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  FL US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline May 07, 2004 - 11:00am Central
Polls Open August 31, 2004 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close August 31, 2004 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2005 - 11:00am
Term End January 03, 2011 - 11:00am
Turnout 31.14% Registered 6.73% Total Population
ContributorWishful Thinking
Last ModifiedBarack O-blame-a December 26, 2006 03:54am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/1998
NameBob Graham Votes2,436,407 (62.47%)
Term01/03/1999 - 01/03/2005 Margin972,652 (+24.94%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2004
NameMel Martinez Votes3,672,864 (49.43%)
Term01/03/2005 - 09/09/2009 Margin82,663 (+1.11%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFL US Senate 11/02/2004
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.1999998093 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/22/2003 08/31/2004
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Mel Martinez 10 8 4 1
William "Bill" McCollum, Jr. 22 2 ----
Johnnie B. Byrd, Jr. 2 ------
Leaning Call: Mel Martinez (60.00%)
Weighted Call: Mel Martinez (50.30%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/03/2003 08/29/2004

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Secretary of Housing & Urban Development Mel Martinez Rep. William "Bill" McCollum, Jr. Doug Gallagher St. Rep. Johnnie B. Byrd, Jr. Karen Saull Sonya L. March Larry Klayman
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes522,994 (44.86%) 360,474 (30.92%) 158,360 (13.58%) 68,982 (5.92%) 20,365 (1.75%) 17,804 (1.53%) 13,257 (1.14%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -162,520 (-13.94%) -364,634 (-31.27%) -454,012 (-38.94%) -502,629 (-43.11%) -505,190 (-43.33%) -509,737 (-43.72%)
Predict Avg.31.17% 26.83% 9.26% 6.83% 0.00% 0.38% 1.41%
karin149239.00% (+0.46 pts) 40.00% (-2.74 pts) 5.00% (-3.70 pts) 13.00% (-3.28 pts) -- 1.00% (+0.76 pts) 2.00% (+0.51 pts)
Mr. Techno -- 12.00% (-9.29 pts) -- -- -- -- --
Qbanito39.00% (+0.46 pts) 37.00% (-0.74 pts) 12.00% (+0.96 pts) 9.00% (-0.61 pts) -- -- 2.00% (+0.51 pts)
emg117 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Easily Offended Man -- -- -- -- -- -- --
New York Democrat25.00% (-8.87 pts) 29.00% (+2.04 pts) -- 17.00% (-5.94 pts) -- -- 3.00% (-0.16 pts)
None Entered16.00% (-14.87 pts) 19.00% (-4.63 pts) 8.00% (-1.70 pts) 5.00% (+0.83 pts) -- -- 1.00% (+0.99 pts)
CBlock94141.00% (+1.79 pts) 40.00% (-2.74 pts) 9.00% (-1.04 pts) 5.00% (+0.83 pts) -- 1.00% (+0.76 pts) 2.50% (+0.18 pts)
...42.00% (+2.46 pts) 43.00% (-4.74 pts) 10.00% (-0.37 pts) 4.00% (+0.17 pts) -- -- 1.00% (+0.99 pts)
Monsieur31.74% (-4.38 pts) 36.96% (-0.71 pts) 8.36% (-1.46 pts) 7.97% (+0.08 pts) -- -- 2.42% (+0.23 pts)
SirWalter39.00% (+0.46 pts) 33.00% (+1.93 pts) 15.00% (+1.07 pts) 11.00% (-1.94 pts) -- -- 2.00% (+0.51 pts)
SC-Conservative39.00% (+0.46 pts) 32.00% (+2.60 pts) 16.00% (+0.41 pts) 10.00% (-1.28 pts) -- 1.00% (+0.76 pts) 1.00% (+0.99 pts)
Cash On Hand 8/11 $2,348,125.00 8/11 $1,721,689.00 8/11 $1,493,725.00 8/11 $528,783.00 6/30 $8,828.00 8/11 $5,297.00 8/11 $184,946.00
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 01/05/2004 08/12/2003 05/06/2004 03/02/2004 05/05/2004 01/02/2004 09/17/2003
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (20 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg28.75%-- 31.74%-- 9.39%-- 5.98%-- 1.72%-- 2.04%-- 1.26%--
Insider Advantage 
08/27/04-08/29/04
32.00% -- 31.00% -- 9.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R) 
08/22/04-08/25/04
30.00% -- 32.00% -- 7.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
08/24/04-08/25/04
25.00% 11.0 29.00% 10.0 8.00% 3.0 6.00% 2.0 1.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Research 2000 
08/23/04-08/25/04
31.00% -- 35.00% -- 12.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
08/23/04-08/24/04
33.00% -- 27.00% -- 12.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% --
Unknown (R) 
08/18/04-08/18/04
18.20% -- 34.60% -- 4.60% -- 5.20% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name William Billy Kogut  
PartyRepublican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes3,695 (0.32%)  
Margin-519,299 (-44.54%)  
Predict Avg.0.00%  
karin1492 --
Mr. Techno --
Qbanito --
emg117 --
Easily Offended Man --
New York Democrat --
None Entered --
CBlock941 --
... --
Monsieur --
SirWalter --
SC-Conservative --
Cash On Hand $--  
Website  
Entry Date 04/06/2004  
MATCHUP POLLS (20 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg2.04%--  
Insider Advantage 
08/27/04-08/29/04
0.00% --
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R) 
08/22/04-08/25/04
0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
08/24/04-08/25/04
0.00% 1.0
Research 2000 
08/23/04-08/25/04
0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
08/23/04-08/24/04
0.00% --
Unknown (R) 
08/18/04-08/18/04
0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
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VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 30, 2004 12:00am News Fla. Paper Withdraws Senate Endorsement  Article Ex-New Jerseyan 
Aug 29, 2004 12:00am Poll Martinez Surging  Article Qbanito 
Aug 29, 2004 12:00am News Martinez pulls plug on attack ad  Article Qbanito 
Aug 27, 2004 12:00am News Polls show Republican candidates for U.S. Senate race are neck and neck  Article Qbanito 
Aug 27, 2004 12:00am News Polls unclear on front-runner in Florida race  Article ArmyDem 
Aug 26, 2004 12:00am News Mack accuses Martinez of 'mean-spirited' attack  Article Qbanito 

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