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  NV US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Nevada > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 16, 2012 - 12:00pm
Polls Open November 06, 2012 - 09:00am
Polls Close November 06, 2012 - 09:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Turnout 79.34% Registered 49.93% Total Population
ContributorAndy
Last ModifiedRBH December 01, 2012 09:20pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Filing deadline speculative.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won04/27/2011
NameDean Heller Votes1 (100.00%)
Term05/09/2011 - 01/03/2013 Margin1 (+100.00%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 12, 2012 NV US Senate - D Primary Shelley Berkley
Jun 12, 2012 NV US Senate - R Primary Dean Heller
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 10.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/08/2008 11/06/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Dean Heller 47 10 3 --
Shelley Berkley 19 1 --1
Leaning Call: Dean Heller (75.25%)
Weighted Call: Dean Heller (92.04%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
01/03/2011 11/04/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Sen. Dean Heller Rep. Shelley Berkley David Vanderbeek None of These Candidates  
PartyRepublican Democratic Independent American Independent  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Certified Votes457,656 (45.87%) 446,080 (44.71%) 48,792 (4.89%) 45,277 (4.54%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -11,576 (-1.16%) -408,864 (-40.98%) -412,379 (-41.33%)  
Predict Avg.48.91% 46.23% 0.94% 0.64%  
Cash On Hand $0.00 6/30 $4,027,866.00 $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (43 from 16 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.65%-- 41.79%-- 3.88%-- 3.08%--  
Public Policy Polling (D) 
11/03/12-11/04/12
48.00% 4.0 46.00% 2.0 4.00% 3.0 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/31/12-11/03/12
49.00% 7.0 40.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/23/12-10/29/12
46.00% -- 40.00% -- 6.00% -- 4.00% --
Grove Insight (D) 
10/27/12-10/28/12
44.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/23/12-10/24/12
48.00% 1.0 45.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/22/12-10/24/12
44.00% 3.0 44.00% -- 7.00% 2.0 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/23/12-10/23/12
50.00% -- 45.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mellman Group (D) 
10/15/12-10/17/12
38.00% 1.0 41.00% 1.0 5.00% -- 4.00% 2.0
Rasmussen Reports 
10/15/12-10/15/12
50.00% 2.0 43.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/11/12-10/15/12
46.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/04/12-10/11/12
42.00% -- 36.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mellman Group (D) 
10/08/12-10/10/12
39.00% 2.0 42.00% -- 5.00% -- 6.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/08/12-10/10/12
47.00% 3.0 44.00% 4.0 5.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
10/06/12-10/09/12
40.00% -- 37.00% -- 7.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/08/12-10/08/12
48.00% 6.0 45.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Precision Opinion 
10/06/12-10/06/12
45.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing (R) 
10/04/12-10/04/12
52.50% -- 35.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
09/25/12-09/27/12
45.20% -- 44.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
09/23/12-09/25/12
49.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 
09/19/12-09/20/12
44.00% 4.0 39.00% 3.0 4.00% -- 9.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
09/18/12-09/20/12
44.00% 3.0 48.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/18/12-09/18/12
42.00% 9.0 41.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/07/12-09/14/12
42.00% -- 35.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/23/12-08/26/12
47.00% 2.0 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
08/16/12-08/21/12
44.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 5.00% --
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D) 
08/13/12-08/15/12
42.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
07/24/12-07/24/12
51.00% -- 42.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
07/16/12-07/17/12
45.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
06/07/12-06/10/12
44.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
05/22/12-05/24/12
46.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
04/30/12-04/30/12
51.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
03/29/12-04/01/12
46.00% 5.0 43.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
03/19/12-03/19/12
47.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of Nevada-Las Vegas 
12/12/11-12/20/11
43.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/20/11-10/23/11
45.00% 1.0 45.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 
09/14/11-09/15/11
48.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
07/28/11-07/31/11
46.00% 1.0 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Tarrance Group (R) 
07/12/11-07/13/11
48.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
06/21/11-06/22/11
44.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mellman Group (D) 
06/11/11-06/14/11
37.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
04/21/11-04/24/11
47.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mellman Group (D) 
03/13/11-03/15/11
38.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
01/03/11-01/05/11
51.00% -- 38.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Las Vegas Review-Journal
R CAGOP
R Maryland Republican
  Human Rights Campaign
  Reno News & Review
I Oscar B. Goodman [L]
  Las Vegas Sun
LBT Jed Ziggler
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Sep 27, 2012 08:00pm Sep 27, 2012 09:00pm Debate NV Sen First Debate  Progressive Scot 
Oct 11, 2012 08:00pm Oct 11, 2012 09:00pm General Election Nevada Second Senate Election Debate  Progressive Scot 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/23/2012 Shelley Berkley TVAd Endorsement eng Oscar  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/17/2012 vs Dean Heller TVAd Attack eng Dean Heller Gets A Failing Grade On Education  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/15/2012 Shelley Berkley TVAd Endorsement eng Rally  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/09/2012 vs Dean Heller TVAd Attack eng Dean Heller: Bad for women, Bad for Nevada  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
10/03/2012 vs Dean Heller TVAd Attack spa Dean Heller: Blocking Opportunities for Nevadans   00:00:31 RP 
10/03/2012 vs Shelley Berkley TVAd Attack eng Spending  00:00:31 RP 
10/02/2012 vs Dean Heller TVAd Contrast eng Credit  00:00:32 RP 
10/01/2012 Shelley Berkley vs Dean Heller TVAd Contrast eng Jobs  00:00:33 Progressive Scot 
09/27/2012 vs Dean Heller TVAd Attack eng Cynthia  00:00:33 RP 
09/26/2012 vs Dean Heller TVAd Attack eng Wall Street's Favorite Senator   00:00:30 RP 
09/22/2012 Dean Heller vs Shelley Berkley TVAd Attack eng Diversion  00:00:31 RP 
09/21/2012 vs Shelley Berkley TVAd Attack eng Big  00:00:32 RP 
09/17/2012 vs Dean Heller TVAd Attack eng With Dean Heller, Nevadans Are Going To Need A Much Bigger Piggy Bank   00:00:30 RP 
09/13/2012 vs Shelley Berkley TVAd Attack eng Shameful  00:00:35 RP 
09/12/2012 Shelley Berkley vs Dean Heller TVAd Defend eng Cracked Down  00:00:28 RP 
09/12/2012 Dean Heller vs Shelley Berkley TVAd Issue eng Energy (EspaƱol)  00:00:33 RP 
09/12/2012 Shelley Berkley TVAd Issue eng Fighter  00:00:30 Progressive Scot 
09/11/2012 Shelley Berkley vs Dean Heller TVAd Issue eng El Futuro de los DREAMers  00:00:31 RP 
09/11/2012 vs Shelley Berkley TVAd Attack eng Laughable  00:00:33 RP 
09/10/2012 Shelley Berkley TVAd Issue eng Fighter  00:00:32 RP 
09/05/2012 Shelley Berkley vs Dean Heller TVAd Defend eng Cracked Down  00:00:32 RP 
09/05/2012 Shelley Berkley vs Dean Heller TVAd Mixed eng Side  00:00:32 RP 
09/04/2012 Dean Heller vs Shelley Berkley TVAd Attack eng Wrong  00:00:32 RP 
08/31/2012 Dean Heller vs Shelley Berkley TVAd Attack eng Facts  00:00:31 RP 
08/31/2012 Dean Heller vs Shelley Berkley TVAd Attack eng Our Turn   00:00:32 RP 
08/14/2012 vs Shelley Berkley TVAd Attack eng Business  00:00:31 RP 
08/13/2012 Dean Heller TVAd Issue eng Gas  00:00:31 RP 
08/10/2012 Shelley Berkley vs Dean Heller TVAd Attack eng Never Been  00:00:32 RP 
08/01/2012 Shelley Berkley TVAd Contrast eng El Camino  00:00:31 Crimson 
07/31/2012 Dean Heller TVAd Attack eng Credit  00:00:31 Crimson 
07/31/2012 Shelley Berkley vs Dean Heller Radio Ad Attack eng Twice  00:01:01 RP 
07/12/2012 Shelley Berkley TVAd Attack eng Proud   00:00:32 RP 
07/12/2012 Shelley Berkley TVAd Issue eng Quote  00:00:32 RP 
07/09/2012 Dean Heller TVAd Attack eng Care  00:00:32 Crimson 
06/17/2012 Dean Heller TVAd Issue eng Job  00:00:31 Crimson 
03/15/2012 vs Dean Heller TVAd Attack eng Dean Heller: Nevada Common Sense?  00:00:47 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 05, 2012 06:00pm News Nevada Republican Sen. Dean Heller: I Need Obama Voters To Win  Article COSDem 
Oct 14, 2012 07:00pm Analysis Nevada Polls May Understate Democratic Support  Article The Sunset Provision 
Mar 09, 2012 01:00pm Strategy Berkley tries to use Limbaugh controversy to paint Heller into a corner  Article Jason 
Nov 24, 2010 01:25pm General Nevada politicos gear up for new battles  Article Jason 

DISCUSSION
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