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  NE US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Nebraska > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 01, 2012 - 12:00pm
Polls Open November 06, 2012 - 08:00am
Polls Close November 06, 2012 - 08:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Turnout 68.88% Registered 46.08% Total Population
ContributorAndy
Last ModifiedRBH December 20, 2012 11:38pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2006
NameBen Nelson Votes378,388 (63.88%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013 Margin164,460 (+27.77%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 15, 2012 NE US Senate - D Primary Bob Kerrey
May 15, 2012 NE US Senate - R Primary Deb Fischer
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 7.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/07/2008 11/06/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Deb Fischer 24 28 18 14
Bob Kerrey 2 --1 --
Leaning Call: Deb Fischer (97.44%)
Weighted Call: Deb Fischer (99.99%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
11/02/2010 11/01/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Executive Board Member Deb Fischer Sen. Bob Kerrey  
PartyRepublican Democratic  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Certified Votes455,593 (57.77%) 332,979 (42.23%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -122,614 (-15.55%)  
Predict Avg.48.81% 40.33%  
Cash On Hand 6/30 $1,106,322.00 6/30 $1,280,836.00  
MATCHUP POLLS (24 from 12 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg50.09%-- 44.65%--  
We Ask America 
11/01/12-11/01/12
53.60% 1.4 41.20% 7.2
Gravis Marketing (R) 
10/28/12-10/28/12
56.00% -- 44.00% --
Pharos Research Group 
10/26/12-10/28/12
49.70% 1.3 47.00% 1.0
Wiese Research Associates 
10/24/12-10/26/12
48.00% 8.0 45.00% 5.0
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 
10/23/12-10/25/12
55.00% 3.0 39.00% 6.0
Pharos Research Group 
10/19/12-10/21/12
48.40% 1.1 45.98% 2.9
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Senate Conservatives Fund
R Spen
  Omaha World Herald
R Maryland Republican
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
R Chuck Hagel [L]
R Warren Bruce Rudman [L]
R Alan K. Simpson [L]
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/22/2012 Bob Kerrey vs Deb Fischer TVAd Attack eng Abuse of Power  00:00:30 RP 
10/04/2012 Bob Kerrey Web Only Ad Endorsement eng Steve Martin, Home Crafts Expert, Endorses Bob Kerrey   00:02:14 RP 
09/13/2012 Deb Fischer TVAd Issue eng Where I Stand   00:00:30 RP 
09/06/2012 Bob Kerrey TVAd Issue eng Mess  00:00:30 RP 
07/16/2012 Deb Fischer TVAd Attack eng A Nebraska Senator  00:00:31 Crimson 
11/30/2011 TVAd Issue eng Ben Nelson Helps Nebraska's Veterans   00:31:00 RP 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 01, 2012 06:00am News Chuck Hagel will endorse Kerrey  Article Qbanito 
Oct 28, 2012 12:00pm News World-Herald Poll: Bob Kerrey, Deb Fischer Senate race tightens  Article COSDem 
Sep 07, 2012 04:25pm News Bob Kerrey slams health insurance mandate  Article Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! 
Jun 24, 2012 01:00pm News Kerrey slams Fischer over grazing fee 'welfare'  Article The Sunset Provision 
Mar 08, 2012 10:00am Statement Bob Kerrey: Harry Reid offered ‘respect’ if he wins  Article Jason 
Oct 12, 2011 09:00pm News Ads by Democratic Senator May Open Door to New Tactics  Article RBH 

DISCUSSION
[View All
95
Previous Messages]
 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
x3
Wed, August 1, 2012 09:57:52 AM UTC0:00
not listed by the state of Nebraska as of last Tuesday: [Link]

 
D:6086Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
Mon, September 24, 2012 01:03:34 AM UTC0:00
Ah, yes. A poll suggesting a tightening race where none exists.

 
D:6454Mr. Matt ( 1608.7891 points)
x2
Mon, September 24, 2012 01:12:37 AM UTC0:00
WTF are you talkin' about? The poll average clearly shows that Fischer has a 16-point lead over Kerrey with her 100% of the votes versus Kerrey's measly 83% of the vote.

 
D:10Stephen Yellin ( 777.2091 points)
Fri, October 19, 2012 03:38:25 AM UTC0:00
Bob Kerrey to nation: "I'm not dead yet!"
Nation to Bob Kerrey: "Oh, don't worry about it, you'll be stone dead in a minute."

- paraphrasing Monty Python and the Holy Grail

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Fri, October 19, 2012 03:40:37 AM UTC0:00
Politico did a story the other day saying Kerry was rising in the polls and could maybe win.

I read it for lulz.

 
LPC:6149Dr. King Schultz ( 374.3755 points)
Sat, October 27, 2012 12:14:02 AM UTC0:00
I still think Fischer will win but it it's going to be a little bit closer not so Close but I'd say 7-10?

 
D:10Stephen Yellin ( 777.2091 points)
Sun, October 28, 2012 06:13:28 AM UTC0:00
Latest poll is from Omaha World-Herald, but I could only get the numbers from Kerrey's website.
[Link]


 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Sun, October 28, 2012 08:49:32 PM UTC0:00
Possible explanation

The latest poll comes as Kerrey has aggressively tried to undercut Fischer's lead by questioning her character in a series of television ads in which he and campaign surrogates criticized Fischer for suing her elderly ranch neighbors over a property dispute in 1995.

The negative onslaught has clearly worked, especially among independent voters.

In the wake of Kerrey's criticism of Fischer, the Republican's unfavorable rating has risen by double digits — with 33 percent of Nebraskans now having an unfavorable view of the Valentine rancher and state lawmaker. Five weeks ago, only 21 percent of voters had an unfavorable view of Fischer.
[Link]

 
D:1656The Sunset Provision ( 1384.6633 points)
Sun, October 28, 2012 08:55:03 PM UTC0:00
All of the media attention is on PA being the sleeper senate race when it could potentially turn out to be NE. Not likely sadly, but potentially.

 
D:411Picimpalious ( 1229.6810 points)
Sun, October 28, 2012 08:58:26 PM UTC0:00
Who the hell is talking about PA as a sleeper?

 
D:1656The Sunset Provision ( 1384.6633 points)
Sun, October 28, 2012 09:01:40 PM UTC0:00
WaPo and Philadelphia Inquirer for two. And of course, MSNBC is doing their usual the sky is falling routine many evenings.

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Sun, October 28, 2012 09:25:48 PM UTC0:00
Picimpalious: Who the hell is talking about PA as a sleeper?

Scott. :P

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Sun, October 28, 2012 09:28:40 PM UTC0:00
And speaking of Kerrey: who the hell would buy this? [Link]

 
D:6506TEXAN FOR HILLARY ( 0.0000 points)
Sun, October 28, 2012 09:36:18 PM UTC0:00
Why shouldn't people consider PA a sleeper? Caseys poll numbers have been so mediocre.

 
D:479Brandon ( 1558.3782 points)
Sun, October 28, 2012 09:39:01 PM UTC0:00
COSDem: And speaking of Kerrey: who the hell would buy this? [Link]


Well, if you live in Nebraska, there's a decent chance that picture is better than the actual view outside your window.

 
D:15COSDem ( 3540.3062 points)
Sun, October 28, 2012 09:54:24 PM UTC0:00
Not when I lived there :) Granted that was 10 plus years ago.

 
D:479Brandon ( 1558.3782 points)
x2
Sun, October 28, 2012 09:56:12 PM UTC0:00
Western Nebraska is actually kind of pretty. When my great-grandma was still alive and living in Schuyler, though....dear God. Nothing around but fields of crops. Ok to visit because very peaceful, but if I lived there I would go insane.

 
D:6086Jason ( 7718.4429 points)
x2
Mon, October 29, 2012 03:28:39 AM UTC0:00
COSDem: And speaking of Kerrey: who the hell would buy this? [Link]

This page made my Chrome crash. There's only so much narcissism one browser can handle.

 
IND:1196Monsieur ( 5890.8623 points)
Mon, October 29, 2012 03:32:21 AM UTC0:00
Ha ha. It actually made mine crash too.

 
D:1107GavinBrown ( 1359.3580 points)
Mon, October 29, 2012 10:15:30 AM UTC0:00
just as much as a sleeper as MN is to romney :)

 
PRI:8723Paul ( 453.4403 points)
Tue, October 30, 2012 07:24:26 AM UTC0:00
maybe this race will be close at the end :P

 
D:1989RBH ( 1271.2517 points)
Tue, October 30, 2012 08:12:55 AM UTC0:00
after this, no matter the outcome, I'll appreciate the chops Kerrey shown to win 3 straight statewide elections as a Democrat, including defeating two incumbents

 
LPC:6149Dr. King Schultz ( 374.3755 points)
Tue, October 30, 2012 03:02:50 PM UTC0:00
Like I said, I still believe Fischer is the favorite but it's going to be closer then expected.

 
PRI:8723Paul ( 453.4403 points)
Wed, October 31, 2012 01:12:16 AM UTC0:00
and he is the only democrat besides Nelson who can make this race competitive right?

 
D:1RP ( 3311.3784 points)
Wed, October 31, 2012 01:17:49 AM UTC0:00
Everyone's surprised that it is competitive.