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  UK Parliament - Warley
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United Kingdom > England > West Midlands > West Midlands > Warley
OfficeParliament
HonorificMember of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type General Election
Filing Deadline April 20, 2010 - 06:00pm Central
Polls Open May 06, 2010 - 01:00am Central
Polls Close May 06, 2010 - 04:00pm Central
Term Start May 17, 2010 - 12:00pm
Term End May 17, 2015 - 12:00pm
ContributorRalphie
Last ModifiedRalphie May 09, 2010 11:48am
Data Sources[Link]
Description BBC Profile:
Warley replaced the old Warley East seat in 1997. It has been held since then by Labours John Spellar, who recorded a 10,147-vote majority at the 2005 general election.

Boundary changes see Old Warley, St Pauls, Langley and Smethwick wards consolidated in this seat. The acquisition of all of St Pauls and Langley has extended Warley fairly substantially in its north-western corner. Meanwhile, chunks of Oldbury went to West Bromwich West and Blackheath to Halesowen and Rowley Regis. To find out what might have happened had this boundary change been in force at the last election, see a notional - or estimated - result below.

Warley is just outside the western border of Birmingham. The area now has a multi-racial population. The seat is very similar to the constituencies it borders within the city. It is an economically deprived area.

There are significant numbers of ethnic communities, a large number of whom are from the Indian sub-continent.

Rallings & Thrasher Notional:
Lab 19,232 (54.91%)
C 8,026 (22.91%)
LD 4,635 (13.23%)
Others 2,398 (6.85%)
UKIP 735 (2.10%)
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyLabour Won05/05/2005
NameJohn Spellar Votes17,462 (54.42%)
Term05/17/2005 - 05/17/2010 Margin10,147 (+31.62%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyLabour Won05/07/2015
NameJohn Spellar Votes22,012 (58.19%)
Term05/08/2015 - 06/08/2017 Margin14,702 (+38.86%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/19/2010 05/06/2010
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
John Spellar 1 1 ----
Leaning Call: John Spellar (100.00%)
Weighted Call: John Spellar (100.00%)

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) MP John Spellar Jas Parmar Edward Keating Nigel Harvey  
PartyLabour Conservative Liberal Democrats UK Independence  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 20,240 (52.89%) 9,484 (24.78%) 5,929 (15.49%) 2,617 (6.84%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -10,756 (-28.11%) -14,311 (-37.39%) -17,623 (-46.05%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 00/00/2010 00/00/2009 00/00/2010 00/00/2010  
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MATCHUP POLLS (0 from 0 pollsters)
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