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  WI Governor - Recall - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Wisconsin > Governor
OfficeGovernor
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline April 10, 2012 - 05:00pm
Polls Open May 08, 2012 - 07:00am
Polls Close May 08, 2012 - 08:00pm
Term Start July 01, 2012 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2015 - 12:00pm
Turnout 11.79% Total Population
ContributorAndy
Last ModifiedAndy May 09, 2012 12:05am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2010
NameScott Walker Votes1,128,941 (52.25%)
Term01/03/2011 - 06/06/2012 Margin124,638 (+5.77%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won06/05/2012
NameScott Walker Votes1,335,585 (53.08%)
Term06/06/2012 - 01/03/2015 Margin171,105 (+6.80%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceWI Governor - Recall 06/05/2012
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 8.5000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/22/2011 05/08/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Tom Barrett 15 7 2 1
Kathleen Falk ----1 --
Leaning Call: Tom Barrett (92.86%)
Weighted Call: Tom Barrett (98.99%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
01/16/2012 04/29/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Mayor Tom Barrett County Executive Kathleen Falk St. Sen. Kathleen Vinehout Secretary of State Doug La Follette Gladys Huber  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Uncertified Votes390,109 (58.20%) 228,940 (34.16%) 26,926 (4.02%) 19,461 (2.90%) 4,842 (0.72%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -161,169 (-24.05%) -363,183 (-54.18%) -370,648 (-55.30%) -385,267 (-57.48%)  
Predict Avg.43.00% 29.00% 10.00% 14.00% 4.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg38.24%-- 24.05%-- 4.98%-- 7.52%-- 0.00%--  
Marquette University Law School 
04/26/12-04/29/12
38.00% -- 21.00% -- 6.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% --
Maslin, Maullin & Assoc. (D) 
04/18/12-04/19/12
40.00% -- 32.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
04/16/12-04/17/12
41.00% -- 27.00% -- 4.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
04/13/12-04/15/12
38.00% 7.0 24.00% 6.0 6.00% -- 9.00% 5.0 0.00% --
Marquette University Law School 
03/22/12-03/25/12
36.00% -- 29.00% -- 8.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
02/23/12-02/26/12
45.00% 19.0 18.00% 4.0 6.00% -- 14.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Teamsters Local 200
D Peter Barca [L]
  Wisconsin Professional Police Association
D RichardP
D Bryan Kennedy
D John Heckenlively
D Sondy Pope-Roberts [L]
D Christine M. Sinicki [L]
  Wausau Daily Herald
D Andy
D Sarnstrom
D Forwardista
J Dr. Cynic
Veg Nothing wrong, just gone
Laf-W Craverguy
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
May 04, 2012 07:00pm May 04, 2012 08:00pm Debate Wisconsin 2012 Debate: The Democratic Gubernatorial Recall Primary  Homegrown Democrat 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
05/07/2012 Tom Barrett TVAd Mixed eng Momentum  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
05/01/2012 Tom Barrett TVAd Issue eng Broken Promise  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
05/01/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Mixed eng Counted Out  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
04/25/2012 Doug La Follette TVAd Issue eng Giving People a Voice  00:00:31 Craverguy 
04/17/2012 Tom Barrett TVAd Issue eng Ending Walker's War on Women  00:00:48 Homegrown Democrat 
04/13/2012 Tom Barrett TVAd Endorsement eng Erpenbach  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
04/13/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Issue eng Walker's War On Women Is Outrageous  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
04/12/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Mixed eng Best  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
04/12/2012 Doug La Follette TVAd Mixed eng Making Wisconsin Work  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
04/11/2012 Tom Barrett TVAd Contrast eng Civil  00:00:32 Sarnstrom 
04/10/2012 Tom Barrett Web Only Ad Biography eng Vote Tom Barrett on May 8  00:00:00 Sarnstrom 
04/09/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Biography eng The Falk Way for Wisconsin  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
04/04/2012 Web Only Ad Mixed eng [Fake] It's on to 2012 [Russ Feingold Announcement Video]  00:00:00 Homegrown Democrat 
03/30/2012 Kathleen Falk Web Only Ad Attack eng Barrett: How to Ram Through Act 10 ... "The Bill Should Pass"  00:01:34 Homegrown Democrat 
03/22/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Issue eng Teacher  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
03/07/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Mixed eng Fair  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
03/05/2012 Kathleen Falk TVAd Issue eng Believer  00:00:32 Homegrown Democrat 
01/18/2012 Kathleen Falk Web Only Ad Biography eng A message from Kathleen  00:02:22 Homegrown Democrat 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 07, 2012 07:35am Blog Entry WTF? Democratic Party of Wisconsin Cancels post-primary Unity Rally  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Apr 24, 2012 04:30pm Strategy Falk's new strategy in Wis. recall  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Apr 24, 2012 11:50am Editorial Kathleen Falk’s Fading Hopes  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Apr 22, 2012 06:00am General Labor group's pro-Falk TV ads vanish  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Apr 11, 2012 03:20pm Endorsement Sen. Herb Kohl Endorses Tom Barrett In Wisconsin Recall Democratic Primary  Article Homegrown Democrat 
Apr 01, 2012 06:35am Blog Entry An Open Letter to Russ Feingold: Why You Have to Run for Governor  Article Homegrown Democrat 

DISCUSSION
[View All
100
Previous Messages]
 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Fri, February 24, 2012 10:39:07 AM UTC0:00
Srs question

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Wed, March 7, 2012 10:29:14 PM UTC0:00

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
x2
Fri, March 16, 2012 12:38:06 AM UTC0:00
With Emanuel set to appear in Milwaukee for Tom Barrett on March 28, it is clear that Barrett is poised to become Obama’s pick to unseat Walker. Emanuel and some of his closest advisors are poised to play a key role in the Obama Campaign, and their visit with Barrett indicates they plan on inserting themselves into the Wisconsin recall.
[Link]

 
D:2064TX DEM ( 3224.4231 points)
x2
Fri, March 16, 2012 12:55:41 AM UTC0:00
Thank God.

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
Fri, March 16, 2012 03:03:35 AM UTC0:00
Falk's airing ads in the Milwaukee media market now. I've seen five or six of them in the last week.

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Sat, March 17, 2012 12:43:03 AM UTC0:00
Andy: Falk's airing ads in the Milwaukee media market now. I've seen five or six of them in the last week.

Derp. That's why I posted the ads.

Also, it's from a PAC supporting Falk, not Falk's campaign.

 
D:1RP ( 3311.3784 points)
Sat, March 31, 2012 01:37:09 AM UTC0:00
Barrett is officially in. - [Link]

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Sat, March 31, 2012 01:46:52 AM UTC0:00
I understand Barca is also planning to run?

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Sat, March 31, 2012 03:29:48 AM UTC0:00
COSDem: I understand Barca is also planning to run?

There's been speculation, but I'd bet he opts not to run.

I could be wrong, but with Barrett in the race, I think it's going to scare some people from running. Barrett's an easy favorite for a rematch.

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Sat, March 31, 2012 03:30:32 AM UTC0:00
My guess is that this will be a Barrett-Mitchell ticket.

 
D:1414Forwardista ( 171.5051 points)
Sat, March 31, 2012 04:06:47 AM UTC0:00
I heard that Barca would run if Barrett didn't. So...

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Sat, March 31, 2012 05:21:48 AM UTC0:00
Friends- here is the deal. As of tonight there are 4 good Democrats running for Governor. I think the field is set. So here is my request, pick a candidate, support them, work for them, etc. Or don't pick and work with the party till we have a nominee on May 9. Either way, let's not attack our fellow Dems. Each want nothing more than to defeat Walker and heal this state. They are all good people with the right intentions. On May 9 we will have our candidate and providence willing our next Governor. Let's keep it clean and remember the primary process gives us OUR nominee. We will be united against Walker at sun up on May 9. - Mike Tate

 
G:8130social191 ( 0.0000 points)
x3
Sat, March 31, 2012 02:27:49 PM UTC0:00
I think if the people of Wisconsin were to elect a democrat to replace the current republican governor. I think that it would be more dangerous because the democrats have been known to "work" with republicans many isssues, and this might one them. If the people of Wisconsin were to elect a democrat to the Governor's Mansion, I know the democrat(s) either in the governor's mansion or the state legislature would continue the current governor's anti-worker policys.I say this to the people of Wisconsin "do not elect a democrat or a republican. Elect a candidate who share's your concern and will fight for you!"

 
D:1414Forwardista ( 171.5051 points)
Sat, March 31, 2012 11:07:27 PM UTC0:00
An excerpt from a Peter Barca e-mail:
After careful reflection, I have decided not to run for governor in the upcoming recall election. It was a very difficult decision, in no small part because I have been so moved by the emails, calls and requests from so many active, caring citizens like yourself who have been at the forefront of our movement to restore Wisconsin values to our state government. Your passion and compassion for the people of our state has been such an inspiration to me, and I believe all of the elected leaders in the Capitol, as we have been fighting for more than a year against the extreme, divisive agenda of Gov. Walker.

 
DFL:8625JC42 ( 115.1898 points)
Sat, March 31, 2012 11:10:20 PM UTC0:00
Feingold has said he won't run, right?

 
D:2064TX DEM ( 3224.4231 points)
Sat, March 31, 2012 11:44:10 PM UTC0:00
Yes, and considering that Obama's people are helping Barrett, I would say we can take him for his word.

 
D:1414Forwardista ( 171.5051 points)
Sun, April 1, 2012 12:02:55 AM UTC0:00
Repeatedly, in private and public.

 
IND:1196Monsieur ( 5890.8623 points)
x2
Sun, April 1, 2012 12:16:27 AM UTC0:00
I doubt most (any?) of these people would have announced if there was any chance Feingold would run.

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
x2
Sun, April 1, 2012 07:54:43 AM UTC0:00
Falk might have, since she strikes me as being about as human as excelsior's histrionic descriptions of Hillary Clinton, but she obviously wouldn't have had a chance against him.

 
D:6086Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
Mon, April 2, 2012 06:49:42 AM UTC0:00
While Barrett deservedly gets called out for being a lackluster candidate, he's still be the safest bet for the Democrats so far. 46% in the worst year to be a Democrat since 1938 is still not that bad, at least on paper.

Of course, I'm still going to be skeptical of the recall's chance of success as long as Walker's approval ratings only remain sort of bad as opposed to being outright putrid a la Gray Davis. The point is, there's a higher floor with Barrett than Falk or any of the other jokers in this race.

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Mon, April 2, 2012 07:06:14 AM UTC0:00
I think it's jerky for Barrett to run for re-election.

I mean ... he wants to leave the job anyway so why bother run and cost the city a special election if he wins?

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
Mon, April 2, 2012 08:20:11 AM UTC0:00
Jason: 46% in the worst year to be a Democrat since 1938 is still not that bad, at least on paper.

The wave in Wisconsin was something more on the order of 1994 or a generic first-Presidential-midterm thrashing than the kind of thrashing the Democrats took in some other regions in 2010. Democrats did lose a lot of things here, but they were by margins like 4%, 8%, and 12%, not 25%.

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Mon, April 2, 2012 09:29:06 AM UTC0:00
COSDem: I think it's jerky for Barrett to run for re-election.

I mean ... he wants to leave the job anyway so why bother run and cost the city a special election if he wins?

couldn't they just hold the special election at the same time as the August Primary/November Election, thus no significant extra cost (aside from putting the race on a ballot)?

 
D:1658Homegrown Democrat ( 758.3651 points)
Tue, April 3, 2012 04:50:25 AM UTC0:00
RBH: couldn't they just hold the special election at the same time as the August Primary/November Election, thus no significant extra cost (aside from putting the race on a ballot)?

As long as the law allows them the flexibility, the GAB always tries to schedule elections in a way that would be cheapest.

When Barrett ran in 2010, they had tentative plans to hold a primary for Mayor in Feb with the general election in April, both during the normally scheduled Spring elections.

I expect the timing would work out to use August and November.

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
x2
Thu, April 5, 2012 04:28:30 AM UTC0:00
**Confused**