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  FL US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 24, 2016 - 11:00am Central
Polls Open August 30, 2016 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close August 30, 2016 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2017 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedBrentinCO December 13, 2020 10:31pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2010
NameMarco A. Rubio Votes2,645,743 (48.89%)
Term01/03/2011 - 01/03/2017 Margin1,038,194 (+19.19%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameMarco A. Rubio Votes4,835,191 (51.98%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2023 Margin713,103 (+7.67%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFL US Senate 11/08/2016
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/08/2014 08/30/2016
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Marco A. Rubio ----2 5
Leaning Call: Marco A. Rubio (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Marco A. Rubio (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/10/2016 08/24/2016

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Sen. Marco A. Rubio Carlos Beruff Dwight Mark Anthony Young Ernie Rivera  
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 1,029,830 (71.99%) 264,427 (18.49%) 91,082 (6.37%) 45,153 (3.16%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -765,403 (-53.51%) -938,748 (-65.62%) -984,677 (-68.83%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 06/22/2016 02/25/2016 00/00/2016 06/24/2016  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg64.99%-- 17.13%-- 2.07%-- 1.33%--  
Mason-Dixon 
08/22/16-08/24/16		 61.00% -- 22.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Cherry Communications 
08/17/16-08/22/16		 68.00% -- 19.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Saint Leo University 
08/14/16-08/18/16		 68.20% 16.2 14.10% 10.1 3.60% -- 2.60% --
Suffolk University 
08/01/16-08/03/16		 61.82% -- 12.12% -- 1.21% -- 0.00% --
AIF Political Operations 
06/27/16-06/28/16		 71.00% -- 7.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% --
Survey USA 
06/25/16-06/27/16		 63.00% -- 11.00% -- 10.00% -- 2.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Bensq1
  Orlando Sentinel
  Miami Herald
R CincinnatiReds1990
R Mitch McConnell 🔗
R Mike Lee 🔗
R Rick Santorum 🔗
R Carlos Lopez-Cantera 🔗
R John Kasich 🔗
R Newt Gingrich 🔗
R Ted Cruz 🔗
R John Cornyn 🔗
R Jeb Bush 🔗
  Club for Growth
R Kyle
R Rick Scott 🔗
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Todd Wilcox (R)
 00, 2015 - Jun 24, 2016 		Ron DeSantis (R)
May 06, 2015 - Jun 22, 2016 		Carlos Lopez-Cantera (R)
Jul 15, 2015 - Jun 22, 2016 		David Jolly (R)
Jul 20, 2015 - Jun 17, 2016 		Francis Rooney (R)
Apr 05, 2016 		Ilya Katz (R)
 00, 2015 -  00, 2016 		William "Bill" McCollum, Jr. (R)
 00, 2016 		Adam Putnam (R)
 00, 2016
Jeffrey "Jeff" Atwater (R)
Nov 10, 2015 		Jefferson B. "Jeff" Miller (R)
Jul 30, 2015 		George LeMieux (R)
Jun 00, 2015 		Don Gaetz (R)
May 31, 2015 		Tom Rooney (R)
Apr 20, 2015 		Will Weatherford (R)
Apr 15, 2015 		Pam Bondi (R)
Apr 07, 2015 		Vern Buchanan (R)
Apr 00, 2015
Allen B. West (R)
Nov 00, 2014

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/09/2016 vs Marco A. Rubio TVAd Attack eng Career Politicians   00:00:30 RP 
07/29/2016 vs Marco A. Rubio Web Only Ad Attack eng Debate  00:00:47 RP 
07/25/2016 Carlos Beruff vs Marco A. Rubio TVAd Contrast eng Tough on Terror  00:00:30 RP 
04/19/2016 Carlos Beruff TVAd Attack eng Teleprompter  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 13, 2016 08:30am Speculative Rubio Suggests Orlando Shooting Has Him Reconsidering Another Senate Run  Article RP 
Jul 28, 2015 10:45am Speculative Ted Yoho Considering Entering 2016 Race to Replace Marco Rubio in Senate  Article RP 
Apr 11, 2015 04:15pm Announcement Republican Senate blockbuster: Jeff Atwater will not run for Marco Rubio seat  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
13
Previous Messages]
 
I:0Steve Boudreaux ( 0.0000 points)
Tue, April 14, 2015 06:06:02 PM UTC0:00
I'm thinking Lopez-Cantera runs here.
 
R:9356RiponJackson1854 ( 0.0000 points)
Wed, July 29, 2015 04:48:46 PM UTC0:00
Would Yoho be considered more of a Tea Party candidate if he runs?
 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
Wed, July 29, 2015 08:45:13 PM UTC0:00
For sure. It would definitely hurt Desantis' claim as the "true conservative" in the race.

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Fri, July 31, 2015 03:56:58 AM UTC0:00
Miller's out. Opens up the Panhandle's votes. [Link]
 
D:917NYDem Junior ( 1977.5938 points)
Thu, October 1, 2015 01:12:07 AM UTC0:00
I have re-added Atwater per this link: [Link]
 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Sat, November 7, 2015 12:51:18 AM UTC0:00
Atwater kinda ruled out running again today, but he never actually mentioned the office.... [Link]
 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Fri, June 17, 2016 04:40:26 PM UTC0:00
Jolly said that Rubio is getting back into the race, but the Rubio camp said it's not confirmed.
 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Fri, June 17, 2016 05:05:10 PM UTC0:00
Big gamble for Rubio; Beruff and Wilcox will go at him in the primary and the Democrats will spend a lot of money to end his political career. Although if he does want to run in 2020, being out of office for four years would not be a bonus.

Maybe Rubio thinks he will be blessed with an Alan Grayson as his general election opponent.
 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Fri, June 17, 2016 05:25:36 PM UTC0:00
Rubio really hurt himself with his absences for votes and forceful assertions that he was not running again because he disliked being a Senator. So there's a lot of ammunition against him: [Link]

That said, he's probably the best bet to hold this seat for the GOP, and I think he will get back in.
 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Fri, June 17, 2016 05:51:15 PM UTC0:00
Jolly has dropped out and is running for re-election in FL-13.
 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 3906.0425 points)
Wed, June 22, 2016 04:01:17 PM UTC0:00
Reports are indicating a Rubio run. [Link]
 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Wed, June 22, 2016 04:44:16 PM UTC0:00