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  NY District 09 - Special Election
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > New York > NY - District 09
OfficeHouse of Representatives
Type Special Election
Filing Deadline July 19, 2011 - 12:00pm
Polls Open September 13, 2011 - 05:00am
Polls Close September 13, 2011 - 08:00pm
Term Start September 14, 2011 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Turnout 10.88% Total Population
ContributorAndy
Last ModifiedDr. King Schultz November 12, 2012 01:35pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Turner
REP 32,526 CON 4,816

Weprin
DEM 31,285 WFP 1,425 IDP 946

31 of 85 write-in votes were for resigned Representative Anthony Weiner. No other option won more than 2 write-in votes.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/02/2010
NameAnthony Weiner Votes67,011 (60.81%)
Term01/03/2011 - 06/21/2011 Margin23,882 (+21.67%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameYvette D. Clarke Votes186,141 (87.21%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2015 Margin161,977 (+75.89%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
MAP

Embed Code
146
KEY RACE? 9.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/16/2011 09/13/2011
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
David I. Weprin 4 2 --2
Robert L. "Bob" Turner 25 5 1 1
Leaning Call: Robert L. "Bob" Turner (72.41%)
Weighted Call: Robert L. "Bob" Turner (86.01%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
08/03/2011 09/11/2011

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Robert L. "Bob" Turner St. Rep. David I. Weprin Christopher "Chris" Hoeppner (W) Write-In  
PartyRepublican Democratic Socialist Workers Nonpartisan  
Website  
Certified Votes37,342 (52.43%) 33,656 (47.25%) 143 (0.20%) 85 (0.12%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -3,686 (-5.18%) -37,199 (-52.23%) -37,257 (-52.31%)  
Fusion Votes
 Republican32,526
 Conservative4,816
 Democratic31,285
 Working Families1,425
 Independence946
 
Predict Avg.48.88% 47.12% 2.56% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 8/24 $92,000.90 8/24 $202,407.61 $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (6 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg44.81%-- 43.12%-- -0.18%-- 0.00%--  
Public Policy Polling (D) 
09/08/11-09/11/11
47.00% -- 41.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
09/06/11-09/08/11
50.00% 8.0 44.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
09/01/11-09/01/11
44.60% -- 40.40% -- 3.20% -- 0.00% --
McLaughlin & Associates (R) 
08/31/11-08/31/11
42.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Global Strategy Group (D) 
08/30/11-08/31/11
39.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
08/03/11-08/08/11
42.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
I Gregory Davidzon [L]
AENM Angry Russian
D Ruben Diaz, Sr.
  New York Post
  AFL-CIO
  Queens Chronicle
  The Jewish Press
  United Federation of Teachers
LBT Jed Ziggler
RC Zeus the Moose
I TX_Socialist
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
09/08/2011 Robert L. "Bob" Turner TVAd Attack eng Defeat Dave Weprin  00:00:35 Conservative for America. 
09/06/2011 David I. Weprin TVAd Endorsement eng Campaign Ad  00:00:30 RP 
08/15/2011 Robert L. "Bob" Turner TVAd Issue eng Send a Message  00:00:33 Jason 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 14, 2011 06:45pm Analysis Why NY-9’s Special Election Should Make Both Parties Nervous  Article COSDem 
Sep 10, 2011 08:15pm Strategy NY-9 mailer depicts mosque, ground zero  Article Jason 
Sep 09, 2011 09:00pm News DCCC Pulls Campaign Ad Featuring Airplane Flying Over NYC Skyline  Article Scott³ 
Aug 30, 2011 06:00pm General Weprin Drops Out of Debate in N.Y. Special  Article COSDem 
Aug 28, 2011 10:05am Editorial Candidates in congressional special election are enough to make voters yearn for Anthony Weiner   Article nystate63 
Aug 24, 2011 12:00pm News Zadroga 9/11 health law shouldn't cover volunteers sickened at Ground Zero, GOP hopeful Turner says  Article RBH 

DISCUSSION
[View All
150
Previous Messages]
 
D:8355lefty ( 0.0000 points)
Wed, August 10, 2011 08:31:45 PM UTC0:00
Oh please. Turner is reaching his vote ceiling. I'm not surprised that it is higher than the 2010 result.

 
D:8355lefty ( 0.0000 points)
Wed, August 10, 2011 08:33:43 PM UTC0:00
Essentially, American Conservative up there can think he can gloat, but his estimation is cloudy, at best.

 
D:479Brandon ( 1558.3782 points)
x2
Wed, August 10, 2011 08:44:20 PM UTC0:00
Better his estimation than his urine.

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Wed, August 10, 2011 08:53:07 PM UTC0:00
both candidates have "don't know/no opinions" of over 45% too

 
AM:7114Conservative for America. ( 76.1380 points)
Thu, September 1, 2011 06:00:49 PM UTC0:00
Who's Ulrich support. He's a much more popular councilman then Koo, and has more influence. Likewise, I don't think Koo's endorsement will do anything for Weprin. It might infuriate some democrats, while Koch's endorsement was well welcomed. Also, the Daily News's endorsement was well welcomed too, while the Times' endorsement was welcomed.I think when it comes down too it however endorsements don't really matter.

 
D:478Bob ( 2253.6577 points)
Sat, September 3, 2011 12:09:50 AM UTC0:00
Koo is pretty much a RINO. For NYC politics he might be ever-so-slightly right-of-center but at the federal level he'd be a moderate liberal.

 
D:917NYDem Junior ( 1973.3054 points)
Sat, September 3, 2011 02:09:10 AM UTC0:00
Sounds quite koo-koo to me heeeeeeee

 
R:656zorkpolitics ( 252.5208 points)
Tue, September 6, 2011 09:22:53 PM UTC0:00
the latest poll has Turner up by 4%, if a GOP candidate wins this special, I may have to adjust my 2012 expectations of modest GOP losses to modest GOP gains.

 
D:7918Labour Dem ( 179.1036 points)
Tue, September 6, 2011 09:26:37 PM UTC0:00
Magellan is the same outfit that gave the wrong names out in polling NV-2 and they aren't that accurate to begin with.

Weprin 56-44 in the end.

 
D:6086Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
Tue, September 6, 2011 09:51:41 PM UTC0:00
I wish a credible polling firm would do this race.

 
AM:7114Conservative for America. ( 76.1380 points)
Tue, September 6, 2011 09:54:09 PM UTC0:00
I think Sienna's pretty credible (even though by now the results are bound to have changed).

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Tue, September 6, 2011 10:02:52 PM UTC0:00
let the record speak for itself: [Link]

and obviously the 11% undecided will split heavily to the Socialist Workers, leading them to 10% and the momentum to elect their non-citizen/under-35 ticket in 2012.

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Tue, September 6, 2011 11:31:48 PM UTC0:00
the wording of the question:

If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates
were Bob Turner, Republican, David Weprin, Democrat, or Christopher Hoeppner,
Socialist Workers Party?

Interesting that the only candidate to get his full party ID read is Hoeppner.

 
AM:7114Conservative for America. ( 76.1380 points)
Wed, September 7, 2011 12:01:09 AM UTC0:00
Interesting wording. I think that it's probably about a 1 point lead for Turner at this point.

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Wed, September 7, 2011 01:18:17 AM UTC0:00
obligatory "Dov Hikind endorses Republican" moment

 
D:8084Juror #3 ( 186.4846 points)
Wed, September 7, 2011 04:01:43 AM UTC0:00
According to this poll, African Americans were tied between the two. Puke poll.

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Wed, September 7, 2011 04:49:14 AM UTC0:00
I love the 11% of African-Americans for the Socialist Workers Party candidate.

Wonder how many respondents heard "Republican, David Weprin" or "Democrat, or Christopher Hoeppner" and throught Weprin was a Republican or Hoeppner was a Democrat?

And the "if the candidates were" is amusing overdetail, because that's who the candidates will be. There's no need for an If.

If the election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Bob Turner, Republican, David Weprin, Democrat, or Christopher Hoeppner, Socialist Workers Party?

let me reword that

If the election was being held today, who would you vote for? Bob Turner the Republican Party candidate, David Weprin the Democratic Party candidate, or Christopher Hoeppner, the Socialist Workers Party candidate?

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Wed, September 7, 2011 07:20:16 PM UTC0:00
[Link]

And Mr. Turner found himself befuddled when he and Mr. Weprin were asked to name one corporate tax loophole they would like to close. After pondering the matter, Mr. Turner smiled widely and pleaded no contest. “As a Republican, I never met a loophole I didn’t like,” he said. “I really don’t know.”


 
SAP:262Gaear Grimsrud ( 6920.2134 points)
Wed, September 7, 2011 07:31:09 PM UTC0:00
Dov Hikind endorsed a Republican? Shocking.

 
D:917NYDem Junior ( 1973.3054 points)
Fri, September 9, 2011 05:23:47 PM UTC0:00
Siena has Turner up 6 and PPP has him up as well, but hasn't released numbers.

 
AM:7114Conservative for America. ( 76.1380 points)
Fri, September 9, 2011 07:01:11 PM UTC0:00
[Link]

 
AM:7114Conservative for America. ( 76.1380 points)
Fri, September 9, 2011 07:10:00 PM UTC0:00
IF Weprin loses can we put him on as CPOTY?

 
D:1RP ( 3311.3784 points)
Fri, September 9, 2011 07:11:23 PM UTC0:00
Certainly.

 
AM:7114Conservative for America. ( 76.1380 points)
Fri, September 9, 2011 08:48:32 PM UTC0:00
Randy I have a couple of questions. Can I have my polling access back (If I overuse it again you can take it away again) and do you mind if I form an Our Campaigns Conservative Leadership Caucus of conservatives to make endorsements. I should have asked you before. Thanks. Kyle

 
D:2064TX DEM ( 3224.4231 points)
Fri, September 9, 2011 09:03:40 PM UTC0:00
I vote no.