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  FL Governor - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > Governor
OfficeGovernor
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline July 21, 2006 - 11:00am
Polls Open September 05, 2006 - 06:00am
Polls Close September 05, 2006 - 07:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2007 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2011 - 12:00pm
Turnout 19.92% Registered 4.76% Total Population
ContributorRalphie
Last ModifiedRBH December 23, 2012 05:06pm
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/05/2002
NameJeb Bush Votes2,856,845 (56.01%)
Term01/07/2003 - 01/02/2007 Margin655,418 (+12.85%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/07/2006
NameCharlie Crist Votes2,519,845 (52.18%)
Term01/02/2007 - 05/12/2010 Margin341,556 (+7.07%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFL Governor 11/07/2006
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/04/2004 09/05/2006
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Jim Davis 11 7 7 6
Rod Smith --1 ----
Leaning Call: Jim Davis (97.22%)
Weighted Call: Jim Davis (94.19%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
01/18/2005 09/02/2006

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Rep. Jim Davis St. Sen. Rod Smith Carol Castagnero Glenn Burkett John Crotty  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Certified Votes405,879 (47.32%) 353,161 (41.17%) 45,161 (5.27%) 32,984 (3.85%) 20,629 (2.41%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -52,718 (-6.15%) -360,718 (-42.05%) -372,895 (-43.47%) -385,250 (-44.91%)  
Predict Avg.49.67% 35.67% 1.00% 1.00% 0.50%  
Cash On Hand 6/30 $4,890,586.00 6/30 $3,387,922.00 6/30 $-703.00 6/30 $2,133.00 6/30 $1,968.00  
MATCHUP POLLS (29 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg39.42%-- 32.90%-- 3.75%-- 2.05%-- 1.25%--  
Insider Advantage 
09/01/06-09/02/06
42.00% 6.0 38.00% 11.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
09/01/06-09/01/06
40.00% 11.0 33.00% 19.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
08/29/06-08/31/06
33.60% 12.6 28.70% 12.7 4.60% 1.6 2.90% 0.9 2.10% 1.1
Quinnipiac University 
08/23/06-08/28/06
43.00% 4.0 32.00% 13.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
08/24/06-08/25/06
36.00% -- 27.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
07/31/06-08/03/06
21.00% -- 16.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Robert Wexler
I Michael Schiavo
D Debbie Wasserman Schultz
IND Monsieur
D Wayne Mixson
  Miami Herald
I Lawton Mainor "Bud" Chiles, III
  Naples Daily News
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 09, 2006 08:00am News Smith won't reject anti-Davis flier  Article Ripzaw 
Aug 08, 2006 11:00am News Smith criticizes Davis ads that rely on Graham  Article CBlock941 
Aug 08, 2006 11:00am News Rod Smith changes TV ad firms for 2nd time  Article CBlock941 
Aug 08, 2006 09:00am News Mailers attack Davis for missing pro-Israel vote  Article eddy 9_99 
Jul 19, 2006 09:00am News Democrat Smith campaigns for governor in conservative Panhandle  Article eddy 9_99 
Jun 08, 2006 08:00am Analysis Ecology could decide Democrats' primary  Article CBlock941 

DISCUSSION
[View All
262
Previous Messages]
 
R:1653Frank Cuzzocrea ( 0.0000 points)
Wed, April 6, 2005 12:03:59 AM UTC0:00
Anthony Kennedy Shriver didn't run for Mayor of Miami Beach the last election cycle because of a personal image problem, cannot see him run for governor.

 
DL:1025Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
Fri, April 15, 2005 02:56:59 AM UTC0:00
Interesting poll. I think that there are still enough undecided voters out there that it can go either say. If this is all Maddox can poll, and his base is going to be South Florida, then this might be encouraging for David and Smith.

But of course, Maddox isn't running.

 
DL:1025Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
Sat, April 16, 2005 03:43:13 AM UTC0:00
In the latest contribution reports, Smith took a lot of money from sugar companies. I wonder how much this will hurt him?

 
FWP:1121CBlock941 ( 742.4005 points)
Sat, April 16, 2005 06:38:18 PM UTC0:00
There was a news story in the Palm Beach Post that I didn't post about it. It will be a bigger deal in S. Florida, which could hurt his base sightly. That isn't a top-tier issue for them anymore down there anyway

 
DL:1025Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
Sat, April 16, 2005 10:53:26 PM UTC0:00
I think it will be, but not as much in the primary as it would be in the general. If Crist is the nominee, he has pledged not to take sugar money. If Smith is the nominee for the Dems, it will hurt him, I feel, more in the general than the primary.

I think that Maddox will win pretty handily in Palm Beach and Broward Counties. Since being chair, he has mostly concentrated all of his efforts on these counties as chair. In return, it has hurt him with other DEC chairs, like those along I-4.

I feel that Maddox will win 60%+ in Palm Beach and Broward.

 
D:1698Ultraliberal ( 0.0000 points)
Thu, May 5, 2005 11:46:06 PM UTC0:00
Scott Maddox will most likely enter the Democratic Primary for Governor in a week. He will be a great candidate and if we get our act together and nominate him for Governor, we'll win.

We won't win with a conservative Democrat from North Florida or a US Rep from Tampa who is stiff and policy wonkish. We tried that in the Presidential race, remember, a stiff DC wonk, he lost.

Florida Democrats---Think Liberal and Radical, nominate Maddox!

 
D:704John ( 3346.7625 points)
Mon, June 20, 2005 08:16:09 PM UTC0:00
How does the nomination for lieutenant governor work in Florida? Do they have to have a running mate after the primary or do they run as a ticket in the primary? Because I still feel that either Davis or Maddox, whichever wins the primary (hopefully Davis), should tap Smith, who seems like a talented enough state senator that with a higher profile statewide office, he could be a great asset to the Democrats.

 
R:737737 ( 263.0322 points)
Tue, June 21, 2005 05:42:04 AM UTC0:00
While the running mate is often announced prior to the primary, the candidates for governor are not required to name their running mates until after the primary.

Candidates for governor appear on the primary election ballot with only their name. On the general election ballot, the candidates for governor and lieutenant governor will appear as a ticket.

 
D:704John ( 3346.7625 points)
Tue, June 21, 2005 05:50:29 AM UTC0:00
Thanks!

 
DL:1025Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
Fri, June 24, 2005 06:41:10 PM UTC0:00
I went to an Osceola County DEC meeting yesterday and they said there is a good likelihood that Daryl Jones will run. I'll see if I hear anythng more.

 
DL:1025Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
Thu, June 30, 2005 03:43:27 AM UTC0:00
Seems like the tax issue is starting to hurt Maddox.

 
IND:1196Monsieur ( 5890.8623 points)
Sat, July 23, 2005 03:18:42 AM UTC0:00
Smith has pulled ahead of Maddox.

 
R:572Rob Brodner ( 48.2046 points)
Tue, August 23, 2005 08:33:23 PM UTC0:00
From the Strategic Vision poll for August:

When Democrats were polled for their choice for Governor in 2006, 27%
selected Congressman Jim Davis; 13% selected State Senator Rod Smith;
10% selected former Florida
Democratic Party Chairman Scott Maddox; with 50% undecided.

When Democrats were asked if they were satisfied with the three
Democratic candidates or would prefer another candidate, 39% said they were
satisfied; 55% said they would
prefer another candidate; and 6% were undecided.

 
D:318New York Democrat ( 247.7782 points)
Tue, August 23, 2005 09:38:09 PM UTC0:00
None of these candidates are inspiring.

 
D:1107GavinBrown ( 1359.3580 points)
Tue, August 23, 2005 10:54:12 PM UTC0:00
Davis/Butterworth 2006!

 
I:1743Happy Smurf ( 0.0000 points)
Tue, August 23, 2005 10:55:59 PM UTC0:00
I don't see any of these guys beating the Republicans in 2006. Florida Democrats have essentially given up and are more focused on saving Nelson in 2006.

 
D:1107GavinBrown ( 1359.3580 points)
Tue, August 23, 2005 11:53:05 PM UTC0:00
i disagree, I am good friends with the new chair Karen Thurman and I know shes working really hard for Nelson AND the governors race. Not to mention the fla dems have seen a surge in fundraising since thurman took over.

 
I:1743Happy Smurf ( 0.0000 points)
Wed, August 24, 2005 12:22:47 AM UTC0:00
We all have the right to disagree. And don't you think being "good friends" with Karen Thurman would automatically make you less objective about her words?

But as long as you brought it up, why has Butterworth bowed out of competitive statewide races? Yes he made horrible run for State Senate, but I think the guy still has some statewide capital and is certainly a better candidate than Maddox or Smith. Davis will make it a respectable loss IMHO, but I'll need to be convinced that he can break the growing hold the Florida GOP has on the state.

 
I:31Default User ( 1568.2518 points)
Wed, August 24, 2005 03:00:00 AM UTC0:00
The coming Harris disaster that everyone including Karl Rove sees may be enough to tilt a close Governor's race to the Dems

 
D:1107GavinBrown ( 1359.3580 points)
Wed, August 24, 2005 03:48:00 AM UTC0:00
HapppySmurf, Butterworth is eyeing the LTD gov job with one of the candidates. Also, I think when a state party's fundraising surges under a new chief, they have something to brag about.

 
DL:1025Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
Fri, August 26, 2005 05:31:19 AM UTC0:00
Why would Butterworth eye the LG job when he could enter the governor's race TODAY and be the front runner by a large margin?

 
D:1107GavinBrown ( 1359.3580 points)
Fri, August 26, 2005 05:51:12 AM UTC0:00
why would he go from an attorney general job and run for state senate?

 
DL:1025Some say... ( 6043.1475 points)
Fri, August 26, 2005 06:23:01 AM UTC0:00
He was term limited and wanted to stay in politics. Why he ran for State Senate out of all things beat the piss out of me! Still, if he were to enter the race now, he would be the front runner.

Also, the state senate district he ran in was extremely republican as well.

 
R:373... ( 421.7247 points)
Fri, October 7, 2005 10:15:22 PM UTC0:00
Davis is a sure thing for the Democratic nod, but Smith might not leave without a fight. This race Democrats have high hopes for and party solidarity might overcome the ambitions of several prominent Florida Democrats.

 
R:373... ( 421.7247 points)
Mon, November 28, 2005 04:29:50 PM UTC0:00
The race is Jim Davis' to lose. Democratic bigwigs are lining up behind him and Rod Smith's candidacy is mostly a protest vote against the party leadership.