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  AL US Senate - Special R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Alabama > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline May 16, 2017 - 04:00pm Central
Polls Open August 15, 2017 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close August 15, 2017 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start December 13, 2017 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 8.74% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedPaul August 16, 2017 11:14am
Data Sources[Link]
Description If no candidate wins a majority, a runoff will be held on September 26th.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won02/09/2017
NameLuther Strange Votes1 (100.00%)
Term02/09/2017 - 11/07/2018 Margin1 (+100.00%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceAL US Senate - Special Election 12/12/2017
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/03/2017 08/15/2017
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Luther Strange 1 1 1 --
Roy Moore 2 2 1 --
Leaning Call: Roy Moore (60.00%)
Weighted Call: Luther Strange (313.68%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

07/20/2017 08/13/2017

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Chief Justice Roy Moore (I) Sen. Luther Strange Rep. Morris J. "Mo" Brooks St. Sen. Tripp Pittman Randy Brinson Bryan Peeples Mary Maxwell
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (97.54% in)162,570 (38.90%) 136,910 (32.76%) 82,363 (19.71%) 28,846 (6.90%) 2,601 (0.62%) 1,546 (0.37%) 1,526 (0.37%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -25,660 (-6.14%) -80,207 (-19.19%) -133,724 (-31.99%) -159,969 (-38.27%) -161,024 (-38.53%) -161,044 (-38.53%)
Estimated Final166,566 (38.90%) 140,275 (32.76%) 84,387 (19.71%) 29,555 (6.90%) 2,664 (0.62%) 1,584 (0.37%) 1,563 (0.37%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 04/26/2017 01/21/2017 05/15/2017 05/16/2017 04/24/2017 05/16/2017 05/16/2017
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (8 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg31.95%-- 26.16%-- 17.17%-- 7.47%-- 2.92%-- 0.91%-- 2.69%--
Trafalgar Group 
08/12/17-08/13/17
37.72% 2.6 24.42% 1.4 17.46% 2.2 5.71% 0.4 5.64% 2.1 0.83% -- 1.49% 0.3
Emerson College 
08/10/17-08/12/17
29.00% -- 32.00% -- 15.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
08/08/17-08/10/17
35.07% -- 23.07% -- 19.68% -- 6.13% -- 3.51% -- 0.82% -- 1.76% --
Cygnal (R) 
08/08/17-08/09/17
30.70% 4.7 22.60% 10.4 17.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategy Research 
08/03/17-08/08/17
35.00% -- 29.00% -- 19.00% -- 9.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 4.00% --
JMC Enterprises 
08/05/17-08/06/17
30.00% -- 22.00% -- 19.00% -- 6.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name James Paul Beretta Dominic "Dom" Gentile Joseph F. Breault  
PartyRepublican Republican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes (97.54% in)1,058 (0.25%) 299 (0.07%) 249 (0.06%)  
Margin-161,512 (-38.64%) -162,271 (-38.82%) -162,321 (-38.84%)  
Estimated Final1,084 (0.25%) 306 (0.07%) 255 (0.06%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 05/16/2017 05/16/2017 05/16/2017  
MATCHUP POLLS (8 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.39%-- 0.00%-- 0.80%--  
Trafalgar Group 
08/12/17-08/13/17
1.13% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.62% 0.1
Emerson College 
08/10/17-08/12/17
1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
08/08/17-08/10/17
1.32% -- 0.00% -- 0.52% --
Cygnal (R) 
08/08/17-08/09/17
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Strategy Research 
08/03/17-08/08/17
1.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
JMC Enterprises 
08/05/17-08/06/17
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT
Perry O. Hooper, Jr. (R)
Apr 24, 2017 - May 17, 2017
Del Marsh (R)
May 17, 2017
Slade Blackwell (R)
May 16, 2017
Jim Byard (R)
May 16, 2017
Ed Henry (R)
Apr 17, 2017 - May 16, 2017
Bill Hightower (R)
May 16, 2017
Mary Scott Hunter (R)
May 16, 2017
Tim James (R)
May 16, 2017
Julie Magee (R)
May 16, 2017
Jonathan McConnell (R)
May 16, 2017
Glenn Murdock (R)
May 16, 2017
Arthur Orr (R)
May 16, 2017
Bill Poole (R)
May 16, 2017
Jimmy Rane (R)
May 16, 2017
Greg Reed (R)
May 16, 2017
Phil Williams (R)
May 16, 2017
Robert Aderholt (R)
Apr 29, 2017
Connie Cooner Rowe (R)
Apr 19, 2017
Gary Palmer (R)
Apr 19, 2017
Martha Roby (R)
Apr 19, 2017
Cam Ward (R)
Apr 19, 2017

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/09/2017 Luther Strange TVAd Endorsement eng Luther Strange - Trump Man  00:00:30 RP 
08/08/2017 Roy Moore TVAd Defend eng Defeat the Deceivers  00:00:29 RP 
08/07/2017 vs Morris J. "Mo" Brooks TVAd Attack eng Mo Brooks Bragged About Attacking Trump   00:00:30 RP 
07/24/2017 Morris J. "Mo" Brooks TVAd Issue eng Second Amendment   00:00:30 RP 
07/12/2017 vs Morris J. "Mo" Brooks TVAd Attack eng "Trust" AL  00:00:30 RP 
07/11/2017 Luther Strange TVAd Biography eng Diner  00:00:30 RP 
07/10/2017 Morris J. "Mo" Brooks TVAd Issue eng Build the Wall  00:00:54 RP 
06/12/2017 Luther Strange TVAd Biography eng Values  00:00:30 RP 
05/30/2017 Luther Strange TVAd Endorsement eng Shooting Range  00:00:30 RP 
05/16/2017 Luther Strange TVAd Biography eng Alabama Conservative   00:00:30 RP 
05/09/2017 Luther Strange Web Only Ad Biography eng Big Luther Strange   00:01:42 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 13, 2017 07:00am Commentary Despite Trump’s Support, Alabama Senator Struggles to a Primary Finish  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
6
Previous Messages]
 
D:1RP ( 3506.3340 points)
Wed, August 16, 2017 05:18:11 AM UTC0:00
Bojicat: This endorsement [Link] clinches it for Strange.

Apparently not.

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 0.0000 points)
Wed, August 16, 2017 04:20:29 PM UTC0:00
Strange and Moore advance to the September 26 run-off, as expected. Not over yet.

 
D:1RP ( 3506.3340 points)
Wed, August 16, 2017 07:02:34 PM UTC0:00
Interesting how localized everyone other than Moore's support was.