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  IA US President - R Caucus
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Iowa > President
Parent RaceUS President - R Primaries
OfficePresident
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2016 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open February 01, 2016 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close February 01, 2016 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2017 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 15.10% Registered 6.14% Total Population
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedRP February 23, 2016 06:47pm
Data SourcesIowa Republican Party Certified Results
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameBarack Obama Votes822,544 (51.99%)
Term01/20/2013 - 01/20/2017 Margin91,927 (+5.81%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameDonald Trump Votes798,923 (51.78%)
Term01/20/2017 - 01/20/2021 Margin148,133 (+9.60%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceIA US President 11/08/2016
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/19/2012 02/01/2016
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Marco Rubio ----2 --
Ted Cruz 3 1 ----
Donald Trump 4 ------
Paul Ryan 2 ------
Rand Paul 1 ------
Chris Christie 1 ------
Leaning Call: Marco Rubio (31.58%)
Weighted Call: Donald Trump (204.74%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/03/2012 01/31/2016

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. Ted Cruz Donald Trump Sen. Marco Rubio Ben Carson Sen. Rand Paul Gov. Jeb Bush Carly Fiorina
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes51,666 (27.64%) 45,429 (24.30%) 43,228 (23.13%) 17,394 (9.31%) 8,481 (4.54%) 5,238 (2.80%) 3,485 (1.86%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -6,237 (-3.34%) -8,438 (-4.51%) -34,272 (-18.33%) -43,185 (-23.10%) -46,428 (-24.84%) -48,181 (-25.77%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 11.25% 0.00% 10.00% 10.75% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2015 00/00/2015 00/00/2015 00/00/2015 00/00/2015 00/00/2015 00/00/2015
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (71 from 20 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg24.90%-- 31.35%-- 14.48%-- 6.99%-- 3.03%-- 3.45%-- 1.36%--
Emerson College 
01/29/16-01/31/16
25.60% 2.8 27.30% 5.8 21.60% 7.4 3.40% 5.7 3.40% 0.7 3.80% 1.3 1.70% 0.4
Quinnipiac University 
01/25/16-01/31/16
24.00% 5.0 31.00% -- 17.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 4.00% 2.0 4.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0
Overtime Politics 
01/28/16-01/30/16
25.00% 2.0 34.00% 7.0 14.00% 1.0 7.00% 2.0 3.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 1.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
01/26/16-01/29/16
23.00% 2.0 28.00% 6.0 15.00% 3.0 10.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 2.00% 2.0 2.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
01/26/16-01/27/16
27.00% 1.0 31.00% 3.0 13.00% 8.0 7.00% 2.0 2.00% 1.0 6.00% 2.0 3.00% 2.0
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/26/16-01/27/16
23.00% 3.0 31.00% 3.0 14.00% 1.0 9.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0 4.00% 2.0 3.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Gov. John Kasich Gov. Mike Huckabee Gov. Chris Christie Sen. Rick Santorum Others Chairman Jim Gilmore  
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes3,474 (1.86%) 3,345 (1.79%) 3,284 (1.76%) 1,779 (0.95%) 117 (0.06%) 12 (0.01%)  
Margin-48,192 (-25.78%) -48,321 (-25.85%) -48,382 (-25.88%) -49,887 (-26.69%) -51,549 (-27.58%) -51,654 (-27.63%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 16.00% 13.75% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2015 00/00/2015 00/00/2015 00/00/2015 01/01/2016 00/00/2015  
MATCHUP POLLS (71 from 20 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg2.14%-- 2.20%-- 2.00%-- 0.63%-- 0.00%-- -0.25%--  
Emerson College 
01/29/16-01/31/16
3.80% 0.9 4.70% 3.0 3.20% 2.2 0.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/25/16-01/31/16
2.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% 3.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Overtime Politics 
01/28/16-01/30/16
3.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 1.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
01/26/16-01/29/16
2.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 2.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
01/26/16-01/27/16
4.00% -- 2.00% -- 3.00% 2.0 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/26/16-01/27/16
2.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 1.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 1.00% 1.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT
George Pataki (R)
 00, 2015 - Dec 29, 2015
Lindsey Graham (R)
 00, 2015 - Dec 21, 2015
Bobby Jindal (R)
 00, 2015 - Nov 17, 2015
Scott Walker (R)
 00, 2015 - Sep 21, 2015
Rick Perry (R)
 00, 2015 - Sep 11, 2015
Mike Pence (R)
 00, 2015
Susana Martinez (R)
 00, 2014
Sarah Palin (R)
 00, 2014
Ron Paul (R)
 00, 2014
Condoleezza Rice (R)
 00, 2014
Mitt Romney (R)
 00, 2014
Paul Ryan (R)
 00, 2014

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
01/22/2016 Ted Cruz vs Donald Trump TVAd Attack eng System  00:00:30 RP 
01/22/2016 Donald Trump vs Ted Cruz TVAd Attack eng Ted Cruz Is 'Pro-Amnesty'   00:01:00 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Mar 09, 2015 05:00pm Strategy Scott Walker Just Blatantly Pandered to Iowa's Corn Farmers  Article RP 

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