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  FL US President - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > President
Parent RaceUS President - R Primary
OfficePresident
Type Primary Election
Filing Deadline 00, 2012 - 12:00am
Polls Open January 31, 2012 - 06:00am
Polls Close January 31, 2012 - 06:00pm
Term Start January 20, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2017 - 12:00pm
Turnout 12.74% Registered 8.90% Total Population
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last Modifiedbudgeteer February 29, 2012 02:25pm
Data SourcesFlorida Secretary of State
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameBarack Obama Votes4,282,074 (51.03%)
Term01/20/2009 - 01/20/2013 Margin236,450 (+2.82%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameBarack Obama Votes4,237,756 (50.01%)
Term01/20/2013 - 01/20/2017 Margin74,309 (+0.88%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFL US President 11/06/2012
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.3332996368 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/10/2010 01/31/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Mitt Romney 19 16 5 --
Rick Perry 1 ------
Newt Gingrich 1 2 --2
Leaning Call: Mitt Romney (82.50%)
Weighted Call: Mitt Romney (98.12%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/05/2010 01/30/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Gov. Mitt Romney Rep. Newt Gingrich Sen. Rick Santorum Rep. Ron Paul Gov. Rick Perry Ambassador Jon Huntsman Rep. Michele Bachmann
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Certified Votes776,159 (46.40%) 534,121 (31.93%) 223,249 (13.35%) 117,461 (7.02%) 6,775 (0.41%) 6,204 (0.37%) 3,967 (0.24%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -242,038 (-14.47%) -552,910 (-33.06%) -658,698 (-39.38%) -769,384 (-46.00%) -769,955 (-46.03%) -772,192 (-46.17%)
Predict Avg.37.29% 27.00% 11.86% 9.39% 4.42% 0.91% 1.93%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Bar
       
MATCHUP POLLS (60 from 17 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg39.23%-- 29.75%-- 10.62%-- 8.92%-- 2.00%-- -0.33%-- 1.67%--
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/28/12-01/30/12
39.00% -- 31.00% 1.0 15.00% 1.0 11.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
01/29/12-01/29/12
50.00% 16.0 28.00% 4.0 12.00% 3.0 11.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
01/29/12-01/29/12
36.00% 4.0 31.00% 1.0 12.00% 4.0 12.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/27/12-01/29/12
43.00% 5.0 29.00% -- 11.00% 1.0 11.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/27/12-01/29/12
41.00% 5.0 26.00% 1.0 12.00% 5.0 12.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/28/12-01/29/12
39.00% 1.0 32.00% -- 14.00% 1.0 11.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/28/12-01/28/12
44.00% -- 28.00% -- 12.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/27/12-01/28/12
43.00% 2.0 32.00% 2.0 11.00% 2.0 8.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/28/12-01/28/12
40.00% 7.0 32.00% 6.0 15.00% 2.0 9.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/24/12-01/26/12
38.00% 2.0 29.00% 5.0 12.00% 1.0 14.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Voter Survey Service (R) 
01/24/12-01/26/12
40.00% 6.0 31.00% 11.0 12.00% -- 9.00% -- 0.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
01/24/12-01/25/12
39.00% -- 32.00% -- 11.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
01/25/12-01/25/12
40.00% 14.4 32.00% 2.4 8.00% 2.7 9.00% 4.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/23/12-01/24/12
41.00% 1.0 34.00% 9.0 9.00% -- 7.00% 1.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% 5.0 0.00% --
Time-CNN 
01/22/12-01/24/12
36.00% 7.0 34.00% 16.0 11.00% 8.0 9.00% -- 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
01/23/12-01/23/12
34.00% -- 32.00% -- 9.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cherry Communications 
01/22/12-01/23/12
33.00% -- 33.00% -- 10.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/19/12-01/23/12
36.00% -- 34.00% 10.0 11.00% 5.0 10.00% -- 0.00% 5.0 0.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/22/12-01/23/12
33.00% 8.0 38.00% 12.0 13.00% 2.0 10.00% -- 0.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
01/22/12-01/22/12
25.60% 8.2 34.40% 7.0 10.70% 10.2 13.10% 10.1 0.00% 6.8 0.00% -- 0.00% 3.0
Rasmussen Reports 
01/22/12-01/22/12
32.00% 9.0 41.00% 22.0 11.00% 4.0 8.00% 1.0 0.00% 2.0 0.00% 5.0 0.00% --
Time-CNN 
01/13/12-01/17/12
43.00% 18.0 18.00% 30.0 19.00% 18.0 9.00% 4.0 2.00% 1.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% 3.0
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/14/12-01/16/12
41.00% 24.0 26.00% 21.0 11.00% 10.0 10.00% 5.0 4.00% 2.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% 4.0
American Research Group 
01/13/12-01/15/12
42.00% 23.0 25.00% 25.0 9.00% 8.0 8.00% 6.0 3.00% 1.0 5.00% 2.0 0.00% 1.0
Voter Survey Service (R) 
01/11/12-01/14/12
46.00% -- 20.00% -- 12.00% -- 9.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/11/12-01/11/12
41.00% -- 19.00% -- 15.00% -- 9.00% -- 2.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/08/12-01/08/12
36.00% 13.0 25.00% 20.0 17.00% 15.0 7.00% 3.0 0.00% 5.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% 6.0
Quinnipiac University 
01/04/12-01/08/12
36.00% 14.0 24.00% 11.0 16.00% 14.0 10.00% 2.0 5.00% 1.0 2.00% -- 0.00% 4.0
TelOpinion Research (R) 
12/15/11-12/19/11
27.00% -- 26.00% -- 1.00% -- 5.00% -- 4.00% -- 1.00% -- 4.00% --
Marist Institute 
12/08/11-12/10/11
29.00% 2.0 44.00% 38.0 2.00% 1.0 8.00% 2.0 4.00% 4.0 3.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0
Survey USA 
12/05/11-12/06/11
23.00% 4.0 45.00% 39.0 2.00% -- 4.00% 1.0 5.00% 8.0 3.00% -- 6.00% 1.0
Time-CNN 
11/29/11-12/06/11
25.00% 5.0 48.00% 39.0 1.00% -- 5.00% 1.0 3.00% 6.0 3.00% 2.0 3.00% 1.0
Quinnipiac University 
11/28/11-12/05/11
22.00% 1.0 35.00% 18.0 2.00% 1.0 8.00% 5.0 4.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 4.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
11/28/11-11/30/11
17.00% 13.0 47.00% 37.0 1.00% 1.0 5.00% 3.0 2.00% 22.0 3.00% -- 4.00% 2.0
American Research Group 
11/27/11-11/30/11
19.00% 9.0 50.00% 39.0 1.00% -- 2.00% 2.0 2.00% 3.0 3.00% 2.0 1.00% 2.0
Insider Advantage 
11/29/11-11/29/11
17.40% 15.2 41.40% 29.7 0.50% -- 3.00% 0.3 6.80% 3.9 0.00% 0.2 3.00% 1.4
Quinnipiac University 
10/31/11-11/07/11
21.00% 1.0 17.00% 10.0 1.00% 1.0 3.00% 3.0 5.00% 23.0 1.00% 1.0 4.00% 1.0
Suffolk University 
10/26/11-10/30/11
25.00% -- 11.00% -- 1.00% -- 5.00% -- 9.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% --
Time-CNN 
10/20/11-10/25/11
30.00% -- 9.00% -- 1.00% -- 6.00% -- 9.00% -- 1.00% -- 4.00% --
Insider Advantage 
10/16/11-10/16/11
32.60% 12.8 11.70% 2.7 0.00% 1.5 2.70% 2.0 2.90% 25.8 0.20% 1.1 1.60% 6.2
Marist Institute 
10/10/11-10/12/11
31.00% -- 6.00% -- 1.00% -- 6.00% -- 8.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% --
American Research Group 
10/07/11-10/12/11
28.00% 13.0 11.00% 8.0 1.00% -- 4.00% -- 5.00% 11.0 1.00% -- 3.00% 12.0
War Room Logistics (WRL) 
09/30/11-09/30/11
28.20% 3.2 9.80% 1.1 0.50% 0.4 3.40% 4.1 9.10% 15.6 1.80% 0.6 3.40% 1.8
Survey USA 
09/24/11-09/27/11
27.00% -- 6.00% -- 2.00% -- 5.00% -- 13.00% -- 3.00% -- 5.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
09/22/11-09/25/11
30.00% 3.0 10.00% 2.0 2.00% -- 8.00% 1.0 24.00% -- 3.00% 1.0 6.00% 11.0
War Room Logistics (WRL) 
09/20/11-09/20/11
25.00% -- 8.70% -- 0.90% -- 7.50% -- 24.70% -- 2.40% -- 5.20% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/14/11-09/19/11
22.00% 1.0 8.00% 4.0 2.00% 1.0 6.00% 3.0 31.00% 18.0 2.00% 1.0 7.00% 1.0
Quinnipiac University 
09/14/11-09/19/11
22.00% 1.0 7.00% 3.0 2.00% 1.0 6.00% 3.0 28.00% 15.0 2.00% 1.0 5.00% 1.0
Insider Advantage 
09/13/11-09/13/11
19.80% -- 9.00% -- 1.50% -- 4.70% -- 28.70% -- 1.30% -- 7.80% --
Mason-Dixon 
08/18/11-08/22/11
28.00% -- 5.00% -- 2.00% -- 4.00% -- 21.00% -- 0.00% -- 13.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
07/27/11-08/02/11
24.00% -- 5.00% -- 1.00% -- 10.00% -- 14.00% -- 1.00% -- 7.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
07/27/11-08/02/11
23.00% -- 4.00% -- 1.00% -- 9.00% -- 13.00% -- 1.00% -- 6.00% --
American Research Group 
07/18/11-07/24/11
15.00% -- 3.00% -- 1.00% -- 4.00% -- 16.00% -- 1.00% -- 15.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
06/16/11-06/19/11
27.00% 2.0 8.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 7.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 17.00% 5.0
Public Policy Polling (D) 
06/16/11-06/19/11
29.00% 8.0 10.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 22.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
12/17/10-12/20/10
21.00% 7.0 18.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/30/10-10/31/10
28.00% 3.0 15.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
07/16/10-07/18/10
31.00% 21.0 23.00% -- 0.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
03/11/10-03/11/10
29.00% -- 13.00% -- 0.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
03/05/10-03/08/10
52.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R E. Clay Shaw, Jr. [L]
  Orlando Sentinel
R Sandra "Sandy" Adams [L]
R John L. Mica [L]
R Luis E. Rojas [L]
R Steven Abrams [L]
R Xavier Suarez [L]
R Carlos Trujillo [L]
  Latin Builders Association
R Scott Plakon [L]
D Jim Naugle [L]
R Carlos Lopez-Cantera [L]
R R. Dean Cannon, Jr. [L]
R Jeffrey P. "Jeff" Brandes [L]
R Don Gaetz [L]
R Rene Garcia [L]
R Paula Dockery [L]
R Ellyn Setnor Bogdanoff [L]
N James "Jim" Cason [L]
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Herman Cain Gov. Gary Johnson  
PartyRepublican Republican  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Certified Votes3,503 (0.21%) 1,195 (0.07%)  
Margin-772,656 (-46.19%) -774,964 (-46.33%)  
Predict Avg.0.14% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Bar
  
MATCHUP POLLS (60 from 17 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- -1.02%--  
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/28/12-01/30/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
01/29/12-01/29/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
01/29/12-01/29/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/27/12-01/29/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/27/12-01/29/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/28/12-01/29/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/28/12-01/28/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/27/12-01/28/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/28/12-01/28/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/24/12-01/26/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Voter Survey Service (R) 
01/24/12-01/26/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Monmouth University 
01/24/12-01/25/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
01/25/12-01/25/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/23/12-01/24/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Time-CNN 
01/22/12-01/24/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
01/23/12-01/23/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Cherry Communications 
01/22/12-01/23/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/19/12-01/23/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/22/12-01/23/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
01/22/12-01/22/12
0.00% 12.7 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/22/12-01/22/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Time-CNN 
01/13/12-01/17/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/14/12-01/16/12
0.00% 15.0 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/13/12-01/15/12
0.00% 10.0 0.00% --
Voter Survey Service (R) 
01/11/12-01/14/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
01/11/12-01/11/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/08/12-01/08/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
01/04/12-01/08/12
0.00% 8.0 0.00% --
TelOpinion Research (R) 
12/15/11-12/19/11
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
12/08/11-12/10/11
0.00% 32.0 0.00% --
Survey USA 
12/05/11-12/06/11
0.00% 25.0 0.00% --
Time-CNN 
11/29/11-12/06/11
0.00% 18.0 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
11/28/11-12/05/11
8.00% 19.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
11/28/11-11/30/11
15.00% 8.0 0.00% 1.0
American Research Group 
11/27/11-11/30/11
10.00% 24.0 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
11/29/11-11/29/11
12.70% 17.5 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/31/11-11/07/11
27.00% 20.0 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
10/26/11-10/30/11
24.00% -- 1.00% --
Time-CNN 
10/20/11-10/25/11
18.00% -- 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
10/16/11-10/16/11
30.20% 24.0 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/10/11-10/12/11
32.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
10/07/11-10/12/11
34.00% 23.0 0.00% --
War Room Logistics (WRL) 
09/30/11-09/30/11
23.70% 18.8 0.00% --
Survey USA 
09/24/11-09/27/11
25.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
09/22/11-09/25/11
7.00% 3.0 1.00% --
War Room Logistics (WRL) 
09/20/11-09/20/11
4.90% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/14/11-09/19/11
8.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/14/11-09/19/11
7.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Insider Advantage 
09/13/11-09/13/11
6.20% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
08/18/11-08/22/11
7.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
07/27/11-08/02/11
9.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
07/27/11-08/02/11
8.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
07/18/11-07/24/11
11.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
06/16/11-06/19/11
10.00% 4.0 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
06/16/11-06/19/11
14.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
12/17/10-12/20/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/30/10-10/31/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
07/16/10-07/18/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
03/11/10-03/11/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
03/05/10-03/08/10
0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Larry Ahern [L]
R Scott Plakon [L]
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Feb 01, 2012 10:00pm General Gingrich to challenge Florida’s “winner take all” rule, demand proportional award of delegates  Article Miro 
Jan 26, 2012 10:25am Speech Newt Gingrich: Mitt Romney 'Is Counting On Us Not Having YouTube'   Article RP 
Jan 10, 2012 10:15am General RPOF: Florida absentee ballot requests now more than Iowa, NH vote totals   Article Homegrown Democrat 
Sep 30, 2011 07:00pm News Rogue state: Florida crashes 2012 calendar  Article Jason 
Mar 31, 2011 08:00pm General Iowa GOP Chair Matt Strawn Calls for the RNC 2012 Convention to be Moved from Florida  Article COSDem 
Feb 20, 2011 01:55pm General Fla. threatens to shred 2012 calendar  Article COSDem 

DISCUSSION