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  OH US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Ohio > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline December 07, 2011 - 12:00pm
Polls Open March 06, 2012 - 05:30am
Polls Close March 06, 2012 - 06:30pm
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Turnout 68.22% Registered 8.20% Total Population
ContributorJ.R.
Last ModifiedCrimson July 23, 2012 06:47pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2006
NameSherrod Brown Votes2,257,369 (56.16%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013 Margin496,332 (+12.35%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameSherrod Brown Votes2,762,690 (50.70%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin326,978 (+6.00%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceOH US Senate 11/06/2012
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/30/2011 03/06/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Josh Mandel 1 ----16
Leaning Call: Josh Mandel (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Josh Mandel (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
12/10/2010 10/23/2011

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Treasurer Josh Mandel Michael L. Pryce Donna K. Glisman David W. Dodt Eric LaMont Gregory (W) Rusty Bliss  
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Certified Votes586,556 (63.02%) 132,205 (14.21%) 115,621 (12.42%) 47,933 (5.15%) 47,740 (5.13%) 644 (0.07%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -454,351 (-48.82%) -470,935 (-50.60%) -538,623 (-57.87%) -538,816 (-57.89%) -585,912 (-62.95%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (9 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg30.65%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Quinnipiac University 
10/17/11-10/23/11
35.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/13/11-10/16/11
27.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/20/11-09/25/11
33.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/11/11-08/14/11
31.00% 15.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
07/12/11-07/18/11
35.00% 18.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/19/11-05/22/11
16.00% 9.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Cleveland Plain Dealer
R Maryland Republican
R James "Jim" Jordan [L]
AM Conservative for America.
R Anthony Mele [L]
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Jun 24, 2011 02:00pm News Ken Blackwell Decides Against Ohio Senate Bid  Article TX DEM 
Apr 12, 2011 02:10am News Ohio treasurer [Josh Mandel] takes step toward bid for U.S. Senate  Article J.R. 
Mar 23, 2011 07:55pm General Ken Blackwell to examine Ohio Senate bid  Article COSDem 
Mar 11, 2011 06:00pm News Ohio treasurer [Mandel] encouraged to run for Senate  Article J.R. 
Mar 02, 2011 05:00pm News Drew Carey won't come on down  Article TX DEM 
Dec 22, 2010 10:00am News DeWine says he won't take on Sen. Brown in '12  Article J.R. 

DISCUSSION
[View All
48
Previous Messages]
 
R:8073pmorgan ( 0.0000 points)
Sun, March 20, 2011 05:27:27 AM UTC0:00
LaTourette is not an option as he's stated it recently PLUS he would move down the ladder as opposed to where he is in the House as far as a power position goes.

 
R:250Mr. Politics ( 191.5293 points)
Sun, March 20, 2011 05:31:50 AM UTC0:00
Yeah he needs to stay in the House. This isn't Montana or Nevada where the benefits of the Senate outweigh the risk of a House seat.

 
R:728SC-Conservative ( 110.4913 points)
Mon, March 21, 2011 03:06:49 AM UTC0:00
'06 was just an awful year for the GOP, especially in OH. Anybody that thinks the '04 OH result was suspicious is delusional.

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
Mon, March 21, 2011 11:08:39 PM UTC0:00
I don't think Bush "stole" anything in 2004, but Diebold's massive support of the Republican Party didn't help.

 
R:787Barack O-blame-a ( 80.6213 points)
Mon, March 21, 2011 11:39:27 PM UTC0:00
Is Diebold really going to risk their reputation with something like that? I mean you almost contradicted yourself with that statement. In what ways didn't it help? This is actually a black and white issue.

 
D:6086Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
Tue, March 22, 2011 12:05:20 AM UTC0:00
Ordinary voters didn't care about Diebold nor did they buy into electoral fraud conspiracy theories. 2006 was all about Taft.

 
LPC:6149Dr. King Schultz ( 374.3755 points)
Tue, March 22, 2011 12:26:14 AM UTC0:00
As soon as I can find an article or when Jim Jordan inevitably announces he isn't going to run for the Senate which he's stated he's leaning against it. I can remove him.

 
D:8084Juror #3 ( 186.4846 points)
Tue, March 22, 2011 02:47:40 AM UTC0:00
Is Blackwell really considering running? While his poor 2006 showing wasn't entirely his fault, I can't see how that it wouldn't disqualify him.

 
Un:352Ralphie (12176.8838 points)
Tue, March 22, 2011 03:55:15 AM UTC0:00
Dr. King Schultz: As soon as I can find an article or when Jim Jordan inevitably announces he isn't going to run for the Senate which he's stated he's leaning against it. I can remove him.

If there are users predicting a candidate still it's better to just enter a dropout date than to remove the candidate completely. That way it doesn't affect their predictions.

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Tue, March 22, 2011 04:00:13 AM UTC0:00
Ralphie: If there are users predicting a candidate still it's better to just enter a dropout date than to remove the candidate completely. That way it doesn't affect their predictions.

Not only is it better but I also believe it's site policy :)

 
R:8073pmorgan ( 0.0000 points)
Tue, March 22, 2011 05:33:31 AM UTC0:00
Of the possibilities mentioned above, only Bliss HAS filed and announced.

 
D:1RP ( 3311.3784 points)
Wed, March 23, 2011 03:09:51 AM UTC0:00
pmorgan: Of the possibilities mentioned above, only Bliss HAS filed and announced.

Yes. That's why he's the only name not in italics, as the note below the names mentions.

 
D:1656The Sunset Provision ( 1384.6633 points)
Fri, June 24, 2011 09:48:28 PM UTC0:00
Ken Blackwell officially dropped out today via Twitter.

 
D:8409Crimson ( 1778.9810 points)
Tue, October 25, 2011 06:53:39 PM UTC0:00
Coughlin has dropped out. [Link]

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
Fri, December 30, 2011 10:52:58 PM UTC0:00
Mandel somehow got deleted from this race when I hit the "delete" button below Austria's name, along with Austria.

To everyone who had their predictions deleted, I wholeheartedly apologize, and can assure you that this one error will not happen again.

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
Fri, December 30, 2011 10:59:21 PM UTC0:00
The errant deletion of a candidate from a race has happened to several people, and they've been honest mistakes. I seem to recall "Democratic Primary Winner" getting deleted from the Nevada Presidential election nine or ten times in 2008, and another time in which I had to stop Eddy from removing Primary Winner placeholders from several House races in Florida, after he'd already gotten around to deleting ten of them.

It was a simple error, and it's not going to happen again. It's not as if the President container or Candidate page for George Washington got deleted or something.

 
D:6454Mr. Matt ( 1608.7891 points)
x3
Fri, December 30, 2011 10:59:52 PM UTC0:00
Punishment: You will be subjected to another random round of postings by pmorgan about Rusty Bliss.

 
D:2109Andy ( 4160.6357 points)
Fri, December 30, 2011 11:34:11 PM UTC0:00
Better the pmorgan you know than the SARGE KUMP you don't, I say.

 
IND:1196Monsieur ( 5890.8623 points)
Sun, January 1, 2012 07:14:32 PM UTC0:00
The filing deadline for this was apparently way back on December 7. The deadline to file in a party primary for Senate is 90 days before the primary, while it is 67 days for the House. Mandel seems to be the only serious Republican candidate, though I'm having trouble finding a list of filed candidates from a non-Wikipedia source (it could just be my difficulty navigating the OH SOS site).

 
D:1656The Sunset Provision ( 1384.6633 points)
Sun, January 1, 2012 09:21:18 PM UTC0:00
According to the AP:

Besides Mandel, who has not yet formally announced his bid, GOP candidates David Dodt of Defiance, Donna Glisman of Graytown, Eric LaMont Gregory of Beavercreek, Michael Pryce of Hudson and write-in candidate Russell Bliss Jr. filed Dec. 7 to run.

Joseph DeMare of Bowling Green has filed to run as a Green Party candidate.


 
IND:1196Monsieur ( 5890.8623 points)
Sun, January 1, 2012 11:14:09 PM UTC0:00
Mandel pretty much has to run now, since the rest of the filed candidates are frivolous. Unless there is a way for the GOP to get a new candidate in the face through some other method.

 
Laf-W:2005Craverguy ( 773.7696 points)
Mon, January 2, 2012 12:06:23 AM UTC0:00
I don't understand, how can Mandel run if he's not already running and the filing deadline was a month ago?

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Mon, January 2, 2012 12:24:34 AM UTC0:00
figuring out Ohio filing is a bit tough, since the counties don't post Senate candidates and the Ohio SOS site doesn't post candidates yet

 
IND:1196Monsieur ( 5890.8623 points)
Mon, January 2, 2012 02:01:57 AM UTC0:00
Craverguy: I don't understand, how can Mandel run if he's not already running and the filing deadline was a month ago?

He filed before the deadline, but has not actually announced a candidacy and would hardly be the first person to file for office preemptively and bow out. That said, since no other major candidates filed, it seems unlikely he won't be the nominee.

 
I:8616nomax ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, February 20, 2012 11:32:06 PM UTC0:00
Bliss, the "write-in" won the Lake County Tea Party straw poll vote last Saturday defeating Mandel 56%-42% securing the endorsement nod from the Lake Co. Tea Party.