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  FL US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline May 07, 2004 - 11:00am
Polls Open August 31, 2004 - 06:00am
Polls Close August 31, 2004 - 06:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2005 - 11:00am
Term End January 03, 2011 - 11:00am
Turnout 31.14% Registered 6.73% Total Population
ContributorWishful Thinking
Last ModifiedBarack O-blame-a December 26, 2006 03:54am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/1998
NameBob Graham Votes2,436,407 (62.47%)
Term01/03/1999 - 01/03/2005 Margin972,652 (+24.94%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2004
NameMel Martinez Votes3,672,864 (49.43%)
Term01/03/2005 - 09/09/2009 Margin82,663 (+1.11%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFL US Senate 11/02/2004
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.1999998093 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/22/2003 08/31/2004
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Mel Martinez 10 8 4 1
Bill McCollum 22 2 ----
Johnnie B. Byrd, Jr. 2 ------
Leaning Call: Mel Martinez (60.00%)
Weighted Call: Mel Martinez (57.65%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
11/03/2003 08/29/2004

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Secretary of Housing & Urban Development Mel Martinez Rep. Bill McCollum Doug Gallagher St. Rep. Johnnie B. Byrd, Jr. Karen Saull Sonya L. March Larry Klayman
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Certified Votes522,994 (44.86%) 360,474 (30.92%) 158,360 (13.58%) 68,982 (5.92%) 20,365 (1.75%) 17,804 (1.53%) 13,257 (1.14%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -162,520 (-13.94%) -364,634 (-31.27%) -454,012 (-38.94%) -502,629 (-43.11%) -505,190 (-43.33%) -509,737 (-43.72%)
Predict Avg.31.17% 26.83% 9.26% 6.83% 0.00% 0.38% 1.41%
karin149239.00% (+0.46 pts) 40.00% (-2.74 pts) 5.00% (-3.70 pts) 13.00% (-3.28 pts) -- 1.00% (+0.76 pts) 2.00% (+0.51 pts)
Mr. Techno -- 12.00% (-9.29 pts) -- -- -- -- --
Qbanito39.00% (+0.46 pts) 37.00% (-0.74 pts) 12.00% (+0.96 pts) 9.00% (-0.61 pts) -- -- 2.00% (+0.51 pts)
emg117 -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Easily Offended Man -- -- -- -- -- -- --
New York Democrat25.00% (-8.87 pts) 29.00% (+2.04 pts) -- 17.00% (-5.94 pts) -- -- 3.00% (-0.16 pts)
None Entered16.00% (-14.87 pts) 19.00% (-4.63 pts) 8.00% (-1.70 pts) 5.00% (+0.83 pts) -- -- 1.00% (+0.99 pts)
CBlock94141.00% (+1.79 pts) 40.00% (-2.74 pts) 9.00% (-1.04 pts) 5.00% (+0.83 pts) -- 1.00% (+0.76 pts) 2.50% (+0.18 pts)
...42.00% (+2.46 pts) 43.00% (-4.74 pts) 10.00% (-0.37 pts) 4.00% (+0.17 pts) -- -- 1.00% (+0.99 pts)
Monsieur31.74% (-4.38 pts) 36.96% (-0.71 pts) 8.36% (-1.46 pts) 7.97% (+0.08 pts) -- -- 2.42% (+0.23 pts)
SirWalter39.00% (+0.46 pts) 33.00% (+1.93 pts) 15.00% (+1.07 pts) 11.00% (-1.94 pts) -- -- 2.00% (+0.51 pts)
SC-Conservative39.00% (+0.46 pts) 32.00% (+2.60 pts) 16.00% (+0.41 pts) 10.00% (-1.28 pts) -- 1.00% (+0.76 pts) 1.00% (+0.99 pts)
Cash On Hand 8/11 $2,348,125.00 8/11 $1,721,689.00 8/11 $1,493,725.00 8/11 $528,783.00 6/30 $8,828.00 8/11 $5,297.00 8/11 $184,946.00
MATCHUP POLLS (20 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg28.32%-- 31.32%-- 8.97%-- 5.46%-- 1.53%-- 2.14%-- 1.24%--
Insider Advantage 
08/27/04-08/29/04
32.00% -- 31.00% -- 9.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R) 
08/22/04-08/25/04
30.00% -- 32.00% -- 7.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
08/24/04-08/25/04
25.00% 11.0 29.00% 10.0 8.00% 3.0 6.00% 2.0 1.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 1.00% --
Research 2000 
08/23/04-08/25/04
31.00% -- 35.00% -- 12.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
08/23/04-08/24/04
33.00% -- 27.00% -- 12.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% --
Unknown (R) 
08/18/04-08/18/04
18.20% -- 34.60% -- 4.60% -- 5.20% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  NewsMax
R KYRepublican
  South Florida Sun-Sentinel
R John E. Sununu
R Michael "Mike" DeWine
R Larry E. Craig
  Tampa Bay Times
R Scott Ellis
R John Ostalkiewicz
R Gustavo A. Barreiro [L]
  Club for Growth
R Dennis K. Baxley [L]
R Rob Brodner
R Alan Keyes
R Roy Moore
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name William Billy Kogut  
PartyRepublican  
Website  
Certified Votes3,695 (0.32%)  
Margin-519,299 (-44.54%)  
Predict Avg.0.00%  
karin1492 --
Mr. Techno --
Qbanito --
emg117 --
Easily Offended Man --
New York Democrat --
None Entered --
CBlock941 --
... --
Monsieur --
SirWalter --
SC-Conservative --
Cash On Hand $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (20 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg2.14%--  
Insider Advantage 
08/27/04-08/29/04
0.00% --
Schroth & Associates (D) and The Polling Company (R) 
08/22/04-08/25/04
0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
08/24/04-08/25/04
0.00% 1.0
Research 2000 
08/23/04-08/25/04
0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
08/23/04-08/24/04
0.00% --
Unknown (R) 
08/18/04-08/18/04
0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

EVENTS
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VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 30, 2004 12:00am News Fla. Paper Withdraws Senate Endorsement  Article Ex-New Jerseyan 
Aug 29, 2004 12:00am Poll Martinez Surging  Article Qbanito 
Aug 29, 2004 12:00am News Martinez pulls plug on attack ad  Article Qbanito 
Aug 27, 2004 12:00am News Polls show Republican candidates for U.S. Senate race are neck and neck  Article Qbanito 
Aug 27, 2004 12:00am News Polls unclear on front-runner in Florida race  Article ArmyDem 
Aug 26, 2004 12:00am News Mack accuses Martinez of 'mean-spirited' attack  Article Qbanito 

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