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  AZ US President - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > President
Parent RaceUS President - D Primaries
OfficePresident
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline December 24, 2003 - 06:00pm
Polls Open February 03, 2004 - 07:00am
Polls Close February 03, 2004 - 08:00pm
Term Start January 20, 2005 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2009 - 12:00pm
Turnout 30.32% Registered 4.66% Total Population
ContributorJoshua L.
Last ModifiedAndy February 07, 2008 11:30am
Data Sources[Link]
Description Results Link: [Link]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/07/2000
NameGeorge W. Bush Votes781,652 (51.02%)
Term01/20/2001 - 01/20/2005 Margin96,311 (+6.29%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/02/2004
NameGeorge W. Bush Votes1,104,294 (54.87%)
Term01/20/2005 - 01/20/2009 Margin210,770 (+10.47%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceAZ US President 11/02/2004
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
02/13/2003 02/03/2004
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
John Kerry 10 11 13 1
Howard Dean 4 --1 --
Joe Lieberman 2 ------
John Edwards 2 ------
Wesley K. Clark 1 ------
Leaning Call: John Kerry (86.21%)
Weighted Call: John Kerry (99.98%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
07/14/2003 02/01/2004

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. John Kerry Supreme Allied Commander Wesley K. Clark Gov. Howard Dean Sen. John Edwards Sen. Joe Lieberman Rep. Dennis Kucinich Al Sharpton
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Uncertified Votes101,809 (42.61%) 63,256 (26.47%) 33,555 (14.04%) 16,596 (6.95%) 15,906 (6.66%) 3,896 (1.63%) 1,177 (0.49%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -38,553 (-16.13%) -68,254 (-28.57%) -85,213 (-35.66%) -85,903 (-35.95%) -97,913 (-40.98%) -100,632 (-42.12%)
Predict Avg.28.36% 25.00% 15.86% 12.86% 10.71% 1.07% 0.21%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (19 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg27.17%-- 21.98%-- 13.98%-- 5.86%-- 7.04%-- 0.58%-- 0.59%--
Survey USA 
01/30/04-02/01/04		 34.00% 29.0 28.00% 11.0 18.00% 14.0 7.00% -- 7.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/30/04-02/01/04		 40.00% 4.0 27.00% 3.0 13.00% 1.0 6.00% 2.0 6.00% -- 1.00% 2.0 0.00% 0.1
Los Angeles Times 
01/31/04-02/01/04		 29.00% -- 22.00% -- 13.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/29/04-01/31/04		 36.00% -- 24.00% 4.0 14.00% 2.0 4.00% 2.0 6.00% 1.0 3.00% -- 0.10% 0.1
American Research Group 
01/30/04-01/31/04		 32.00% -- 21.00% -- 10.00% -- 11.00% -- 9.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/28/04-01/30/04		 36.00% 2.0 20.00% 3.0 12.00% -- 6.00% -- 7.00% 1.0 3.00% 1.0 0.00% 1.0
Arizona Republic 
01/28/04-01/29/04		 27.00% -- 18.00% -- 13.00% -- 8.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/27/04-01/29/04		 38.00% -- 17.00% -- 12.00% -- 6.00% -- 6.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% --
Survey USA 
01/24/04-01/26/04		 30.00% -- 24.00% -- 23.00% -- 7.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/23/04-01/25/04		 24.00% 18.0 21.00% 6.0 10.00% 16.0 15.00% 14.0 7.00% 2.0 0.00% 1.0 0.00% --
Arizona Republic 
01/21/04-01/22/04		 19.00% -- 17.00% -- 14.00% -- 9.00% -- 6.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
01/06/04-01/12/04		 3.00% -- 26.00% -- 29.00% -- 3.00% -- 6.00% -- 1.00% -- 2.00% --
Survey USA 
01/09/04-01/11/04		 5.00% 2.0 39.00% 10.0 32.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 8.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona Republic 
12/26/03-12/29/03		 3.00% -- 19.00% -- 22.00% -- 4.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
12/20/03-12/23/03		 6.00% -- 15.00% -- 26.00% -- 1.00% -- 9.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
12/13/03-12/15/03		 7.00% -- 29.00% -- 31.00% -- 0.00% -- 10.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Northern Arizona University 
11/14/03-12/09/03		 8.00% -- 12.00% -- 22.00% -- 0.00% -- 9.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
10/09/03-10/16/03		 9.00% 3.0 14.00% -- 19.00% 11.0 1.00% -- 9.00% 10.0 0.00% 1.0 2.00% 2.0
Behavior Research Center 
07/14/03-07/18/03		 12.00% -- 0.00% -- 8.00% -- 1.00% -- 19.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Amanda Aguirre [L]
D Bill Brotherton [L]
D Ernest Bustamante [L]
D Ken Clark [L]
D Paul Johnson
D Meg Burton Cahill [L]
D Jorge Luis Garcia [L]
D Sandra Kennedy [L]
D Phil Lopes [L]
D Leah Landrum Taylor [L]
D Wally Straughn [L]
D Richard Miranda [L]
D John A. Loredo [L]
R Charyl Chase [L]
D David T. Bradley [L]
D Manuel V. "Manny" Alvarez [L]
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rep. Richard A. Gephardt Ambassador Carol Moseley Braun Lyndon LaRouche Dianne Barker William J. "Bill" Wyatt Keith Brand Fern Penna
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Uncertified Votes755 (0.32%) 325 (0.14%) 295 (0.12%) 257 (0.11%) 233 (0.10%) 225 (0.09%) 208 (0.09%)
Margin-101,054 (-42.29%) -101,484 (-42.47%) -101,514 (-42.48%) -101,552 (-42.50%) -101,576 (-42.51%) -101,584 (-42.51%) -101,601 (-42.52%)
Predict Avg.5.43% 0.43% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (19 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg3.46%-- 0.19%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Survey USA 
01/30/04-02/01/04		 0.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/30/04-02/01/04		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Los Angeles Times 
01/31/04-02/01/04		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/29/04-01/31/04		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/30/04-01/31/04		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/28/04-01/30/04		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona Republic 
01/28/04-01/29/04		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Zogby International 
01/27/04-01/29/04		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/24/04-01/26/04		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
01/23/04-01/25/04		 0.00% 7.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona Republic 
01/21/04-01/22/04		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
01/06/04-01/12/04		 4.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
01/09/04-01/11/04		 4.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Arizona Republic 
12/26/03-12/29/03		 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
12/20/03-12/23/03		 7.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
12/13/03-12/15/03		 9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Northern Arizona University 
11/14/03-12/09/03		 7.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
10/09/03-10/16/03		 5.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Behavior Research Center 
07/14/03-07/18/03		 5.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Gabrielle Giffords [L]
D Edward Lopez Pastor [L]
VIEW 4 MORE CANDIDATES

EVENTS
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VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jan 30, 2004 12:00am Poll Kerry has solid lead in 'Republic' poll  Article ArmyDem 
Jan 13, 2004 12:00am News Clark beats Dean in Arizona poll  Article New York Democrat 
Oct 01, 2003 12:00am Poll Poll shows Arizona Hispanics favor Wesley Clark among Democrats for president  Article Gaear Grimsrud 
Jun 11, 2003 12:00am Endorsement Lieberman's Arizona Support Fraying  Article RP 

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