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  IA US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Iowa > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2014 - 12:00pm
Polls Open November 04, 2014 - 07:00am
Polls Close November 04, 2014 - 09:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2015 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 29.45% Registered 37.08% Total Population
ContributorAndy
Last ModifiedCrimson January 26, 2015 08:13pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Filing deadline speculative.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameTom Harkin Votes941,665 (62.66%)
Term01/03/2009 - 01/03/2015 Margin381,659 (+25.39%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 03, 2014 IA US Senate - R Primary Joni Ernst
Jun 03, 2014 IA US Senate - D Primary Bruce Braley
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/12/2009 11/04/2014
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Bruce Braley 7 3 3 4
Joni Ernst 19 5 1 --
Leaning Call: Bruce Braley (54.29%)
Weighted Call: Joni Ernst (82.12%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/29/2013 11/03/2014

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name St. Sen. Joni Ernst Rep. Bruce Braley Rick Stewart Douglas Butzier Bob Quast Ruth Smith (W) Write-In
PartyRepublican Democratic Independent Libertarian Independent Independent Nonpartisan
Certified Votes588,575 (52.10%) 494,370 (43.76%) 26,815 (2.37%) 8,232 (0.73%) 5,873 (0.52%) 4,724 (0.42%) 1,111 (0.10%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -94,205 (-8.34%) -561,760 (-49.73%) -580,343 (-51.37%) -582,702 (-51.58%) -583,851 (-51.68%) -587,464 (-52.00%)
Predict Avg.50.50% 46.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website]
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (51 from 20 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.90%-- 46.31%-- 1.98%-- 0.19%-- 0.10%-- 0.20%-- 0.00%--
Public Policy Polling (D) 
11/01/14-11/03/14
48.00% 1.0 45.00% 3.0 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
10/28/14-10/31/14
51.00% 4.0 44.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/25/14-10/31/14
41.90% 2.1 42.90% 1.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/28/14-10/30/14
48.00% -- 47.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
10/28/14-10/30/14
45.00% 4.0 44.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
10/27/14-10/30/14
49.00% 1.0 47.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  The Gazette (Iowa)
Laf-W Craverguy

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/22/2014 vs Bruce Braley TVAd Attack eng Bruce Braley's Chicken Dance  00:00:30 RP 
10/07/2014 Joni Ernst TVAd Feel Good eng Drive  00:00:30 RP 
10/07/2014 vs Bruce Braley TVAd Attack eng Swears  00:00:32 RP 
10/06/2014 vs Bruce Braley TVAd Attack eng Bruce Braley Voted to Take Away Your Gun Rights   00:00:30 RP 
10/01/2014 vs Bruce Braley TVAd Attack eng Extreme  00:00:30 RP 
09/29/2014 vs Joni Ernst TVAd Attack eng Noise  00:00:30 RP 
09/28/2014 Debate Contrast eng 2014 Iowa US Senate Debate #1  00:56:41 RP 
09/25/2014 Joni Ernst TVAd Endorsement eng Chris  00:00:30 RP 
09/25/2014 Joni Ernst TVAd Endorsement eng Will   00:00:30 RP 
09/24/2014 Joni Ernst vs Bruce Braley TVAd Mixed eng Christina  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2014 vs Joni Ernst TVAd Attack eng Why Joni Ernst Doesn’t Trust Women to Make Their Own Health Care Decisions   00:00:30 RP 
09/16/2014 vs Bruce Braley TVAd Attack eng Billionaire  00:00:32 RP 
09/16/2014 vs Joni Ernst TVAd Issue eng Kids  00:00:30 RP 
09/16/2014 vs Bruce Braley TVAd Attack eng Missed Votes   00:00:30 RP 
09/16/2014 Joni Ernst TVAd Endorsement eng Senator Chuck Grassley for Ernst   00:00:30 RP 
09/16/2014 vs Joni Ernst TVAd Attack eng Words  00:00:30 RP 
09/15/2014 Joni Ernst TVAd Defend eng About  00:00:30 RP 
09/15/2014 vs Joni Ernst TVAd Attack eng Ernst Values  00:00:31 RP 
09/15/2014 Bruce Braley TVAd Issue eng Roads  00:00:32 RP 
09/09/2014 vs Joni Ernst TVAd Attack eng Talked  00:00:34 RP 
09/09/2014 Joni Ernst TVAd Endorsement eng Iowa Ag Secretary Bill Northey for Joni Ernst  00:00:30 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 14, 2014 12:40pm News Wife confirms man killed in plane crash is Senate candidate  Article RP 
Mar 14, 2011 03:00pm Speculative Will Vander Plaats run for Senate vs. Harkin?  Article COSDem 

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