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  CA - District 10 - Special Election
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > CA - District 10
OfficeHouse of Representatives
Type Primary Election
Filing Deadline July 20, 2009 - 07:00pm
Polls Open September 01, 2009 - 06:00am
Polls Close September 01, 2009 - 10:00pm
Term Start November 04, 2009 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2011 - 12:00pm
Turnout 15.16% Total Population
ContributorTX DEM
Last ModifiedPaul August 23, 2013 08:49pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameEllen O. Tauscher Votes192,226 (65.12%)
Term01/03/2009 - 06/26/2009 Margin100,349 (+34.00%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2009
NameJohn Garamendi Votes72,817 (52.85%)
Term11/04/2009 - 01/03/2011 Margin13,800 (+10.02%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceCA - District 10 - Special Election Runoff 11/03/2009
MAP

Embed Code
123
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
04/16/2009 09/01/2009
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
John Garamendi 14 3 1 1
David J. Harmer ------1
Leaning Call: John Garamendi (87.10%)
Weighted Call: John Garamendi (88.97%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
03/22/2009 08/28/2009

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Lt. Gov. John Garamendi David J. Harmer Jeremy Cloward Jerome "Jerry" Denham Mary McIlroy St. Sen. Mark DeSaulnier St. Rep. Joan Buchanan
PartyDemocratic Republican Green American Independent Peace & Freedom Democratic Democratic
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]
Uncertified Votes25,359 (26.18%) 19,932 (20.57%) 506 (0.52%) 279 (0.29%) 259 (0.27%) 17,001 (17.55%) 11,625 (12.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -5,427 (-5.60%) -24,853 (-25.65%) -25,080 (-25.89%) -25,100 (-25.91%) -8,358 (-8.63%) -13,734 (-14.18%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg24.97%-- 19.43%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 15.59%-- 11.59%--
Survey USA 
08/26/09-08/28/09
25.00% -- 20.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 16.00% -- 12.00% --
Survey USA 
08/10/09-08/11/09
26.00% -- 18.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 15.00% -- 12.00% --
Tulchin Research/Acosta|Salazar 
08/02/09-08/04/09
31.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 21.00% -- 17.00% --
J. Moore Methods 
05/01/09-05/04/09
24.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 13.00% -- 10.00% --
Maslin, Maullin & Assoc. (D) 
03/22/09-03/23/09
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 18.00% -- 21.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  San Francisco Bay Guardian
  San Francisco Chronicle
SWP Otis Gough
D Bill Clinton [L]
LBU Michael Parenti [L]
RC Zeus the Moose
D Ellen O. Tauscher [L]
D Dennis Cardoza [L]
D Anna Eshoo [L]
D Doris Matsui [L]
  EMILY's List
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Anthony Woods Chris Bunch Gary Clift John Toth David Peterson Mark Loos Adriel Hampton
PartyDemocratic Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Democratic
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]
Uncertified Votes8,217 (8.48%) 4,445 (4.59%) 3,862 (3.99%) 3,123 (3.22%) 1,541 (1.59%) 382 (0.39%) 350 (0.36%)
Margin-17,142 (-17.69%) -20,914 (-21.59%) -21,497 (-22.19%) -22,236 (-22.95%) -23,818 (-24.58%) -24,977 (-25.78%) -25,009 (-25.81%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (5 from 4 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg6.72%-- 4.32%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 2.32%-- 1.32%-- -4.90%--
Survey USA 
08/26/09-08/28/09
9.00% -- 5.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
08/10/09-08/11/09
5.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 4.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% --
Tulchin Research/Acosta|Salazar 
08/02/09-08/04/09
9.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
J. Moore Methods 
05/01/09-05/04/09
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Maslin, Maullin & Assoc. (D) 
03/22/09-03/23/09
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Bay Area Reporter
  Veterans Press
I Gino VanGundy [L]

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jul 23, 2009 12:00am Analysis No Obvious Frontrunner in Race for Tauscher Seat  Article Craverguy 
Jul 04, 2009 11:20am Profile Congressional candidate gets national attention  Article Craverguy 
Jun 29, 2009 02:00pm Announcement Sheriff Warren Rupf will not run for Congress [CA-10]  Article COSDem 
Jun 10, 2009 12:00am Profile Change in a Crowded Field  Article Craverguy 
Apr 16, 2009 02:00pm News Garamendi to announce Congressional run  Article karin1492 
Mar 27, 2009 02:00pm News Tauscher, Miller Endorse DeSaulnier in California Special  Article TX DEM 

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