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  MO US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Missouri > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline March 27, 2012 - 05:00pm Central
Polls Open August 07, 2012 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close August 07, 2012 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Turnout 10.07% Total Population
ContributorJ.R.
Last ModifiedRBH August 31, 2012 07:43pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2006
NameClaire McCaskill Votes1,055,255 (49.58%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013 Margin48,314 (+2.27%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2012
NameClaire McCaskill Votes1,494,125 (54.81%)
Term01/03/2013 - 01/03/2019 Margin427,966 (+15.70%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceMO US Senate 11/06/2012
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 7.5000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/01/2010 08/07/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Sarah Steelman 2 1 --2
Todd Akin 4 ------
John Brunner 12 3 ----
Leaning Call: John Brunner (52.94%)
Weighted Call: John Brunner (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/29/2010 08/05/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rep. Todd Akin John Brunner Treasurer Sarah Steelman Jerry Beck Hector Maldonado Robert "Bob" Poole Mark Memoly
PartyRepublican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes217,468 (36.05%) 180,821 (29.97%) 176,189 (29.21%) 9,791 (1.62%) 7,412 (1.23%) 6,097 (1.01%) 3,200 (0.53%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -36,647 (-6.07%) -41,279 (-6.84%) -207,677 (-34.43%) -210,056 (-34.82%) -211,371 (-35.04%) -214,268 (-35.52%)
Predict Avg.28.39% 26.58% 37.22% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 1.67%
Never Trump/Never Hillary22.00% (-5.66 pts) 40.00% (-3.44 pts) 36.00% (-1.34 pts) -- -- -- --
derstad98040.00% (+1.07 pts) 5.00% (-13.40 pts) 55.00% (-14.01 pts) -- -- -- --
Smart28.00% (-1.66 pts) 40.00% (-3.44 pts) 30.00% (+2.66 pts) -- -- -- 2.00% (+0.06 pts)
DylanSH9923.57% (-4.62 pts) 21.33% (-2.51 pts) 27.88% (+2.31 pts) -- -- -- 3.00% (-0.61 pts)
Cash On Hand 3/31 $910,608.75 $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 05/17/2011 10/03/2011 12/01/2010 00/00/2012 00/00/2012 00/00/2012 00/00/2011
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (9 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg24.71%-- 35.30%-- 26.34%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 2.04%--
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/04/12-08/05/12
30.00% 7.0 35.00% 10.0 25.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
07/23/12-07/25/12
17.00% -- 33.00% -- 27.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 3.00% --
American Viewpoint (R) 
06/19/12-06/21/12
20.00% -- 40.00% -- 20.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/24/12-05/27/12
23.00% -- 25.00% 7.0 28.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/27/12-01/29/12
23.00% 6.0 18.00% 12.0 32.00% 8.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
09/09/11-09/12/11
29.00% -- 6.00% -- 40.00% 12.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Mark Patrick Lodes  
PartyRepublican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes2,282 (0.38%)  
Margin-215,186 (-35.67%)  
Predict Avg.0.33%  
Never Trump/Never Hillary --
derstad980 --
Smart --
DylanSH991.00% (+0.61 pts)
Cash On Hand $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2012  
MATCHUP POLLS (9 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.04%--  
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/04/12-08/05/12
0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
07/23/12-07/25/12
1.00% --
American Viewpoint (R) 
06/19/12-06/21/12
0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/24/12-05/27/12
0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/27/12-01/29/12
0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
09/09/11-09/12/11
0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/03/2012 Todd Akin Radio Ad Endorsement eng David Barton Endorses Todd Akin   00:01:01 RP 
07/31/2012 Todd Akin TVAd Issue eng Leizl's Story   00:00:30 RP 
07/28/2012 Todd Akin TVAd Mixed eng Freedom's Flame   00:00:30 RP 
07/26/2012 vs Sarah Steelman TVAd Attack eng Mirror Images   12:00:31 RP 
07/24/2012 Sarah Steelman TVAd Contrast eng Balance the Budget   00:00:30 RP 
07/23/2012 John Brunner TVAd Attack eng Lost His Way   00:00:32 RP 
07/16/2012 Todd Akin TVAd Endorsement eng Don't Be Fooled  00:00:30 RP 
07/05/2012 Todd Akin TVAd Endorsement eng Standing on Principle, Leading with Courage - That's Todd Akin  00:00:30 RP 
02/29/2012 Todd Akin Radio Ad Endorsement eng Mike Huckabee  00:01:02 RP 
02/15/2012 Sarah Steelman TVAd Issue eng Sarah Steelman - Protecting our First Amendment Rights!   00:00:33 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
May 26, 2012 12:00pm News Missouri Senate Candidate [Steelman]: ‘Ready To Punch Claire McCaskill Out’  Article The Sunset Provision 
Oct 24, 2011 11:00pm Announcement Ann Wagner Definitively Rules Out Senate Bid  Article TX DEM 
May 17, 2011 05:00pm News Akin announces run for U.S. Senate[...]  Article J.R. 
May 13, 2011 07:00pm General St. Louis Businessman Brunner Moving Toward Senate Bid  Article COSDem 
May 13, 2011 07:00pm General Luetkemeyer Passes on Missouri Senate Bid  Article COSDem 
Feb 22, 2011 12:20pm News Emerson Declines Missouri Senate Bid  Article TX DEM 

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