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  WI Governor - Recall - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Wisconsin > Governor
OfficeGovernor
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline April 10, 2012 - 05:00pm
Polls Open May 08, 2012 - 07:00am
Polls Close May 08, 2012 - 08:00pm
Term Start July 01, 2012 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2015 - 12:00pm
Turnout 11.79% Total Population
ContributorAndy
Last ModifiedAndy May 09, 2012 12:05am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2010
NameScott Walker Votes1,128,941 (52.25%)
Term01/03/2011 - 06/06/2012 Margin124,638 (+5.77%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won06/05/2012
NameScott Walker Votes1,335,585 (53.08%)
Term06/06/2012 - 01/03/2015 Margin171,105 (+6.80%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceWI Governor - Recall 06/05/2012
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 8.5000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/22/2011 05/08/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Tom Barrett 15 7 2 1
Kathleen Falk ----1 --
Leaning Call: Tom Barrett (92.86%)
Weighted Call: Tom Barrett (98.97%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
01/16/2012 04/29/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Mayor Tom Barrett County Executive Kathleen Falk St. Sen. Kathleen Vinehout Secretary of State Doug La Follette Gladys Huber  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Uncertified Votes390,109 (58.20%) 228,940 (34.16%) 26,926 (4.02%) 19,461 (2.90%) 4,842 (0.72%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -161,169 (-24.05%) -363,183 (-54.18%) -370,648 (-55.30%) -385,267 (-57.48%)  
Predict Avg.43.00% 29.00% 10.00% 14.00% 4.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg38.24%-- 24.05%-- 4.98%-- 7.52%-- 0.00%--  
Marquette University Law School 
04/26/12-04/29/12
38.00% -- 21.00% -- 6.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% --
Maslin, Maullin & Assoc. (D) 
04/18/12-04/19/12
40.00% -- 32.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
04/16/12-04/17/12
41.00% -- 27.00% -- 4.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
04/13/12-04/15/12
38.00% 7.0 24.00% 6.0 6.00% -- 9.00% 5.0 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
03/22/12-03/25/12
36.00% -- 29.00% -- 8.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
02/23/12-02/26/12
45.00% 19.0 18.00% 4.0 6.00% -- 14.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Teamsters Local 200
D Peter Barca [L]
  Wisconsin Professional Police Association
D RichardP
D Bryan Kennedy
D John Heckenlively
D Sondy Pope-Roberts [L]
D Christine M. Sinicki [L]
  Wausau Daily Herald
D Andy
D Sarnstrom
D Forwardista
J Dr. Cynic
Veg Nothing wrong, just gone
Laf-W Craverguy
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
May 04, 2012 07:00pm May 04, 2012 08:00pm Debate Wisconsin 2012 Debate: The Democratic Gubernatorial Recall Primary  Homegrown Democrat 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/07/2012 Tom Barrett TVAd Mixed eng Momentum  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
05/01/2012 Tom Barrett TVAd Issue eng Broken Promise  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
05/01/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Mixed eng Counted Out  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
04/25/2012 Doug La Follette TVAd Issue eng Giving People a Voice  00:00:31 Craverguy 
04/17/2012 Tom Barrett TVAd Issue eng Ending Walker's War on Women  00:00:48 Homegrown Democrat 
04/13/2012 Tom Barrett TVAd Endorsement eng Erpenbach  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
04/13/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Issue eng Walker's War On Women Is Outrageous  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
04/12/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Mixed eng Best  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
04/12/2012 Doug La Follette TVAd Mixed eng Making Wisconsin Work  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
04/11/2012 Tom Barrett TVAd Contrast eng Civil  00:00:32 Sarnstrom 
04/10/2012 Tom Barrett Web Only Ad Biography eng Vote Tom Barrett on May 8  00:00:00 Sarnstrom 
04/09/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Biography eng The Falk Way for Wisconsin  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
04/04/2012 Web Only Ad Mixed eng [Fake] It's on to 2012 [Russ Feingold Announcement Video]  00:00:00 Homegrown Democrat 
03/30/2012 Kathleen Falk Web Only Ad Attack eng Barrett: How to Ram Through Act 10 ... "The Bill Should Pass"  00:01:34 Homegrown Democrat 
03/22/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Issue eng Teacher  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
03/07/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Mixed eng Fair  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
03/05/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Issue eng Believer  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
01/18/2012 Kathleen Falk Web Only Ad Biography eng A message from Kathleen  00:02:22 Homegrown Democrat 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 07, 2012 07:35am Blog Entry WTF? Democratic Party of Wisconsin Cancels post-primary Unity Rally  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Apr 24, 2012 04:30pm Strategy Falk's new strategy in Wis. recall  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Apr 24, 2012 11:50am Editorial Kathleen Falk’s Fading Hopes  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Apr 22, 2012 06:00am General Labor group's pro-Falk TV ads vanish  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Apr 11, 2012 03:20pm Endorsement Sen. Herb Kohl Endorses Tom Barrett In Wisconsin Recall Democratic Primary  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Apr 01, 2012 06:35am Blog Entry An Open Letter to Russ Feingold: Why You Have to Run for Governor  Article Homegrown Democrat 

DISCUSSION
[View All
100
Previous Messages]
 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Mon, April 2, 2012 09:29:06 AM UTC0:00
COSDem: I think it's jerky for Barrett to run for re-election.

I mean ... he wants to leave the job anyway so why bother run and cost the city a special election if he wins?

couldn't they just hold the special election at the same time as the August Primary/November Election, thus no significant extra cost (aside from putting the race on a ballot)?

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Tue, April 3, 2012 04:50:25 AM UTC0:00
RBH: couldn't they just hold the special election at the same time as the August Primary/November Election, thus no significant extra cost (aside from putting the race on a ballot)?

As long as the law allows them the flexibility, the GAB always tries to schedule elections in a way that would be cheapest.

When Barrett ran in 2010, they had tentative plans to hold a primary for Mayor in Feb with the general election in April, both during the normally scheduled Spring elections.

I expect the timing would work out to use August and November.

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
x2
Thu, April 5, 2012 04:28:30 AM UTC0:00
**Confused**

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
x2
Thu, April 5, 2012 04:31:52 AM UTC0:00
I cannot find any source. Maybe that video is just to say he's in to help defeat Walker?

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 1064.3835 points)
Thu, April 5, 2012 04:35:26 AM UTC0:00
He said on March 20th he would not run in a recall: [Link]

 
IND:1196Monsieur ( 5890.8623 points)
x2
Thu, April 5, 2012 04:36:10 AM UTC0:00
Are we sure it's not just a hoax? I would think an candidacy announcement video from him would consist, at least in part, of video announcing he's running, rather than clips from news appearances and speeches.

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Thu, April 5, 2012 04:36:58 AM UTC0:00
Nothing on twitter either.

 
D:6086Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
x2
Thu, April 5, 2012 08:46:36 AM UTC0:00
Putting Feingold back into speculative status.

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Thu, April 5, 2012 03:28:26 PM UTC0:00
Feingold's Progressives United said Kathleen Falk is "adopting the preferred tactic of the Koch brothers."

Ouch.

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Thu, April 5, 2012 03:36:48 PM UTC0:00
Copying from the video, since it should be deleted:

Of course it's fake. I made it. And I'm not even that good at this stuff.

But I thought this site missed out on April Fool's day. (I'm looking at you, RParker). Consider it a slightly belated prank for the site.

But no, Feingold is not running. This is just an intro vid they did for him at a Democratic Party meeting in Milwaukee, slightly modified.

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
Thu, April 5, 2012 10:54:28 PM UTC0:00
La Follette will probably fail to make the ballot. From his Facebook page:

LAST FEW DAYS
I have begun to receive some Nom Papers in the mail--
But, most of them only have 1 or 2 names on them; this way we will never get the 3,000 we need. Even if 300 people sent them this way it would only be about 500 names.
I feel bad that I did not make it more clear that folks had to collect 25 or more to reach our goal. I am very sorry.
I have been getting 100+ myself each day but even this will not reach 3,000 without your help.
Please download the papers from my New website--douglafollette.com get as many names as you can and after signing at the bottom mail them as soon as possible [no later than Sat morn] to my address in wording at the top.
Thank you, Doug

Also, Gladys Huber should piss up a f*cking rope.

 
D:2064TX DEM ( 3224.4231 points)
Thu, April 5, 2012 11:08:24 PM UTC0:00
There really was no need to run Huber for the WI GOP...

I'm okay with campaign tricks like this, but I can't respect dumb ones likes this one in particularly.

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
Sun, April 8, 2012 02:21:41 AM UTC0:00
LAST DAYS
I have received some Nom Papers in the mail--
We are making good progress
But still need 500 more by Tues morning.
Thank you, Doug

 
D:2064TX DEM ( 3224.4231 points)
Sun, April 8, 2012 02:54:50 AM UTC0:00
How is Huber going to get enough sigs?

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Sun, April 8, 2012 03:32:05 AM UTC0:00
it seems goofy for the Republicans to field a candidate here instead of putting that candidate in the general election to lower the bar for Walker in the recall

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Sun, April 8, 2012 03:47:55 AM UTC0:00
TX DEM: How is Huber going to get enough sigs?

The GOP establishment will take care of that.

 
D:1414Forwardista ( 171.5051 points)
Sun, April 8, 2012 03:49:43 AM UTC0:00
Well their stated reason is to make sure all the primaries are on the same day, but that doesn't make sense because there is already a primary on this day.

It's only 2000 signatures to get on the ballot(up to 4000 can be submitted), which is completely manageable if you have any sort of campaign structure.

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
x2
Mon, April 9, 2012 11:27:17 AM UTC0:00
Commander forward--
What is a Campaign Structure?
I don't know. Sorry I'm not good with this Facebook stuff.
I need two more signatures. Unfortunately we are not getting any more by hanging around the Jamba Juice on State Street at 3 AM.
Thank you, Doug

 
D:1414Forwardista ( 171.5051 points)
Tue, April 10, 2012 04:30:07 AM UTC0:00
Well then...
Sen. Kathleen Vinehout, who did not attend tonight's candidate forum in Green Bay, set to make an announcement about her campaign tomorrow.

[Link]

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
Tue, April 10, 2012 05:56:08 AM UTC0:00
If Vinehout drops out, I'm backing Barrett with virtually nonexistent enthusiasm.

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Tue, April 10, 2012 05:43:48 PM UTC0:00
According to her Facebook account, Falk submitted 4000 signatures.

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Tue, April 10, 2012 06:09:22 PM UTC0:00
Vinehout is saying she has 3300 signatures.

[Link]

 
D:704John ( 3346.7625 points)
Tue, April 10, 2012 06:54:56 PM UTC0:00
How many does Barrett have?

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Tue, April 10, 2012 07:03:08 PM UTC0:00
I haven't seen any numbers from Barrett yet. He'll qualify, but it sounds like he isn't turning them in until later today. They have until 5:00 p.m.

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Tue, April 10, 2012 07:49:50 PM UTC0:00
Apparently Barrett's campaign turned in over 7,000. By law, the GAB can only accept up to 4,000.

I'm seeing on Twitter that La Follette supposedly has 3,300 signatures as well. It seems like all 4 managed to get on the ballot.