen Hoffman: Former aid to Yitzhak Rabin. Probably stays in the bull**** centre, off chance he returns to Labor.
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| D:411 | Picimpalious ( 1229.68 points)
x2
| March 15, 2013 08:43pm |
lkjd;fads
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| D:411 | Picimpalious ( 1229.68 points)
x3
| February 22, 2013 11:30pm |
I actually think it's very likely the next Pope will end mandatory celibacy for priests because 1) There seriously won't be enough priests otherwise and 2) it would be the easiest way for the Church to score some good PR points without conceding ground theologically or admitting to past wrongdoing.
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| D:411 | Picimpalious ( 1229.68 points)
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| November 25, 2012 08:39pm |
She won't win the primary.
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| D:411 | Picimpalious ( 1229.68 points)
| November 05, 2012 09:24pm |
Final prediction: 51-47-2
MA, ND, and NV all staying red.
MT, WI, and MO all staying red.
IN goes blue.
NE goes red.
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| D:411 | Picimpalious ( 1229.68 points)
| October 11, 2012 05:14pm |
William Shakesman: Ryan will crush Biden, sadly.
Ryan and Biden will do about the same but the media will declare Ryan the winner because that's the narrative the media have decided on for the next couple of weeks. At least until Obama starts a "comeback" in the second or third debate.
Also, prediction. If Obama "wins" the second debate, the third debate is "too close to call."
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| D:411 | Picimpalious ( 1229.68 points)
| October 02, 2012 06:54pm |
I'm a bit worried Colorado might flip.
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| D:411 | Picimpalious ( 1229.68 points)
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| September 30, 2012 06:29pm |
The media will probably say Romney wins the first or second debate, just to make things interesting.
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| D:411 | Picimpalious ( 1229.68 points)
x5
| August 24, 2012 04:41pm |
Plurality for whoever wins. Libertarian takes 5+%.
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The Republican Party runs on its weaknesses. They lampshade their problems. They also use Big Lie psychology.
Democrats will point out Ryan wants to destroy Social Security. He'll say he actually wants to save it and the Democrats wouldn't be able to fund it.
Stupid people will believe him.
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I think Jason inadvertently already figured out Smart's entire troll shtick.
Every comment follows the same template, he says dumb things about topics he knows nothing about but says them super confidently.
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AZ: R hold.
CA: D hold.
CT: D gain from sorta D.
DE: D hold.
FL: D hold thanks to Republican incompetence.
HI: D hold regardless of who wins the primary. Although there's more of a chance of an upset with Case. Luckily I don't think he wins.
IN: R hold but with a plurality and the Libertarian winning near 5%.
ME: I (sorta D) gain. (D+1)
MD: D hold.
MA: R hold.
MI: D hold.
MN: D hold.
MS: R hold.
MO: R gain regardless of candidate although the candidate will be Brunner. (R+1)
MT: R gain. (R+1)
NE: R gain. (R+1)
NV: R hold.
NJ: D hold.
NM: D hold.
NY: D hold.
ND: D hold (this is my only risky pick).
OH: D hold.
PA: D hold.
RI: D hold.
TN: R hold.
TX: R hold.
UT: R hold.
VT: I hold.
VA: D hold.
WA: D hold.
WV: D hold although Manchin will become even more of a pain for Democrats during his first full term.
WI: D hold. I venture to say regardless of the Republican nominee although I'm pretty sure it will be Hovde.
WY: R hold. Al Hamburg as Democratic candidate.
Overall, 2 seat net gain for Republicans.
49 Republicans
49 Democrats (one of whom is Joe Manchin)
1 Bernie Sanders
1 Angus King
I guess technically that means I'm predicting Democratic control but I wouldn't really call that "control."
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| D:411 | Picimpalious ( 1229.68 points)
x2
| July 19, 2012 10:49pm |
I think he would have a shot in an open seat.
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Romney probably will release all his tax returns at some point. He'll get praise for doing it.
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He'll appoint some former CEO.
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J.R.: Romney needs to take a bigger chance. If he goes with Portman he'll lose the election by a respectable margin, but he'll still lose. He needs to throw a Hail Mary pass and hope that the random person he chose off the bench catches it. Palin fumbled big time last time, but if she had caught it...
Agreed. Paul is the potential VP candidate I'm most afraid of. Even if he loses, he'll active a youth contingency that will help the GOP in future elections.
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I could see her pulling a Galloway.
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It was likely one of the people who claims to be 14.
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