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  FL US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 01, 2012 - 12:00am
Polls Open November 06, 2012 - 07:00am
Polls Close November 06, 2012 - 06:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2013 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Turnout 68.62% Registered 43.56% Total Population
ContributorGaear Grimsrud
Last ModifiedPaul December 04, 2012 09:55am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/07/2006
NameBill Nelson Votes2,890,548 (60.30%)
Term01/03/2007 - 01/03/2013 Margin1,064,421 (+22.21%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 14, 2012 FL US Senate - R Primary Connie Mack IV
Aug 14, 2012 FL US Senate - D Primary Bill Nelson
MAP

Embed Code
KEY RACE? 8.6000003815 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/22/2008 11/06/2012
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Bill Nelson 24 40 9 2
Connie Mack IV 7 3 ----
Leaning Call: Bill Nelson (91.45%)
Weighted Call: Bill Nelson (94.87%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
07/16/2010 11/04/2012

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Sen. Bill Nelson Rep. Connie Mack IV Bill Gaylor Chris Borgia (W) Naomi L. Craine (W) Lawrence Sydney Scott (W) Robert Monroe
PartyDemocratic Republican No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation Socialist Workers No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation
Website [Website] [Website]
Certified Votes4,523,451 (55.23%) 3,458,267 (42.23%) 126,079 (1.54%) 82,089 (1.00%) 19 (0.00%) 18 (0.00%) 12 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,065,184 (-13.01%) -4,397,372 (-53.69%) -4,441,362 (-54.23%) -4,523,432 (-55.23%) -4,523,433 (-55.23%) -4,523,439 (-55.23%)
Predict Avg.52.17% 45.83% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 7/25 $8,826,043.00 7/25 $1,367,876.00 7/25 $517.00 7/25 $193.00 $-- $-- $--
MATCHUP POLLS (85 from 22 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg50.35%-- 40.95%-- -0.23%-- 1.65%-- 0.00%-- 1.60%-- 1.60%--
Public Policy Polling (D) 
11/03/12-11/04/12
51.00% 1.0 46.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
11/02/12-11/04/12
54.00% 1.0 39.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
JZ Analytics / Zogby Analytics 
11/02/12-11/04/12
54.90% 3.4 35.10% 3.3 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
JZ Analytics / Zogby Analytics 
11/01/12-11/03/12
51.50% 2.8 38.40% 3.7 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/31/12-11/03/12
50.00% 3.0 44.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
11/01/12-11/03/12
53.00% 1.0 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/31/12-11/01/12
52.00% -- 43.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
10/30/12-11/01/12
52.00% -- 41.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/30/12-11/01/12
49.00% 2.0 43.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
10/29/12-10/31/12
52.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
JZ Analytics / Zogby Analytics 
10/28/12-10/30/12
48.70% 1.3 42.10% 1.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/29/12-10/29/12
50.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
JZ Analytics / Zogby Analytics 
10/27/12-10/29/12
50.00% 4.9 40.90% 7.8 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/26/12-10/28/12
50.00% 5.0 42.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/23/12-10/28/12
52.00% 1.0 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/25/12-10/27/12
49.00% 1.0 41.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/25/12-10/25/12
49.00% 1.0 46.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/22/12-10/24/12
47.00% -- 44.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Voter Survey Service (R) 
10/22/12-10/24/12
49.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pharos Research Group 
10/19/12-10/21/12
51.52% 0.7 43.74% 1.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
10/18/12-10/20/12
56.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/17/12-10/18/12
48.00% 1.0 40.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/18/12-10/18/12
48.00% 2.0 43.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/17/12-10/18/12
45.00% -- 41.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pharos Research Group 
10/12/12-10/14/12
50.83% -- 44.96% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/12/12-10/14/12
45.00% 1.0 37.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/04/12-10/11/12
47.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/11/12-10/11/12
46.00% 6.0 45.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/08/12-10/10/12
47.00% 1.0 42.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/07/12-10/09/12
52.00% -- 39.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of North Florida 
10/01/12-10/09/12
50.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/04/12-10/04/12
52.00% 5.0 41.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
10/04/12-10/04/12
43.80% 2.9 43.90% 2.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
09/30/12-10/01/12
52.00% 1.0 41.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing (R) 
09/29/12-09/30/12
43.10% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
09/27/12-09/30/12
40.00% 2.0 34.00% 2.0 1.00% -- 4.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/18/12-09/24/12
53.00% 3.0 39.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
09/20/12-09/23/12
46.00% 1.0 37.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Washington Post/ABC News 
09/19/12-09/23/12
54.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
09/17/12-09/19/12
48.00% 3.0 40.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
09/18/12-09/18/12
46.70% -- 41.50% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
09/16/12-09/18/12
49.00% -- 35.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing (R) 
09/15/12-09/16/12
41.50% 3.0 42.70% 3.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/07/12-09/14/12
44.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/12/12-09/12/12
47.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
09/09/12-09/11/12
51.00% -- 37.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
09/07/12-09/09/12
47.00% 5.0 36.00% 12.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/31/12-09/02/12
45.00% -- 38.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
08/15/12-08/21/12
50.00% 3.0 41.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing (R) 
08/20/12-08/20/12
38.50% -- 45.90% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Foster McCollum White & Baydoun (D) 
08/17/12-08/17/12
43.08% -- 50.83% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
JZ Analytics / Zogby Analytics 
08/15/12-08/17/12
45.10% -- 33.10% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
08/15/12-08/15/12
47.00% 10.0 40.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
07/24/12-07/30/12
47.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
07/26/12-07/29/12
45.00% 2.0 43.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
07/17/12-07/19/12
42.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
07/09/12-07/11/12
47.00% 2.0 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
07/09/12-07/09/12
37.00% 10.0 46.00% 10.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
06/19/12-06/25/12
41.00% -- 40.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
06/12/12-06/18/12
43.00% 2.0 39.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/31/12-06/03/12
49.00% 3.0 36.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
05/15/12-05/21/12
41.00% 3.0 42.00% 6.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
05/17/12-05/20/12
46.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
04/25/12-04/25/12
47.00% 11.0 36.00% 7.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
04/12/12-04/15/12
47.00% -- 37.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
03/20/12-03/26/12
44.00% 3.0 36.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Qbanito
  Tampa Tribune
  Miami Herald
  Orlando Sentinel
R Spen
AENM Angry Russian
R Maryland Republican
LBT Jed Ziggler
LBT Smart
DL Some say...
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Piotr Blass (W) Lionel Long  
PartyNo Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation  
Website  
Certified Votes9 (0.00%) 2 (0.00%)  
Margin-4,523,442 (-55.23%) -4,523,449 (-55.23%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
MATCHUP POLLS (85 from 22 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg1.60%-- 1.60%--  
Public Policy Polling (D) 
11/03/12-11/04/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
11/02/12-11/04/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
JZ Analytics / Zogby Analytics 
11/02/12-11/04/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
JZ Analytics / Zogby Analytics 
11/01/12-11/03/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/31/12-11/03/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
11/01/12-11/03/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/31/12-11/01/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
10/30/12-11/01/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/30/12-11/01/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
10/29/12-10/31/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
JZ Analytics / Zogby Analytics 
10/28/12-10/30/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pulse Opinion Research 
10/29/12-10/29/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
JZ Analytics / Zogby Analytics 
10/27/12-10/29/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/26/12-10/28/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/23/12-10/28/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/25/12-10/27/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/25/12-10/25/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/22/12-10/24/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Voter Survey Service (R) 
10/22/12-10/24/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pharos Research Group 
10/19/12-10/21/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Angus Reid 
10/18/12-10/20/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
10/17/12-10/18/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/18/12-10/18/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/17/12-10/18/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Pharos Research Group 
10/12/12-10/14/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
10/12/12-10/14/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/04/12-10/11/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/11/12-10/11/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
10/08/12-10/10/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/07/12-10/09/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of North Florida 
10/01/12-10/09/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/04/12-10/04/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
10/04/12-10/04/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
09/30/12-10/01/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing (R) 
09/29/12-09/30/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
09/27/12-09/30/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
09/18/12-09/24/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
09/20/12-09/23/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Washington Post/ABC News 
09/19/12-09/23/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
09/17/12-09/19/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
We Ask America 
09/18/12-09/18/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Anderson Robbins (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
09/16/12-09/18/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing (R) 
09/15/12-09/16/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
09/07/12-09/14/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
09/12/12-09/12/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
09/09/12-09/11/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
09/07/12-09/09/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
08/31/12-09/02/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
08/15/12-08/21/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Gravis Marketing (R) 
08/20/12-08/20/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Foster McCollum White & Baydoun (D) 
08/17/12-08/17/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
JZ Analytics / Zogby Analytics 
08/15/12-08/17/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
08/15/12-08/15/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
07/24/12-07/30/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
07/26/12-07/29/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Survey USA 
07/17/12-07/19/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
07/09/12-07/11/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
07/09/12-07/09/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
06/19/12-06/25/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
06/12/12-06/18/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
05/31/12-06/03/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
05/15/12-05/21/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
05/17/12-05/20/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
04/25/12-04/25/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling (D) 
04/12/12-04/15/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
03/20/12-03/26/12
0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/02/2012 vs Bill Nelson TVAd Attack eng Farmer  00:00:30 RP 
09/25/2012 vs Bill Nelson TVAd Attack eng Where  00:00:30 RP 
09/13/2012 Connie Mack IV vs Bill Nelson TVAd Contrast eng Differences  00:00:30 RP 
09/12/2012 Connie Mack IV vs Bill Nelson TVAd Attack eng Unconscionable  00:00:33 RP 
08/27/2012 Connie Mack IV TVAd Issue eng Freedom  00:00:31 RP 
08/23/2012 vs Bill Nelson TVAd Attack eng Suffered  00:00:30 RP 
08/23/2012 vs Connie Mack IV TVAd Attack eng Tiger Blood  00:00:31 RP 
08/15/2012 vs Bill Nelson TVAd Attack eng Bill Nelson and Union Bosses  00:00:33 RP 
08/14/2012 vs Bill Nelson TVAd Attack eng Senator Nelson, Promises   00:00:32 RP 
08/02/2012 Bill Nelson vs Connie Mack IV TVAd Attack eng Meet Connie   00:00:33 RP 
08/01/2012 Bill Nelson TVAd Biography eng 40 Years  00:00:30 RP 
07/25/2012 vs Bill Nelson TVAd Attack eng Deciding  12:00:30 RP 
05/16/2012 Web Only Ad Contrast eng Chris Borgia: Public Servant [GLITCH]   00:00:38 Incurious Mongrul 
01/02/2012 Web Only Ad Mixed eng Bill Gaylor swf   00:01:20 Incurious Mongrul 

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 14, 2012 07:00pm News Nelson, Mack easily win Fla. Senate primaries  Article Qbanito 
Aug 02, 2012 11:00am Announcement Crist to back Democrat Nelson in Florida  Article GavinBrown 
Dec 22, 2010 11:00am News Bill Nelson Leading in 2012 Over Pack of Unknown Republicans   Article J.R. 
Sep 17, 2010 09:00am Blog Entry Two years out, Bill Nelson raises cash in Miami   Article Qbanito 

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