I'm sure every district in the country experiences "some change in residents" over a 6 year period -- which is a fact that obviously cuts against Goode here, since 6 years ago was the last time he won. it's a bit more dramatic for metro ATL and the exurbs. The outer rings of those exurbs had some of the largest growth in the last 10 years. I'd expect most of Goode's strength to be around Rocky Mount. So a few counties around South-Central Virginia And if he has the word Independent in his party label, i'd imagine he would fare better than if he had Constitution Party as his party label

Yeah. But I'm not talking Atlanta metro. Places like Floyd County. A county that Barr performed well in during time in Congress and didn't really translate into his third party run for President. Obviously Goode and Barr are not identical comparisons but the pool of former Congressmen who ran for President on a third party ticket is decidedly small. And if that "independent" label is actually "Independent Green" on the ballot like last time around, I'd imagine Goode would fare much better in South-Central Virginia with the Constitution Party label.

The polls are too early to take seriously in any state as yet, and my inclination has always been to put Virginia in almost the same category as Indiana and North Carolina, with respect to its likelihood of returning to the GOP column in 2012. But I hadn't considered the possibility that Virgil Goode might throw the race to Obama. Since I'm voting for him (Goode) anyway, I think that'd be kinda cool. Always nice for a 3rd party candidate to have some impact. Maybe Goode will swing Virginia over to Obama, and cost Romney an Electoral College majority. I'd freakin' pay money to see that happen.

And for the record, I'm starting to lean back in favor of Romney over Obama in the lesser-of-two-evils contest (some of you are probably surprised to hear I favor Obama at all, but I do have him presently endorsed the December 2012 Electoral College race). But sticking it to the BiPartisan Party (right in the ass, ideally) is always going to be a higher priority for yours truly, as opposed to worrying about which of its wings wins a given election.

Goode lost his last Congressional race. He'll get a few votes, but not enough to cost Romney the state. I think its pretty reasonable to tend towards the assumption Virginia will be very close this year. I doubt many people in July of 2000 thought David McReynolds would potentially cost Al Gore the state of Florida (and the Presidency), but there it was. Goode could easily swing the Virginia race without breaking 2.5 percent of the popular vote (which is like ten times what McReynolds got).

some of you are probably surprised to hear I favor Obama at all Nope.

I would basically rather die than vote for a neo-con. That there exist other people who don't hold that view is puzzling to me. That most of these people consider themselves to be "conservatives," is preposterous. If you're going to vote for a neocon, you might as well just become a Trotskyite.

Still, now that the USSC has ruled Obamacare is a tax, and thus it can be repealed in the Senate with a simple majority (rather than a filibuster-proof 3/5ths majority), then Romney may well be the lesser of two evils. But I ain't voting for evil, either way.

All Romney would have to do in order to get me to vote for him is say "We've been in enough wars in the Middle East lately. I don't see any reason we need a war with Iran, too." That's all it would take. And it ain't freakin' much...but its about 100 times more than he will ever give me. That wouldn't make him a paleo-con. it would just make him a Republican politician who isn't insane and/or profoundly stupid. But I guess that's just too much to ask, so I'll vote for a sensible human being instead, which necessitates the Third Party option.

I would basically rather die than vote for a neo-con. That there exist other people who don't hold that view is puzzling to me. No, we'd all rather you die than vote for a neo-con. (Just kidding Kevin! Keep up the posts.)

If you're going to vote for a neocon, you might as well just become a Trotskyite. You got the evolution backwards.

Obama pollster - 3 point race. PPP - 14 point race. Hmmm. Who to believe? Vexing question if there ever is one!

Hmmmm Let's have fun picking the outlier!! Obama pac pollster (Global Strategy) +3 Obama Quinniapiac Even Rasmussen +1 Obama PPP +14 Obama (hint, hint) Purple Poll +2 Obama Isn't this fun?

Thats bc the PPP+14 poll has Goode. The one w/o Goode has Obama+8. You know this. Quit being a f*cking idiot.

The nitpicking over PPP was annoying a long time ago. Repeating the same thing over and over again is ridiculous.

Repetition is Scott's raison d'être.

"Virgil Goode makes presidential ballot in Virginia" Obama's second term? Guaranteed. Thank you Virgil!

I wouldn't go that far but he's not gonna hurt.

Amazing that control of 1.5 branches of the federal government could come down to a handful of voters in Virginia.

Amazing that control of 1.5 branches of the federal government could come down to a handful of voters in Virginia. Thus the idiocy of the electoral college.

Amazing that control of 1.5 branches of the federal government could come down to a handful of voters in Virginia. Thus the idiocy of the electoral college. That wouldn't fix the Senate part of that equation.

That wouldn't fix the Senate part of that equation. The electoral college may very well swing the Senate too considering a 50-50 tie is a real possibility.

the Indy Greens/Constitution Party alliance is a strange one, Parker is an elector for Goode (after Baldwin was the Indy Greens nominee in 2008)

NBC/WSJ/Marist, LV: Obama 49, Romney 44

the one-on-one matchup was 51/46 Obama