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LA Lt. Governor - Runoff
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Louisiana
>
Lieutenant Governor
Office
Lieutenant Governor
Honorific
Lieutenant Governor - Abbr: Lt. Gov.
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
September 10, 2015 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open
November 21, 2015 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close
November 21, 2015 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start
January 11, 2016 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 13, 2020 - 12:00pm
Contributor
RBH
Last Modified
budgeteer
December 25, 2015 02:43pm
Data Sources
Louisiana Secretary of State
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
10/22/2011
Name
Jay Dardenne
Votes
504,541 (53.13%)
Term
01/09/2012 - 01/11/2016
Margin
59,492 (+6.27%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
10/12/2019
Name
Billy Nungesser
Votes
884,309 (68.14%)
Term
01/13/2020 - 01/08/2024
Margin
470,753 (+36.27%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Oct 24, 2015
LA Lt. Governor - Initial Election
Melvin L. "Kip" Holden
R
723,733
D
361,092
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
10/25/2015
11/21/2015
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Billy Nungesser
4
1
1
1
Leaning Call: Billy Nungesser (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Billy Nungesser (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
10/28/2015
11/16/2015
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
JMC Analytics and Polling
MarblePort Polling (R)
Market Research Insight
PMI, Inc
Triumph Campaigns (R)
University of New Orleans
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Parish President
Billy Nungesser
Mayor-President
Melvin L. "Kip" Holden
Party
Republican
Democratic
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
628,876 (55.38%)
506,640 (44.62%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-122,236 (-10.76%)
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
Website
Entry Date
09/10/2015
09/10/2015
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
44.48%
--
38.01%
--
JMC Analytics and Polling
11/14/15-11/16/15
45.00%
5.0
34.00%
5.0
PMI, Inc
11/12/15-11/16/15
43.00%
--
29.00%
--
MarblePort Polling (R)
11/11/15-11/11/15
48.20%
--
38.10%
--
University of New Orleans
11/02/15-11/08/15
49.00%
--
39.00%
--
Market Research Insight
11/04/15-11/07/15
35.00%
--
54.00%
--
Triumph Campaigns (R)
11/05/15-11/05/15
49.00%
--
38.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
G
BR_Green
EVENTS
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INFORMATION LINKS
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Prediction
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DISCUSSION
[View All
5
Previous Messages]
I:0
TekXX
( 0.0000 points)
Fri, November 13, 2015 01:16:52 AM UTC0:00
Yea his race is enough to keep him from winning.
Yea his race is enough to keep him from winning.
I:0
sboudreaux27@yahoo.com
( 0.0000 points)
Fri, November 20, 2015 01:20:26 AM UTC0:00
There have been several African Americans winning statewide offices in the South though!
There have been several African Americans winning statewide offices in the South though!
D:10124
BLUEDOGS
( 68.1367 points)
Fri, September 7, 2018 04:21:57 PM UTC0:00
I wonder if the LA Dems will target the LG's office again in 2019 ?
I wonder if thuh LA Dems will target thuh LG's office again in 2019 ?