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  nystate63
USER DETAILS
Screen Namenystate63   
NamePatrick
Location, NY,
Email
BirthdaySeptember 25, 1983
AffiliationGood Neighbor
First LoginMarch 18, 2004 04:27pm
Last LoginMay 20, 2013 01:22pm
Predictions Points: 2038.5254
Predictions: 1409/1550 (90.90%)
Points Per: 2038.5254/1550 (1.32)
Messages Posted 1,562
DISCUSSION
 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)May 19, 2013 03:59pm
Now he says that he'll quit tomorrow: [Link]
News

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)May 15, 2013 06:04pm
The CPUSA wasn't so thrilled with McDonald's presence on the People Before Profits ticket:

Some CP supporters may have been more than a little unhappy about running a candidate whose name appeared around town on red. white and blue striped campaign stickers. But they were really squirming in their seats October 20, when at the PBP's Borough of Manhattan Community College rally they heard with their own ears McDonald's anti-Semitic ravings. There was no mistaking his racist message. Less than a minute into his speech, McDonald began ranting that "It's a travesty that in the city of New York. we are about to elect three white, Jewish males to run the city-wide offices of this city." There was plenty of muttering in the heavily Jewish audience, and one elderly woman yelled out "They're three millionaires!" McDonald was undeterred. He went on to denounce the makeup of the Board of Estimate for including "Ed Koch, Andy Stein, Jay Goldin, Donald Manes, Howard Golden, Stanley Simon...." And after this recitation of Jewish names he attacked real estate developers for throwing old women on the street "so they can get a few more shekels."

[Link]
Candidate

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)May 14, 2013 04:48pm
Are you sure? Harry W. Laidler was the Socialist candidate for US Senator on the same day: [Link]
Candidate

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)May 04, 2013 07:44am
Supposedly Sampson will be the next NY legislator to take the walk of shame: [Link]
Candidate

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)April 19, 2013 11:17am
Yep, that's him.
Candidate

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)March 13, 2013 05:55pm
Democrats also picked up the county legislature seat that makes up a big chunk of this district in January.
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)December 08, 2012 12:22pm
IIRC, it went something like this:

-Prior to the 1964 election, the Senate had 33 Rs and 25 Ds.

-The Democrats picked up nine seats in the 1964 wave, giving them control of the chamber 34-24.

-Up until and including the 1964 election, the state reapportioned assembly seats by county (go to the assembly page and turn back the date--you'll get the idea). One-man/one-vote meant that the legislature had to re-draw the districts. They increased the number of assembly seats from 150 to 165, and the number of senate seats from 58 to 65.

-An election using the new districts is held in November 1965. The GOP re-takes the Senate, but the Democrats keep the assembly.

-A court-ordered reapportionment in 1966 again changed the number of seats, bringing the assembly back to 150 seats and the senate to 57.
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)December 05, 2012 06:42pm
Amedore leads by 110, but there are 877 ballots that were challenged. Most of the challenges came from the GOP.
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)November 25, 2012 10:12am
The New York papers often referred to Teddy Roosevelt as "Colonel Roosevelt" after his presidency was over.
Candidate

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)November 21, 2012 06:34pm
As of this morning Amedore had a lead of about 100 votes: [Link]
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)November 12, 2012 01:13pm
William Shakesman: The third line is pretty indisputable. A lot of Reform and Conservative Jews intermarry with other ethnicities and become less attached to a Jewish identity. The Orthodox communities have very high birthrates with very little intermarriage, so I think the political character of the American Jewish community (if we continue to use the Halakhic definition of who is a Jew) will be very different.

Not that it'll make any kind of difference in New York's electoral votes, but there definitely has been a change in Jewish identity in NYC. According to a 2012 UJA-Federation of New York study, 40% of Jews in NYC identify themselves as Orthodox (up from 33% in 2002), and 74% of Jewish children in the city are Orthodox. [Link]
News

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)November 11, 2012 05:40pm
Happy Birthday RBH!
User

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)November 08, 2012 08:20pm
Oregon?
Issue

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)November 07, 2012 04:39pm
And Ed Romaine finally wins a legitimately competitive race.
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)November 07, 2012 04:33pm
With one race still out, it looks like the Democrats have picked up 5 seats:

22nd (new seat created by eliminating a Buffalo-area GOP district)
93rd (incumbent Castelli lost)
99th (open)
111th (open)
127th (incumbent Miller lost)

The remaining seat is the 3rd, where the Republican incumbent has a small lead.
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)November 07, 2012 08:05am
If Tkaczyk defeats Amedore (she has a 139 vote lead out of over 115,000 ballots cast), then the Democrats will have 32 seats not including Simcha Felder, which would give them outright control of the chamber. Even then, there's the issue of the Independent Democratic caucus, which would then have a big say in the next Majority Leader.

If Tkaczyk doesn't defeat Amedore, then each side will have 31 definite seats, leaving Simcha Felder as the decider.
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)November 05, 2012 10:58pm
I think Saland was the only one.
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)September 27, 2012 10:00pm
Marchione won: [Link]
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)September 14, 2012 05:53pm
Felder hid in the council chamber's men's room in 2006 so that he wouldn't have to vote against (or for) Christine Quinn as council speaker. [Insert GOP men's room joke here.]
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)September 13, 2012 11:00pm
Assuming all the numbers hold up, Rivera is the only member of the assembly to lose tonight. Read these to learn about her shenanigans:
[Link]
[Link]
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)September 13, 2012 09:21pm
I figure Erie County to be a good deal more socially conservative than the Hudson Valley, but it looks like Grisanti had the easiest night of the three Republicans that voted for the Marriage Equality Act.
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)September 13, 2012 09:06pm
It'll be interesting to see how Grisanti did in the Working Families opportunity to ballot primary.
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)September 07, 2012 06:53pm
I think these are the same Mark Alan Siegels: [Link]
News

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)September 05, 2012 09:56pm
The new 37th is about 56/43 Obama--the old district was 65/34.
Race

 
GN:1087nystate63 ( 2038.53 points)September 05, 2012 09:45pm
Along with the 37th this is probably the GOP's best shot at flipping a seat. The old 15th was 61/38 Obama and 42% Non-Hispanic white. The new 15th is about 55/44 Obama and 58% Non-Hispanic white.
Race

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