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  WI US President - D Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Wisconsin > President
Parent RaceUS President - D Primaries
OfficePresident
TypeDemocratic Primary Election
Filing Deadline January 01, 2004 - 12:00pm
Polls Open February 17, 2004 - 07:00am
Polls Close February 17, 2004 - 08:00pm
Term Start January 20, 2005 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2009 - 12:00pm
Turnout 15.44% Total Population
ContributorJoshua L.
Last ModifiedCrimson November 27, 2011 03:52pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2000
NameAl Gore Votes1,242,987 (47.83%)
Term01/20/2001 - 01/20/2005 Margin5,708 (+0.22%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/02/2004
NameJohn Kerry Votes1,489,504 (49.70%)
Term01/20/2005 - 01/20/2009 Margin11,384 (+0.38%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceWI US President 11/02/2004
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 10.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
07/07/2003 02/17/2004
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Howard Dean 3 ------
John Kerry --2 12 29
Wesley K. Clark 1 ------
Leaning Call: John Kerry (97.50%)
Weighted Call: John Kerry (99.27%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
09/21/2003 02/15/2004

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. John Kerry Sen. John Edwards Gov. Howard Dean Rep. Dennis Kucinich Al Sharpton Supreme Allied Commander Wesley K. Clark Sen. Joe Lieberman
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Certified Votes328,358 (39.64%) 284,163 (34.30%) 150,845 (18.21%) 27,353 (3.30%) 14,701 (1.78%) 12,713 (1.54%) 3,929 (0.47%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -44,195 (-5.34%) -177,513 (-21.43%) -301,005 (-36.34%) -313,657 (-37.86%) -315,645 (-38.10%) -324,429 (-39.17%)
Predict Avg.53.00% 0.00% 25.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (8 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg43.81%-- 12.25%-- 12.26%-- 0.38%-- 0.03%-- 8.76%-- 0.00%--
Zogby International 
02/13/04-02/15/04
47.00% -- 20.00% -- 23.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
02/11/04-02/12/04
53.00% 12.0 16.00% 6.0 11.00% 2.0 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% 15.0 0.00% --
Milwaukee Journal Sentinel 
02/04/04-02/07/04
45.00% -- 9.00% -- 12.00% -- 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 13.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
02/04/04-02/06/04
41.00% -- 10.00% -- 9.00% -- 2.00% -- 2.00% -- 15.00% -- 0.00% --
University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll) 
01/27/04-02/03/04
35.00% -- 9.00% -- 8.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 11.00% -- 0.00% --
WisPolitics.com 
12/13/03-12/16/03
6.00% 1.0 2.00% 1.0 33.00% 20.0 3.00% 2.0 0.00% 1.0 11.00% 7.0 12.00% 2.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Mark Meyer [L]
D Homegrown Democrat
D Mike Tate [L]
D Andy
D Ed Garvey
D Gaylord A. Nelson
D Barbara C. Lawton
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Lyndon LaRouche Ambassador Carol Moseley Braun Rep. Richard A. Gephardt Uncommitted Scattering  
PartyDemocratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Certified Votes1,637 (0.20%) 1,590 (0.19%) 1,263 (0.15%) 1,146 (0.14%) 666 (0.08%)  
Margin-326,721 (-39.44%) -326,768 (-39.45%) -327,095 (-39.49%) -327,212 (-39.50%) -327,692 (-39.56%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (8 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Zogby International 
02/13/04-02/15/04
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
02/11/04-02/12/04
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Milwaukee Journal Sentinel 
02/04/04-02/07/04
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
02/04/04-02/06/04
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll) 
01/27/04-02/03/04
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
WisPolitics.com 
12/13/03-12/16/03
0.00% -- 1.00% 2.0 9.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D David R. Obey
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Feb 17, 2004 12:00am News GOP Turnout Heavy in Wis. Democratic Vote  Article Eddie 
Feb 15, 2004 12:00am News Top aides say Dean prepared to stand down against Kerry  Article Eddie 
Feb 12, 2004 12:00am News Wesley Clark to endorse Democratic front-runner John Kerry  Article ArmyDem 
Jan 10, 2004 12:00am Endorsement Wisconsin Democratic Icon Gaylord Nelson Endorses Clark  Article Stephen Yellin 
Jun 14, 2003 12:00am News Dean Wins [WI] Straw Poll  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
63
Previous Messages]
 
D:780midnightlabrat ( 0.0000 points)
Thu, January 1, 2004 10:42:54 AM UTC0:00
I think Dean has a strong chance of winning the primary in Wisconsin. I think he'd do especially well among Madison-area Democrats. Milwaukee, another Dem stronghold, might be more split, but I think Dean would get enough to win. The current polls seem to show Dean with a respectable lead for a 9-way race.

 
D:780midnightlabrat ( 0.0000 points)
Thu, January 1, 2004 10:43:25 AM UTC0:00
For the record, I'm originally from Wisconsin, in case anyone's wondering why some Alabama hick is looking at this. ;-)

 
I:490User 490 ( 1224.6385 points)
Fri, February 6, 2004 11:12:45 PM UTC0:00
any significant endorsements from WI democrats yet?

 
I:13User 13 ( 1518.3322 points)
Fri, February 6, 2004 11:23:14 PM UTC0:00
Well, as a must win this isn't looking too good for Dean.

 
R:253Sherlock Holmes (a retired OC public servant collecting his pension) ( 195.4841 points)
Fri, February 6, 2004 11:34:06 PM UTC0:00
That means Dean will be out of the race by Tuesday.

I wonder what he will do next. Probably practice medicine. However, he will be awfully bitter.

I would support him if he ran for the Senate in 2006. :)

 
I:490User 490 ( 1224.6385 points)
Fri, February 6, 2004 11:49:27 PM UTC0:00
Dean and his flacks are now slightly backing off the do-or-die status of WI. I wonder which next primary state will have the honor being a "brilliant ploy".

 
D:1RP ( 3311.3784 points)
Sat, February 7, 2004 01:32:56 AM UTC0:00
"That means Dean will be out of the race by Tuesday." - Sherlock

The date it a week after the upcoming Tuesday, not the upcoming one.

I suspect Dean will get out if he doesn't place second in any state up to this point. He'll be out for good on Super Tuesday.

 
I:13User 13 ( 1518.3322 points)
Tue, February 10, 2004 10:07:20 PM UTC0:00
Dean still has alot of work to do here. The new Milwaukee Journal Sentinel poll seems to indicate that his focus on Wisconsin is not paying off.

 
D:479Brandonius Maximus ( 1558.3782 points)
Tue, February 10, 2004 10:10:37 PM UTC0:00
Dean needs to get real already. If he loses Wisconsin--which he will--what else is he going to do??? You can only lose and skip states for so long.....

 
R:373... ( 421.7247 points)
Tue, February 10, 2004 10:15:42 PM UTC0:00
His supporters can take heart from the fact that their candidate cannot take a hint. Dean is driven by probably one or the other- egotism or a desire for vindication.

 
D:479Brandonius Maximus ( 1558.3782 points)
Tue, February 10, 2004 10:16:19 PM UTC0:00
Well....I think he's just having a hard time accepting the fact that he's not going to be the nominee, after weeks and weeks of being convered by the press and lauded as "the frontrunner". I admire the guy's passion, and I know it sucks to lose, but sooner or later he needs to face the music and bow out gracefully.

 
R:373... ( 421.7247 points)
Tue, February 10, 2004 10:24:16 PM UTC0:00
Either way, his intransigence won't be the top news story tonight. It looks like we're headed for another Kerry swamp. I went to dailyKos and saw the exit poll numbers, and in both states, its not even close.

 
D:479Brandonius Maximus ( 1558.3782 points)
Tue, February 10, 2004 10:42:57 PM UTC0:00
I suspected that it wouldn't be. What are the exits saying about second place in both states?

 
R:373... ( 421.7247 points)
Tue, February 10, 2004 10:45:23 PM UTC0:00
Both states, Edwards comes in somewhere in the 20's, while Clark is far behind. Very poor showings for Clark.

 
D:479Brandonius Maximus ( 1558.3782 points)
Tue, February 10, 2004 10:48:11 PM UTC0:00
Ahhh...nevermind. Just checked it myself. Edwards in second both places....running about 10 points ahead of Clark. If this holds up, it may be time for the general to bow out.

 
D:5Steve ( 56.3071 points)
Wed, February 11, 2004 01:20:06 AM UTC0:00
Clark has cancelled a fundraiser for tomorrow. Looks like he's getting out tonight.

 
D:239ArmyDem ( 5910.5693 points)
Fri, February 13, 2004 05:35:47 AM UTC0:00
Hmmm. It appears safe to deduce that Clark's supporters went for Kerry in the largest quantity. Undecideds dropped to 16%.

 
D:5Steve ( 56.3071 points)
Fri, February 13, 2004 05:36:03 AM UTC0:00
Wow. If Edwards (or even Dean...yeah I know) can't break into the 30's and at least make the race interesting it's time for him to get out. I expect the race to close, but 3 to 1 is very impressive for Kerry.

fav/unfav
Kerry 65/19
Edwards 29/16
Dean 19/43
Kucinich 8/36
Sharpton 5/52

Look at the numbers at the bottom three, they're absolutely pathetic. I suppose the only good news for Edwards is that he has some growth potential, but he better get moving fast.

 
Un:352Ralphie (12176.8838 points)
Fri, February 13, 2004 06:26:33 AM UTC0:00
Holy crap, those are just Democrats?

 
Un:352Ralphie (12176.8838 points)
Fri, February 13, 2004 06:28:20 AM UTC0:00
Poor CA Pol Junkie is going to lose a lot of points on this one...

Oh, and Kal El, you have safe Gephardt here, just thought you'd like to know before you go the route of CA Pol Junkie.

 
D:410Joshua L. ( 2582.3230 points)
Fri, February 13, 2004 11:40:43 PM UTC0:00
KerryDem and Pimp - check your prediction.

 
UDP:195U Ole Polecat ( 1402.5566 points)
Sun, February 15, 2004 04:34:00 PM UTC0:00
"Oh, and Kal El, you have safe Gephardt here, just thought you'd like to know before you go the route of CA Pol Junkie." -Rex Grossman

Take a look at Kal El's predictions sometimes. He/She intentionally picks losers for some reason. My best example offhand in MD District 4 - D Primary, he/she has George McDermott safe over Rep. Wynn.


 
R:777Chuckles6713 ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, February 16, 2004 09:45:02 PM UTC0:00
I am an avid supporter of Dean. I really think he can get his act together and start to win. He has made bad decisions by not running a state-by-state campaign like John Kerry. However, I still wish him luck.

 
D:5Steve ( 56.3071 points)
Tue, February 17, 2004 10:43:05 PM UTC0:00
Exit polls from Wisconsin.

Kerry 41
Edwards 32
Dean 15

 
R:373... ( 421.7247 points)
Tue, February 17, 2004 10:49:00 PM UTC0:00
Uh-oh. Looks like we're not going to see a blowout tonight.