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  CA - District 10 - Special Election
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > CA - District 10
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type Primary Election
Filing Deadline July 20, 2009 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Open September 01, 2009 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close September 01, 2009 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start November 04, 2009 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2011 - 12:00pm
Turnout 15.16% Total Population
ContributorTX DEM
Last ModifiedPaul πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ August 10, 2015 11:19pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameEllen O. Tauscher Votes192,226 (65.12%)
Term01/03/2009 - 06/26/2009 Margin100,349 (+34.00%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2009
NameJohn Garamendi Votes72,817 (52.85%)
Term11/04/2009 - 01/03/2011 Margin13,800 (+10.02%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceCA - District 10 - Special Election Runoff 11/03/2009
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/16/2009 09/01/2009
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
John Garamendi 14 3 1 1
David J. Harmer ------1
Leaning Call: John Garamendi (87.10%)
Weighted Call: John Garamendi (99.58%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

03/22/2009 08/28/2009

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Lt. Gov. John Garamendi David J. Harmer Jeremy Cloward Jerome H. "Jerry" Denham Mary C. McIlroy St. Sen. Mark J. DeSaulnier St. Rep. Joan Buchanan
PartyDemocratic Republican Green American Independent Peace & Freedom Democratic Democratic
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 25,359 (26.18%) 19,932 (20.57%) 506 (0.52%) 279 (0.29%) 259 (0.27%) 17,001 (17.55%) 11,625 (12.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -5,427 (-5.60%) -24,853 (-25.65%) -25,080 (-25.89%) -25,100 (-25.91%) -8,358 (-8.63%) -13,734 (-14.18%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 07/21/2009 07/21/2009 07/21/2009 07/21/2009 07/21/2009 07/21/2009 07/21/2009
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg24.71%-- 19.65%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 15.33%-- 11.33%--
Survey USA 
08/26/09-08/28/09
25.00% -- 20.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 16.00% -- 12.00% --
Survey USA 
08/10/09-08/11/09
26.00% -- 18.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 15.00% -- 12.00% --
Tulchin Research/Acosta|Salazar 
08/02/09-08/04/09
31.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 21.00% -- 17.00% --
J. Moore Methods 
05/01/09-05/04/09
24.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 13.00% -- 10.00% --
Maslin, Maullin & Assoc. (D) 
03/22/09-03/23/09
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 18.00% -- 21.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Anthony Woods Chris Bunch Gary W. Clift John R. Toth David Peterson Mark A. Loos Adriel Hampton
PartyDemocratic Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Democratic
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 8,217 (8.48%) 4,445 (4.59%) 3,862 (3.99%) 3,123 (3.22%) 1,541 (1.59%) 382 (0.39%) 350 (0.36%)
Margin-17,142 (-17.69%) -20,914 (-21.59%) -21,497 (-22.19%) -22,236 (-22.95%) -23,818 (-24.58%) -24,977 (-25.78%) -25,009 (-25.81%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2009 07/21/2009 07/21/2009 07/21/2009 07/21/2009 07/21/2009 07/21/2009
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg6.46%-- 4.67%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 2.67%-- 1.67%-- -4.90%--
Survey USA 
08/26/09-08/28/09
9.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
08/10/09-08/11/09
5.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 4.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
Tulchin Research/Acosta|Salazar 
08/02/09-08/04/09
9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
J. Moore Methods 
05/01/09-05/04/09
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Maslin, Maullin & Assoc. (D) 
03/22/09-03/23/09
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements


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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jul 23, 2009 12:00am Analysis No Obvious Frontrunner in Race for Tauscher Seat  Article Craverguy 
Jul 04, 2009 11:20am Profile Congressional candidate gets national attention  Article Craverguy 
Jun 29, 2009 02:00pm Announcement Sheriff Warren Rupf will not run for Congress [CA-10]  Article COSDem 
Jun 10, 2009 12:00am Profile Change in a Crowded Field  Article Craverguy 
Apr 16, 2009 02:00pm News Garamendi to announce Congressional run  Article karin1492 
Mar 27, 2009 02:00pm News Tauscher, Miller Endorse DeSaulnier in California Special  Article TX DEM 
Mar 18, 2009 02:00pm News Tauscher to take Obama post, opening up House seat  Article TX DEM 

DISCUSSION