--
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
--
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
New User Account
"A historical political resource."
Email:
Password:
ND US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
North Dakota
>
Senate Class I
Office
Senate
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
June 01, 2012 - 12:00pm
Polls Open
November 06, 2012 - 09:00am
Polls Close
November 06, 2012 - 07:00pm
Term Start
January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Turnout
50.01% Total Population
Contributor
Andy
Last Modified
RBH
November 16, 2012 04:30pm
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
Filing deadline speculative.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/07/2006
Name
Kent Conrad
Votes
149,948 (68.83%)
Term
01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013
Margin
85,634 (+39.31%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 12, 2012
ND US Senate - R Primary
Rick Berg
Jun 12, 2012
ND US Senate - D Primary
Heidi Heitkamp
MAP
ND Counties - Google
ND Counties - Bitmap
ND State Senate Districts 2012-2022 - Google
Vote Margin
Vote Margin %
Winner %
% Change
Deviation
OC Lean
Total Votes
100
75
50
35
10
Embed Code
Heidi Heitkamp
Rick Berg
Write-In
Copy and paste the line of code below:
<iframe src="http://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceMap.html?RaceID=500899" width="420" height="360"></iframe>
Done
KEY RACE?
7.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
12/15/2008
11/06/2012
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Heidi Heitkamp
14
3
--
2
Rick Berg
37
14
7
5
Leaning Call: Rick Berg (79.10%)
Weighted Call: Rick Berg (93.83%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
11/12/2011
10/28/2012
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
DFM Research
Forum Communications
Mason-Dixon
Mellman Group (D)
Pharos Research Group
Rasmussen Reports
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Attorney General
Heidi Heitkamp
Rep.
Rick Berg
Write-In
Party
Democratic
Republican
Nonpartisan
Website
[Website]
[Website]
Certified Votes
161,337 (50.24%)
158,401 (49.32%)
1,406 (0.44%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-2,936 (-0.91%)
-159,931 (-49.80%)
Predict Avg.
48.47%
50.39%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
6/30 $679,230.00
6/30 $2,194,973.00
$--
MATCHUP POLLS (16 from 6 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
46.48%
--
45.43%
--
0.00%
--
Pharos Research Group
10/26/12-10/28/12
49.90%
0.7
47.70%
0.3
0.00%
--
Mason-Dixon
10/26/12-10/28/12
45.00%
2.0
47.00%
--
0.00%
--
Mellman Group (D)
10/21/12-10/24/12
48.00%
3.0
44.00%
2.0
0.00%
--
Pharos Research Group
10/19/12-10/21/12
49.19%
1.2
47.96%
1.7
0.00%
--
Mellman Group (D)
10/16/12-10/19/12
45.00%
2.0
42.00%
--
0.00%
--
Rasmussen Reports
10/17/12-10/18/12
45.00%
5.0
50.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
LPC
Dr. King Schultz
R
Spen
D
COSDem
D
Crimson
PRI
Paul
R
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
R
Maryland Republican
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
11/03/2012
Rick Berg
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Romney
00:00:30
RP
11/02/2012
Heidi Heitkamp vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Two Generals
00:00:32
RP
11/01/2012
Rick Berg
TVAd
Contrast
eng
This Tuesday
00:00:30
RP
10/31/2012
Rick Berg vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Mixed
eng
Endorsements
00:00:30
RP
10/30/2012
Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Biography
eng
Who I Am
00:00:32
RP
10/27/2012
Rick Berg vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Attack
eng
Hold
00:00:30
RP
10/27/2012
Heidi Heitkamp
Radio Ad
Endorsement
eng
President Bill Clinton
00:01:01
RP
10/23/2012
Heidi Heitkamp
Radio Ad
Endorsement
eng
Two Senators
00:01:02
RP
10/22/2012
Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Issue
eng
For Them
00:00:32
RP
10/17/2012
Rick Berg
TVAd
Endorsement
eng
Together
00:00:30
RP
10/14/2012
Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Defend
eng
Batting Cage -- Heidi Heitkamp for U.S. Senate
00:00:33
Progressive Scot
10/14/2012
Rick Berg vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Attack
eng
Simply
00:00:30
RP
10/12/2012
vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Attack
eng
Rick Berg Looks Out For Insurance Companies, Not North Dakotans
00:00:30
Progressive Scot
10/09/2012
Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Issue
eng
Train
00:00:33
Progressive Scot
10/07/2012
Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Biography
eng
Laundry - Heidi Heitkamp for U.S. Senate
00:01:30
Progressive Scot
10/04/2012
Rick Berg vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Attack
eng
Long Time
00:00:30
RP
10/03/2012
vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Attack
eng
North Dakotans Trust The Facts, Not Rick Berg
00:00:34
RP
10/02/2012
Rick Berg vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Attack
eng
Severe
00:00:33
RP
09/28/2012
vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Attack
eng
EASY
00:00:30
RP
09/28/2012
vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Attack
eng
WHY
00:00:32
RP
09/27/2012
Rick Berg vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Attack
eng
Room
00:00:30
RP
09/25/2012
Heidi Heitkamp vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Contrast
eng
North Dakotans Know What Rick Berg Has Been Up To
00:00:32
RP
09/25/2012
Heidi Heitkamp vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Rick Berg Lost Sight Of North Dakota In Washington
00:00:32
RP
09/24/2012
vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Attack
eng
More Proof
00:00:30
RP
09/21/2012
vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Attack
eng
Indisputable
00:00:30
RP
09/20/2012
Heidi Heitkamp vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Attack
eng
Explain
00:00:32
Progressive Scot
09/20/2012
Rick Berg vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Defend
eng
Facts
00:00:30
RP
09/20/2012
Rick Berg
TVAd
Issue
eng
Trust
00:00:31
RP
09/17/2012
vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Attack
eng
Rick Berg's Medicare Plan Would Force Seniors To Pay More
00:00:32
RP
09/12/2012
Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Issue
eng
Field
00:00:33
RP
09/07/2012
Heidi Heitkamp vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Saved
00:00:33
Progressive Scot
09/06/2012
Rick Berg vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Choice
00:00:31
RP
09/06/2012
Heidi Heitkamp vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Mixed
eng
Rick Berg Does What Washington Tells Him
00:00:32
RP
09/05/2012
Rick Berg vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Big Difference ND
00:00:30
RP
09/05/2012
Rick Berg vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Attack
eng
Remember
00:00:30
RP
09/04/2012
vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Biography
eng
Short Leash
00:00:30
RP
08/21/2012
vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Biography
eng
Sly One
00:00:30
RP
08/17/2012
Rick Berg
TVAd
Biography
eng
Rusty
00:00:30
RP
08/16/2012
vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Attack
eng
Forgot
00:00:32
RP
08/15/2012
Heidi Heitkamp vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Defend
eng
Bogus
00:00:32
RP
08/08/2012
Rick Berg vs Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Attack
eng
Hiding Taxes
00:00:31
RP
07/27/2012
Rick Berg
TVAd
Attack
eng
Again
00:00:30
Crimson
07/24/2012
Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Attack
eng
Trusted
00:00:30
RP
07/12/2012
Rick Berg
TVAd
Issue
eng
Francie
00:00:30
RP
07/12/2012
Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Issue
eng
Pee Wee
00:00:33
RP
07/10/2012
vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Attack
eng
Priorities
00:00:33
RP
06/19/2012
vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Attack
eng
Spelled
00:00:33
RP
06/18/2012
Heidi Heitkamp
TVAd
Issue
eng
Twelve Years
00:00:00
John
04/30/2012
Heidi Heitkamp vs Rick Berg
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Rick Berg's Washington Way
00:00:30
RP
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Nov 07, 2012 01:00pm
News
Rick Berg Concedes to Heidi Heitkamp
Article
J.R.
Nov 07, 2012 11:00am
News
Heitkamp apparent winner in Senate race: Berg not conceding
Article
COSDem
Nov 07, 2012 01:35am
News
Heidi Heitkamp on brink of upset win
Article
COSDem
Oct 28, 2012 11:00pm
Announcement
President Clinton To Rally For Heidi Heitkamp In Fargo On Monday
Article
COSDem
Oct 01, 2012 03:00pm
News
‘North Dakota Nice’ Plays Well in Senate Race
Article
COSDem
Aug 03, 2012 01:00pm
Analysis
N.D. Senate Race Is in Play for Democrat Heitkamp
Article
Christie-Toomey '16
Add Your 2¢
Agree
Disagree
Laugh
Groan
Troll
Befuddled
Work Complete
Prediction
[close]
DISCUSSION
[View 25 Previous Messages]
[View All
97
Previous Messages]