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  SC US President - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > South Carolina > President
Parent RaceUS President - R Primary
OfficePresident
Type Primary Election
Filing Deadline 00, 2012 - 12:00pm
Polls Open January 21, 2012 - 06:00am
Polls Close January 21, 2012 - 06:00pm
Term Start January 20, 2013 - 12:00am
Term End January 20, 2017 - 12:00pm
Turnout 15.05% Total Population
ContributorIndyEurope
Last ModifiedCrimson March 07, 2012 04:54pm
Data SourcesSouth Carolina Secretary of State
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2008
NameJohn McCain Votes1,034,896 (53.87%)
Term01/20/2009 - 01/20/2013 Margin172,447 (+8.98%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/06/2012
NameMitt Romney Votes1,071,645 (54.56%)
Term01/20/2013 - 01/20/2017 Margin205,704 (+10.47%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceSC US President 11/06/2012
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.3332996368 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/17/2010 01/21/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Newt Gingrich 25 5 ----
Rick Perry ----1 --
Mitt Romney 3 5 --1
Rick Santorum 1 ------
Leaning Call: Newt Gingrich (62.50%)
Weighted Call: Newt Gingrich (87.13%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
05/22/2010 01/20/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rep. Newt Gingrich Gov. Mitt Romney Sen. Rick Santorum Rep. Ron Paul Herman Cain Gov. Rick Perry Ambassador Jon Huntsman, Jr.
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Certified Votes244,065 (40.42%) 168,123 (27.85%) 102,475 (16.97%) 78,360 (12.98%) 6,338 (1.05%) 2,534 (0.42%) 1,173 (0.19%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -75,942 (-12.58%) -141,590 (-23.45%) -165,705 (-27.45%) -237,727 (-39.37%) -241,531 (-40.00%) -242,892 (-40.23%)
Predict Avg.30.20% 29.38% 16.64% 13.47% 0.08% 3.26% 0.57%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (38 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg28.48%-- 28.89%-- 10.93%-- 13.02%-- 2.14%-- 3.53%-- 2.16%--
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/18/12-01/20/12
37.00% 2.0 28.00% 1.0 16.00% 1.0 14.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/18/12-01/19/12
35.00% 1.0 29.00% 1.0 15.00% 1.0 15.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% 5.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/18/12-01/18/12
34.00% 10.0 28.00% 1.0 14.00% -- 15.00% -- 0.00% -- 5.00% 1.0 0.00% 5.0
Insider Advantage 
01/18/12-01/18/12
31.60% 10.6 28.80% 5.8 10.90% 3.1 15.20% 2.2 0.00% -- 2.90% 2.1 0.00% 7.0
Tarrance Group (R) 
01/17/12-01/18/12
29.00% -- 31.00% -- 8.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/17/12-01/18/12
33.00% 8.0 32.00% 3.0 9.00% 2.0 19.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 4.00% 5.0 0.00% 1.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Robert "Bob" Royall [L]
R John L. Napier [L]
R Kenneth A. "Kenny" Bingham [L]
R Joshua Putnam [L]
R David H. Wilkins [L]
R G. Murrell Smith, Jr. [L]
R Charlie Condon [L]
R Ralph W. Norman [L]
R Deborah Long [L]
R Steve Moss [L]
R F. Gregory "Greg" Delleney, Jr. [L]
R Stephen H. Brown [L]
R Gary Bunker [L]
R Lee Bright [L]
R Kevin Bryant [L]
R Danny Verdin [L]
D Stephen Colbert [L]
R Robert W. "Bobby" Harrell, Jr. [L]
R Hugh Weathers [L]
R Mark Willis [L]
R Bill Taylor [L]
  The State
R John Courson [L]
R Alan Wilson [L]
R Carroll "Tumpy" Campbell, III [L]
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Rep. Michele Bachmann Gov. Gary Johnson  
PartyRepublican Republican  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Certified Votes491 (0.08%) 211 (0.04%)  
Margin-243,574 (-40.34%) -243,854 (-40.39%)  
Predict Avg.0.84% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (38 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg4.19%-- -4.46%--  
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/18/12-01/20/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/18/12-01/19/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/18/12-01/18/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
01/18/12-01/18/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tarrance Group (R) 
01/17/12-01/18/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/17/12-01/18/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
01/19/2012 Herman Cain TVAd Attack eng Modern Stage Combat   00:01:01 Homegrown Democrat 
01/18/2012 Newt Gingrich TVAd Attack eng Desperate   00:00:46 Homegrown Democrat 
01/18/2012 TVAd Issue eng Double Negative   00:01:01 Homegrown Democrat 
01/17/2012 Herman Cain TVAd Mixed eng Not Abel  00:01:00 Homegrown Democrat 
01/16/2012 Rick Santorum TVAd Attack eng Easy Answer   00:00:31 RP 
01/15/2012 TVAd Attack eng Attack In B Minor For Strings  00:01:01 Homegrown Democrat 
01/12/2012 Newt Gingrich Web Only Ad Attack eng The French Connection   00:00:00 RP 
01/11/2012 Newt Gingrich Web Only Ad Attack eng For The Dogs   00:01:55 RP 
01/08/2012 Newt Gingrich TVAd Attack eng King of Bain "When Mitt Romney Came To Town"  00:02:55 RP 
01/06/2012 Ron Paul TVAd Attack eng Betrayal  00:01:05 Homegrown Democrat 
01/06/2012 TVAd Attack eng We Can Do Better Than Ron Paul   00:01:01 Homegrown Democrat 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jan 21, 2012 11:00pm Press Release NOM Congratulates Newt Gingrich on South Carolina Win  Article Servo 
Jan 21, 2012 12:35pm Blog Entry Early Exit Poll Has Ron Paul In Second With 26%  Article Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! 
Jan 20, 2012 05:50pm Statement Herman Cain defends Newt Gingrich from CNN ‘crap’  Article RP 
Jan 20, 2012 10:00am Scandal Fake CNN email used as dirty trick in South Carolina  Article RP 
Jan 20, 2012 09:00am Commentary Why Newt Gingrich is surging in South Carolina  Article Brandonius Maximus 
Jan 19, 2012 11:45am Advertisement Anonymous South Carolina Flier Attacks Rick Santorum's Wife  Article Homegrown Democrat 

DISCUSSION
[View All
98
Previous Messages]
 
I:114particleman ( 921.6604 points)
x3
Sun, January 22, 2012 07:26:41 AM UTC0:00
Never saw that win coming in as big as it is.

Despite the money it takes to play in Florida, I wouldn't count on Romney simply coasting to recovery there. I mean, really, if Romney's "organization" versus his inability to win over the base resembles anyone right now, it's Charlie Crist.

 
D:1414Forwardista ( 171.5051 points)
x3
Sun, January 22, 2012 08:04:20 AM UTC0:00
Not saying that he is going to lose in the end, but I find it odd that Romney is considered inevitable when he only has won 1 out of 3 states. And his support is soft as hell.

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
x3
Sun, January 22, 2012 08:16:41 AM UTC0:00
COSDem: Ron Paul's election night speeches are always long, tedious and boring.

One could say that Ron Paul's existence as a person has been long, tedious and boring.

 
D:633WesternDem ( 892.4465 points)
x2
Sun, January 22, 2012 08:26:07 AM UTC0:00
Just when you think the entertainment has come to an end -- 12.5 %!

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 290.2565 points)
Sun, January 22, 2012 11:56:50 AM UTC0:00
Ron Paul increased his support from 16,000 votes in 2008, to 78,000 in 2012. And that's within the context of the Deep South being pretty much indisputably the region where he's bound to do the worst.

 
R:8516Spen ( 128.4489 points)
x2
Sun, January 22, 2012 01:06:08 PM UTC0:00
Still doesn't change the fact that he's the only candidate left who hasn't won anything.

 
D:411Picimpalious ( 1229.6810 points)
Sun, January 22, 2012 01:28:33 PM UTC0:00
Santorum's campaign is shaping up to be exactly like Huckabee's, religious conservative who won Iowa then faded. Like Huckabee, I'll suspect he'll stay in the race and up winning forgotten caucuses in Kansas and Nebraska after either Newt or Romney has dropped out.

 
LAB:1731New Jerusalem ( 561.8354 points)
Sun, January 22, 2012 03:07:42 PM UTC0:00
That's a pretty funny map.

 
D:704John ( 3346.7625 points)
Sun, January 22, 2012 04:39:03 PM UTC0:00
Forwardista: Not saying that he is going to lose in the end, but I find it odd that Romney is considered inevitable when he only has won 1 out of 3 states. And his support is soft as hell.

Part of that is that for all practical intents and purposes he won Iowa-he got all of the media bounce out of it, he had lots of people crowing that he was a steamroller frontrunner after seemingly taking those first two states-yes, in the end it was Santorum, but Santorum has lost all of the momentum that winning the state at the time would have given him.

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 290.2565 points)
Sun, January 22, 2012 09:53:45 PM UTC0:00
Even if Santorum's win had been accurately reported on the night of the Iowa caucus, virtually nothing would have changed. The media essentially reported it as a tie between Romney and Satorum (which was fair of them), and would have done so regardless.

I thought we were all pretty much taking it for granted since December that Santorum was 2012's Huckabee.

 
Laf-W:2005Craverguy ( 773.7696 points)
Sun, January 22, 2012 11:34:15 PM UTC0:00
Spen: Still doesn't change the fact that he's the only candidate left who hasn't won anything.

On the other hand, he's also the only candidate who has posted a strong showing in every state.

 
D:2064TX DEM ( 3224.4231 points)
Sun, January 22, 2012 11:36:05 PM UTC0:00
Romney has beaten Paul in every state. Plus I don't think SC was that great for Paul.

 
Laf-W:2005Craverguy ( 773.7696 points)
x2
Sun, January 22, 2012 11:46:10 PM UTC0:00
Yes, I mentally blanked out Romney's existence for a minute there.

That'll probably happen more often as the campaign goes on.

 
D:479Brandonius Maximus ( 1558.3782 points)
Sun, January 22, 2012 11:57:30 PM UTC0:00
4th place is not a strong showing.

 
R:1153J.R. ( 744.6801 points)
x2
Mon, January 23, 2012 12:07:53 AM UTC0:00
Out of 4 remaining candidates...

 
D:479Brandonius Maximus ( 1558.3782 points)
Mon, January 23, 2012 12:10:52 AM UTC0:00
Right.

 
D:262William Shakesman ( 6920.2134 points)
Mon, January 23, 2012 12:32:16 AM UTC0:00
i'm sure paul woulda placed higher if it wasn't for zioni$t$

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 290.2565 points)
Mon, January 23, 2012 05:23:41 AM UTC0:00
That Paul won't do well in the Deep South is something of a given. If he continues to make strong showings everywhere else, that will be impressive.