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  MT At-Large - Special Election
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Montana > MT - At Large
OfficeHouse of Representatives
Type Special Election
Filing Deadline April 01, 2017 - 05:00am Central
Polls Open May 25, 2017 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close May 25, 2017 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start May 26, 2017 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
ContributorRBH
Last Modifiedjameswrjobe53 May 26, 2017 12:17pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameRyan Zinke Votes285,358 (56.19%)
Term01/03/2017 - 03/01/2017 Margin79,439 (+15.64%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 05, 2017 MT At-Large - Special D Convention Rob Quist
Mar 06, 2017 MT At-Large - Special R Convention Greg Gianforte
Mar 11, 2017 MT At-Large - Special LBT Convention Mark Wicks
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/04/2017 05/25/2017
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Greg Gianforte 2 6 --1
Rob Quist 2 ------
Leaning Call: Greg Gianforte (90.00%)
Weighted Call: Greg Gianforte (150.30%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

04/01/2017 05/23/2017

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Greg Gianforte Rob Quist Mark Wicks (W) Write-In (W) Doug Campbell  
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian Nonpartisan Independent  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes189,473 (49.89%) 166,483 (43.84%) 21,509 (5.66%) 2,298 (0.61%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -22,990 (-6.05%) -167,964 (-44.23%) -187,175 (-49.29%) -189,473 (-49.89%)  
Predict Avg.49.00% 51.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $0.00 $0.00 $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 00/00/0001 00/00/0001 00/00/0001 04/01/2017 04/01/2017  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (6 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.48%-- 38.11%-- 3.38%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Change Research 
05/20/17-05/23/17
43.40% -- 39.90% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
05/22/17-05/22/17
49.00% 4.0 35.00% 2.0 8.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
05/02/17-05/04/17
45.00% -- 37.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
04/25/17-04/27/17
49.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
04/20/17-04/21/17
52.00% -- 37.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
04/01/17-04/04/17
50.00% -- 38.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT
Thomas Breck (G)
Apr 01, 2017 - Apr 25, 2017
Steve Kelly (I)
Apr 01, 2017 - Apr 25, 2017

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/19/2017 Rob Quist vs Greg Gianforte TVAd Issue eng Half  00:01:00 RP 
05/19/2017 vs Rob Quist TVAd Attack eng Stand  00:00:31 RP 
05/19/2017 Rob Quist vs Greg Gianforte TVAd Attack eng Thankful  00:00:30 RP 
05/18/2017 vs Rob Quist TVAd Attack eng Bond  00:00:30 RP 
05/18/2017 vs Rob Quist TVAd Attack eng Share  00:00:30 RP 
05/15/2017 vs Greg Gianforte TVAd Attack eng Two  00:00:30 RP 
05/14/2017 vs Rob Quist TVAd Attack eng Finances  00:00:30 RP 
05/12/2017 vs Greg Gianforte TVAd Attack eng Against  00:00:30 RP 
05/12/2017 vs Greg Gianforte TVAd Attack eng Place  00:00:30 RP 
05/11/2017 vs Rob Quist TVAd Attack eng Know  00:00:30 RP 
05/04/2017 vs Rob Quist TVAd Attack eng Damage  00:00:30 RP 
04/21/2017 Rob Quist vs Greg Gianforte TVAd Issue eng This Rifle   00:00:30 RP 
04/20/2017 Rob Quist TVAd Issue eng Defend  00:00:30 RP 
04/10/2017 Rob Quist TVAd Issue eng No Wonder  00:00:30 RP 
04/06/2017 Rob Quist TVAd Biography eng Right  00:00:30 RP 
04/04/2017 Rob Quist TVAd Biography eng Voice  00:00:30 RP 
03/16/2017 Greg Gianforte TVAd Issue eng War On The West   00:00:30 RP 
03/06/2017 vs Rob Quist TVAd Attack eng Rob Quist: Out of Tune   00:00:31 RP 
03/03/2017 Greg Gianforte TVAd Biography eng Montana‚Äôs Side   00:01:00 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 24, 2017 07:50pm News Republican candidate 'body-slams' Guardian reporter in Montana  Article RP 
May 18, 2017 09:50pm Oops Gianforte on donating to suspected white nationalist: 'I was unaware of some of his views'  Article RP 
May 17, 2017 11:50am Report Montana GOP Candidate Owns Stake In Company Accused Of Paying Off ISIS  Article RP 

DISCUSSION