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  PA US President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > President
Parent RaceUS President - Popular Vote
OfficePresident
Type General Election
Filing Deadline August 01, 2012 - 05:00pm
Polls Open November 06, 2012 - 06:00am
Polls Close November 06, 2012 - 07:00pm
Term Start January 20, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2017 - 12:00pm
Turnout 68.38% Registered 46.85% Total Population
ContributorJason
Last ModifiedRBH February 25, 2013 07:06pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameBarack Obama Votes3,276,363 (54.49%)
Term01/20/2009 - 01/20/2013 Margin620,478 (+10.32%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Apr 24, 2012 PA US President - R Primary Mitt Romney
Apr 24, 2012 PA US President - D Primary Barack Obama
MAP

Curve
Embed Code
KEY RACE? 0.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/29/2008 11/06/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Barack Obama 18 26 11 1
Mitt Romney 2 1 ----
Leaning Call: Barack Obama (96.40%)
Weighted Call: Barack Obama (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/03/2011 11/04/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) President Barack Obama Gov. Mitt Romney Gov. Gary Johnson Jill Stein (W) Write-In  
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Green Nonpartisan  
Certified Votes2,990,274 (51.97%) 2,680,434 (46.59%) 49,991 (0.87%) 21,341 (0.37%) 11,630 (0.20%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -309,840 (-5.39%) -2,940,283 (-51.10%) -2,968,933 (-51.60%) -2,978,644 (-51.77%)  
Predict Avg.51.39% 46.64% 0.60% 0.11% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (71 from 18 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg49.66%-- 44.37%-- 0.94%-- 0.31%-- 0.00%--  
Gravis Marketing 
11/04/12-11/04/12
49.00% 1.0 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
11/02/12-11/04/12
51.00% 1.0 47.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
11/01/12-11/03/12
49.00% 1.0 46.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/31/12-11/03/12
52.00% 1.0 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
11/02/12-11/03/12
52.00% 1.0 46.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
10/29/12-10/31/12
47.00% 2.0 47.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/30/12-10/30/12
49.00% 1.0 46.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
10/23/12-10/28/12
48.00% 4.0 44.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% --
Philadelphia Inquirer 
10/23/12-10/25/12
49.00% 1.0 43.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/24/12-10/24/12
51.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
10/21/12-10/21/12
48.00% 3.0 45.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
10/17/12-10/21/12
50.00% 1.0 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pharos Research Group 
10/19/12-10/21/12
49.47% 0.4 45.53% 1.9 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
10/18/12-10/20/12
52.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/15/12-10/15/12
48.00% 1.0 44.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/12/12-10/14/12
50.00% 4.0 46.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pharos Research Group 
10/12/12-10/14/12
49.10% -- 43.59% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/12/12-10/14/12
51.00% 1.0 44.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
10/10/12-10/14/12
49.00% -- 45.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
10/11/12-10/13/12
45.00% 2.0 49.00% 4.0 0.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/04/12-10/11/12
51.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
QStar News 
09/24/12-10/10/12
46.20% -- 49.02% -- 3.58% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/09/12-10/09/12
51.00% -- 46.00% 7.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/08/12-10/08/12
47.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Opinion Strategies (R) 
10/08/12-10/08/12
47.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
10/04/12-10/06/12
47.00% -- 45.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/01/12-10/05/12
43.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
09/22/12-09/26/12
49.00% 1.0 42.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/18/12-09/24/12
54.00% 1.0 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
09/18/12-09/23/12
52.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
09/18/12-09/20/12
47.00% 1.0 45.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/19/12-09/19/12
51.00% 3.0 39.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
09/18/12-09/18/12
48.10% 1.1 42.20% 2.2 0.80% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
09/17/12-09/18/12
52.00% 3.0 40.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
09/10/12-09/16/12
50.00% 1.0 41.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/07/12-09/14/12
51.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Philadelphia Inquirer 
09/09/12-09/12/12
50.00% 1.0 39.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Philadelphia Inquirer 
08/21/12-08/23/12
51.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
08/20/12-08/22/12
49.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
06/15/12-08/17/12
48.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
08/07/12-08/12/12
47.00% 1.0 42.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing 
08/07/12-08/07/12
45.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
07/24/12-07/30/12
53.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
07/21/12-07/23/12
49.00% 1.0 43.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
07/18/12-07/18/12
48.00% 1.0 44.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
07/09/12-07/10/12
47.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Global Strategy Group (D) 
06/25/12-07/03/12
49.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
06/19/12-06/25/12
45.00% 2.0 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
06/05/12-06/10/12
46.00% -- 40.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
05/29/12-06/04/12
48.00% 12.0 36.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
05/21/12-05/21/12
47.00% 2.0 41.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/17/12-05/20/12
50.00% 5.0 42.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
04/25/12-05/01/12
47.00% 2.0 39.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
03/23/12-04/01/12
45.00% 2.0 40.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
03/20/12-03/26/12
45.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
03/08/12-03/11/12
49.00% 5.0 42.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
02/08/12-02/23/12
45.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
02/02/12-02/06/12
43.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Muhlenberg College 
11/28/11-12/07/11
45.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
11/28/11-12/05/11
46.00% 2.0 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
11/17/11-11/20/11
45.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/31/11-11/07/11
44.00% 1.0 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/21/11-09/26/11
45.00% 3.0 43.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Magellan Data & Mapping Strategies (R) 
09/12/11-09/14/11
50.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Franklin & Marshall College 
08/22/11-08/29/11
36.00% -- 30.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
07/25/11-07/31/11
42.00% 5.0 44.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
  Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
  Philadelphia Inquirer
I McCord 2014
J Dr. Cynic
R Republitarian
R Scott³
LBT Jed
 

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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Apr 01, 2013 12:00pm Humor SP&R Poll: President Romney’s Approval Rating Reaches All-Time High  Article Scott³ 
Nov 23, 2012 05:05pm News Nate Silver says Pennsylvania may become the tipping point state, quoting Wasserman at Cook Political.  Article Scott³ 
Nov 12, 2012 08:00pm News In 59 Philadelphia voting divisions, Mitt Romney got zero votes  Article COSDem 
Nov 06, 2012 12:00pm News Machine turns vote for Obama into one for Romney [PA]  Article COSDem 
Nov 06, 2012 08:20am News NEW BLACK PANTHERS Are Back at Philly Polling Station  Article Scott³ 
Nov 01, 2012 06:00pm News Romney to Pennsylvania on Sunday   Article John 

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