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  NV US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Nevada > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline 00, 2016 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 08, 2016 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close November 08, 2016 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2017 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
ContributorJason
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia January 25, 2017 09:00pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/02/2010
NameHarry M. Reid Votes362,785 (50.29%)
Term01/03/2011 - 01/03/2017 Margin41,424 (+5.74%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2022
NameCatherine Cortez Masto Votes498,316 (48.81%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2029 Margin7,928 (+0.78%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 14, 2016 NV US Senate - D Primary
Catherine Cortez Masto
D 101,728
Jun 14, 2016 NV US Senate - R Primary
Joe Heck
R 114,837
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/04/2010 11/08/2016
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Catherine Cortez Masto 5 5 ----
Joe Heck 7 ------
Leaning Call: Catherine Cortez Masto (68.18%)
Weighted Call: Catherine Cortez Masto (91.41%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/21/2015 11/07/2016

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Attorney General Catherine Cortez Masto Rep. Joe Heck None of These Candidates Tom Jones Thomas "Tom" Sawyer Tony Gumina Jarrod M. Williams
PartyDemocratic Republican Independent Independent American Independent Independent Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 521,994 (47.10%) 495,079 (44.67%) 42,257 (3.81%) 17,128 (1.55%) 14,208 (1.28%) 10,740 (0.97%) 6,888 (0.62%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -26,915 (-2.43%) -479,737 (-43.29%) -504,866 (-45.55%) -507,786 (-45.82%) -511,254 (-46.13%) -515,106 (-46.48%)
Predict Avg.46.00% 48.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 04/08/2015 07/06/2015 00/00/2010 00/00/2016 00/00/2016 00/00/2016 00/00/2016
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (51 from 20 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg43.90%-- 44.44%-- 2.57%-- 1.36%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
SurveyMonkey 
11/01/16-11/07/16
50.00% 3.0 45.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
11/03/16-11/06/16
49.00% 8.0 43.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
11/02/16-11/06/16
45.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
11/04/16-11/05/16
48.00% 4.0 47.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
11/01/16-11/03/16
45.00% 1.0 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/31/16-11/02/16
46.00% -- 45.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Kyle


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
09/16/2016 Joe Heck vs Catherine Cortez Masto TVAd Contrast eng Oath  00:00:30 RP 
08/19/2016 Catherine Cortez Masto TVAd Defend eng Left Out   00:00:30 RP 
08/16/2016 Joe Heck TVAd Biography eng Promise  00:00:30 RP 
08/16/2016 vs Joe Heck TVAd Attack eng Side  00:00:30 RP 
08/15/2016 vs Joe Heck TVAd Attack eng Cold Hard Cash  00:00:30 RP 
08/12/2016 vs Catherine Cortez Masto TVAd Attack eng No Concern  00:00:30 RP 
08/12/2016 vs Joe Heck TVAd Attack eng Numbers  00:00:31 RP 
08/10/2016 vs Joe Heck TVAd Attack eng Ten Times  00:00:30 RP 
08/03/2016 Catherine Cortez Masto TVAd Issue eng Grandfather  00:00:30 RP 
08/02/2016 vs Catherine Cortez Masto TVAd Attack eng Who  00:00:30 RP 
08/01/2016 vs Catherine Cortez Masto TVAd Attack spa New Threats  00:00:30 RP 
08/01/2016 vs Catherine Cortez Masto TVAd Attack eng Nineteen Dollars Per Hour   00:00:30 RP 
07/22/2016 Catherine Cortez Masto vs Joe Heck TVAd Biography eng Ideas  00:00:30 RP 
07/06/2016 Catherine Cortez Masto TVAd Issue eng Proudest  00:00:30 RP 
05/25/2016 vs Joe Heck TVAd Contrast eng Heck Contrast  00:00:30 RP 
05/25/2016 vs Joe Heck TVAd Attack eng Rabbits and Tigers  00:00:30 RP 
10/19/2015 Joe Heck TVAd Issue eng Jobs for the Future  00:00:30 RP 
10/08/2015 vs Catherine Cortez Masto TVAd Attack eng There's No Going Back   00:00:30 RP 
07/14/2015 Joe Heck TVAd Biography eng U.S. Chamber Supports Joe Heck   00:00:30 RP 
07/06/2015 Joe Heck Web Only Ad Biography eng Healer  00:03:01 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor

DISCUSSION
[View All
8
Previous Messages]
 
I:0hiyou ( 0.0000 points)
Fri, March 27, 2015 02:02:08 PM UTC0:00
Harry reid not running for reelection

 
R:7114Kyle ( 752.3616 points)
Fri, July 17, 2015 06:08:15 PM UTC0:00
Interesting numbers. Proves that Heck is an A+ recruit for the GOP. Still a long ways to go, but his lead almost equals Sandoval's.

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Fri, July 17, 2015 08:45:31 PM UTC0:00
Well, Gravis doesn't exactly have a great track record and they only poll land lines and no cell phones, but certainly Heck is the second best candidate for the GOP in this race.

 
I:0TEK ( 5506.7227 points)
Sat, July 18, 2015 06:13:35 AM UTC0:00
PPP's 42-41 makes a lot more sense. Or I should that's what it will be a year from now.

 
SNP:8431Progressive Scot ( 325.8435 points)
Fri, October 7, 2016 10:39:21 AM UTC0:00
Looking at this from someone who is not American I think the Harry Reid endorsement and Cortez Masto's lack of political firepower in this race will likely cost her this seat. Probobly a similar fate to what happened to Alison Lungerden Grimes who also got the highest percentage of the vote when she ran for statewide office. Seems federal races don't fair well for state office holder Democrat's

 
SNP:8431Progressive Scot ( 325.8435 points)
Fri, October 7, 2016 10:42:28 AM UTC0:00
On that note does anyone else think Nevada is turning more to the Republicans again

 
D:1RP ( 5506.7227 points)
Fri, October 7, 2016 04:14:29 PM UTC0:00
Progressive Scot: On that note does anyone else think Nevada is turning more to the Republicans again

No... In fact, the populace in NV is moving more towards the Democrats, at least demographically and in the new residents moving from more liberal states.

The big question this year is turnout. In 2014, turnout dropped more than half from 2012 and even in half from 2010. That's a crazy drop. If turnout doesn't recover this year or in the future, then yes, Nevada will turn (stay) Republican. If it does, NV will move to the Democrats.

Also note that polling in NV tends to significantly undercount the Democratic results. For instance, all the polls had Harry Reid losing by 1-3 points and he ended up winning by 6.

 
I:0sboudreaux27@yahoo.com ( 5506.7227 points)
Wed, November 9, 2016 12:48:51 AM UTC0:00
Heck should be able to pull it off!

His military service in the US Army Reserves will give him a big boost among military veterans.