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  IA US President - R Caucus
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Iowa > President
Parent RaceUS President - R Primaries
OfficePresident
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline 00, 2011 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open January 03, 2012 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Close January 03, 2012 - 07:15pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2017 - 12:00pm
Turnout 21.02% Registered 3.99% Total Population
ContributorJason
Last ModifiedRBH February 02, 2016 04:24am
Data Sources[Link]
[Link]
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[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameBarack Obama Votes828,940 (53.93%)
Term01/20/2009 - 01/20/2013 Margin146,561 (+9.53%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameBarack Obama Votes822,544 (51.99%)
Term01/20/2013 - 01/20/2017 Margin91,927 (+5.81%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceIA US President 11/06/2012
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 9.5000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/31/2010 01/03/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Mitt Romney 30 ------
Newt Gingrich 1 ------
Ron Paul 9 1 2 --
Rick Santorum 10 1 ----
Leaning Call: Mitt Romney (50.00%)
Weighted Call: Rick Santorum (-676.34%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/02/2010 01/01/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Sen. Rick Santorum Gov. Mitt Romney Rep. Ron Paul Rep. Newt Gingrich Gov. Rick Perry Rep. Michele Bachmann Ambassador Jon Huntsman
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes29,839 (24.57%) 29,805 (24.54%) 26,036 (21.44%) 16,163 (13.31%) 12,557 (10.34%) 6,046 (4.98%) 739 (0.61%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -34 (-0.03%) -3,803 (-3.13%) -13,676 (-11.26%) -17,282 (-14.23%) -23,793 (-19.59%) -29,100 (-23.96%)
Predict Avg.14.07% 21.72% 22.14% 13.19% 9.47% 8.86% 1.93%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2011 00/00/2011 00/00/2011 00/00/2011 00/00/2011 00/00/2011 00/00/2011
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (65 from 22 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg13.05%-- 21.08%-- 19.32%-- 17.07%-- 10.23%-- 7.21%-- 1.74%--
Insider Advantage 
01/01/12-01/01/12
18.00% 4.6 22.70% 5.5 22.40% 5.1 16.10% 0.6 9.60% 0.9 5.80% 6.0 1.80% 1.0
American Research Group 
12/29/11-01/01/12
16.00% 5.0 22.00% -- 17.00% 1.0 15.00% 2.0 9.00% -- 8.00% -- 4.00% 2.0
Public Policy Polling (D) 
12/31/11-01/01/12
18.00% 8.0 19.00% 1.0 20.00% 4.0 14.00% 1.0 10.00% -- 8.00% 3.0 4.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
12/27/11-12/30/11
15.00% 9.0 24.00% 8.0 22.00% 4.0 12.00% 13.0 11.00% 5.0 7.00% 1.0 0.00% 2.0
We Ask America 
12/29/11-12/29/11
17.00% -- 24.00% -- 14.00% -- 13.00% -- 10.00% -- 12.00% -- 4.00% --
Marist Institute 
12/28/11-12/29/11
15.00% -- 23.00% -- 21.00% -- 13.00% -- 14.00% -- 6.00% -- 2.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (W) No Preference (W) Herman Cain (W) Gov. Sarah Palin Gov. Charles E. "Buddy" Roemer III Fred Karger Gov. Gary Johnson (W) Donald Trump
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes147 (0.12%) 45 (0.04%) 23 (0.02%) 17 (0.01%) 10 (0.01%) 8 (0.01%) 5 (0.00%)
Margin-29,692 (-24.45%) -29,794 (-24.53%) -29,816 (-24.55%) -29,822 (-24.55%) -29,829 (-24.56%) -29,831 (-24.56%) -29,834 (-24.56%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 1.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2011 00/00/2011 -- 00/00/2011 -- -- --
MATCHUP POLLS (65 from 22 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 2.35%-- 0.00%-- 0.83%-- 0.00%-- -1.09%-- 0.00%--
Insider Advantage 
01/01/12-01/01/12
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
American Research Group 
12/29/11-01/01/12
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
12/31/11-01/01/12
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
12/27/11-12/30/11
0.00% -- 0.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
12/29/11-12/29/11
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
12/28/11-12/29/11
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 13 MORE CANDIDATES


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
01/01/2012 Ron Paul Web Only Ad Mixed eng "Fake Mitt Romney" Endorses Ron Paul before Iowa Caucus   00:12:09 Homegrown Democrat 
12/28/2011 TVAd Issue eng Ron Paul: Wrong On Marriage   00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
12/27/2011 Radio Ad Mixed eng Vote Rogue  00:00:30 Homegrown Democrat 
12/23/2011 Web Only Ad Issue eng Sarah Palin's Iowa Earthquake Comm#2 - FINAL REPLACEMENT  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
12/15/2011 Web Only Ad Attack eng Sarah Palin's Iowa Earthquake - Commercial #3 - NPR (Newt Paul Romney)  00:00:31 Homegrown Democrat 
12/06/2011 Web Only Ad Issue eng Sarah Palin's Iowa Earthquake - Commercial #1  00:00:00 Homegrown Democrat 
11/22/2011 Sarah Palin TVAd Issue eng The Challenge  00:01:00 Homegrown Democrat 
07/06/2011 Michele Bachmann TVAd Biography eng Waterloo  00:00:00 Jason 
11/22/2010 Fred Karger TVAd Biography eng Independence Day  00:01:34 Homegrown Democrat 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 16, 2012 09:00pm News Ron Paul backers triumphant at Iowa GOP convention  Article Miro 
May 05, 2012 11:55am Analysis Ron Paul backers dominate Iowa GOP nominees for national convention  Article Craverguy 
Mar 15, 2012 07:00pm General Rick Santorum, Ron Paul On Track To Get Most Of Iowa's Delegates  Article Miro 
Jan 14, 2012 01:00pm News Rick Santorum: I might win Iowa caucuses recount  Article ScottĀ³ 
Jan 05, 2012 08:00pm General Iowa Caucus Results Called Into Question  Article COSDem 
Jan 04, 2012 03:00pm Amusing Buddy Roemer's Self-Deprecating Tweets During 2012 Iowa Caucus  Article Thomas Walker 

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